Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-5   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(7/5/4)-(5/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-6   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(5/6/1)-(3/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(3/7/6)-(4/1/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-8   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(4/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(4/1/9)-(5/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-9   WIN (4/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/9)-(4/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/9)-(4/1/9)-(4/1/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/9)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRM-10   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.821K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSCAR WINNER WALLY Sep16 Sep02 Aug04 Jul22 Jul02 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
2  SHIP BOSS Sep11 Jun23 Jun03 May19 Sep19 (anderson l)TOHILL S 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  LORD OF THE PALACE Sep11 Aug28 Jul23 Jul02 Oct02 (peters dennis)MARTINEZ A 123 4.00    
4  SHUT UP MAN Sep11 Aug19 Aug07 Jul10 Jun26 (arceo sal)DE CRUZ 123 1.60    
SCR  PURE CRYSTAL Sep03 Jul09 Jun30 Jun16 May19 (arceo salvado)EDWARDS JAVIS 118 6.00    
 
PRM-6   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRIPP'S HIT Sep17         (compton jesse)EDWARDS JAVIS 113 8.00    
SCR  PALACE ATTAINED Jul09         (ashford tris)JORDAN R 118 8.00    
SCR  ONE PRETTY GIRL Nov15 Oct27 Sep24 Sep03 Jul12 (swan patri)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 15.00    
4  MEET GEORGE JETSON Sep17 Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 Jul17 (hemba )FLETCHER D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  RUDIANO Jun23 Jun02 May20 May06 Apr22 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  OUTOFQUEMADO Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul24   (rollins michael)TOHILL S 118 3.50    
7  WAR RASCAL Sep17 Aug13 Jul24 Jun23 Apr01 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  IOWA FARMGIRL         (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 112 5.00    
 
PRM-7   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIPPA'S PROSPECT Sep10 Aug20 Nov04 Sep01 Jul31 (hybsha allen)ROMAN KEVIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HER NAME WAS LOLA Sep10 Aug20 Jul14 Jun25 May28 (jordan todd )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50    
SCR  NEVER TO MANY HUGS Sep10 Aug30 Jul18 Jul03 Jun10 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 4.00    
4  SPITFIRE SUZIE Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 Jun17 May19 (peters den)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 8.00    
5  ROUNDABOUT Sep09 Aug30 Aug13 Mar22 Feb22 (wolff perry)WOLFF S 123 1.80 60% 0.70    
6  FLYWHEEL EFFECT Aug05 May05 Apr22 Apr08 Mar18 (compton jesse)EDWARDS JAVIS 118 12.00 8% 10.80    
7  KID BIZ Sep16 Sep03 Aug18 Jul31 Jul10 (martinez )DE CRUZ 117 3.00    
 
PRM-8   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23.325K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GAME TO PLAY Sep11 Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 (rufino eusebi)EDWARDS JAVIS 116 10.00    
2  SING LUCY SING Sep08 Aug18 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (mcshane davi)JORDAN R 120 4.50    
3  CONFETTI BETTY Aug28 Aug05 Jul21 Jul09 Jun19 (hargens bob)ROMAN KEVIN 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
4  RISKY WHISKY Aug28 Aug06 Jul21 Jul02 Jun11 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 121 3.50    
5  FIREBAUGH Sep01 Aug18 Jul14 Jul03 Jun19 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 123 3.00    
6  CATALE Sep16 Sep03 Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 (rufino eus)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SABRIA Sep02 Jul24 Jun10 May19 Oct02 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00 10% 8.50    
 
PRM-9   09/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KYANDI Sep03 Aug06 May29 May20 Apr29 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
2  CLASSIC BET Sep03 Aug12 Jul09 May22 Feb15 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 122 6.00    
3  TEXTHELEGEND Aug27 Apr30 Feb12 Jan22 Nov26 (mcfarlane da)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 20.00    
4  DANCE SOME MO Aug30 Jul30 Jun18 Jun04 Mar05 (rosin w)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
5  UXMAL Sep10 Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 May20 (guillory )DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
SCR  CHISHOLM TRAIL Aug28 Aug07 Jul08 Jun17 Aug19 (anderson l)TOHILL S 124 5.00    
SCR  BIG PINES SANDY Sep04 Aug19 Aug07 Jul16 Jul02 (martinez kell)EDWARDS JAVIS 114 15.00    
SCR  WHISKEY WEDNESDAY Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 12.00    
9  ALYANAABI Aug07 Jul02 Jun18 May26 Mar18 (arnett jon )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 12% 7.40    
10  WARRIOR'S RUN Sep04 Aug07 Jul22 Jun30 Jun18 (guillory h)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 15.00    
 
PRM-10   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDING THE TRAIN Sep04 Aug17 Aug05 Jun03 Mar19 (pearson p)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
2  FABRICATOR Aug31 Aug13 Jul23 Jul05 Jun14 (campbell joe)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.50 ★    
3  WILD APPEAL Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jul02 Jun19 (martin timothy )CORBETT W 123 6.00    
4  IT'S ALL ABOUT JOE Sep11 Sep02 Aug19 Aug11 Jul29 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 5.00 11% 8.30    
5  ROBUST Aug26 Aug07 Jul09 Jun26 May12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 3.00 56% 0.80    
6  FREEDOM FLASH May09 Dec10 Sep23 Sep03 Jul31 (hardy edward )EDWARDS JAVIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOJITO Aug05 Jul09 May29 Apr28 Apr21 (compton jess)JORDAN R 120 20.00    
SCR  K C'S FIRST B M W Aug05 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 Apr13 (tracy )FLETCHER D 123 20.00    
9  PASSING TIME Sep09 Aug26 Jun24 May28 May04 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
10  GABRIEL'S LEGEND Sep09 Aug24 Jul22 Jun24 Jun04 (donlin lar)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.