Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WO-1   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (3/7)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(7/1/3)-(2/4) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
WO-2   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (7/1/3)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(2/4)-(13/4/11/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
WO-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(13/4/11/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(13/4/11/7)-(5/2/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
WO-4   WIN (13/4/11/7) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (13/4/11/7)-(13/4/11/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (13/4/11/7)-(13/4/11/7/1)-(13/4/11/7/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
    DD (13/4/11/7)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (13/4/11/7)-(5/2/6)-(9/3/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-5   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/2/6)-(9/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(9/3/1)-(4/7/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
WO-6   WIN (9/3/1) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (9/3/1)-(9/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/3/1)-(9/3/1)-(9/3/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (9/3/1)-(4/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1)-(4/7/3)-(13/2/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
WO-7   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/7/3)-(13/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
WO-8   WIN (13/2/4) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (13/2/4)-(13/2/14/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (13/2/4)-(13/2/14/1/4)-(13/2/14/1/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   09/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEDAR VALLEY Sep01 Jul20 Jul06 Jun16 May25 (brooks cary)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 6.00    
WAKE UP MAGGIE Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 May25 May13 (ladauceur )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 119 10.00    
QUIET MADDELENA Aug24 Aug05 Jul13 May27 Apr22 (raghun)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 116 2.50 21% 3.80    
J M R BOLD VISION Aug24 Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 May25 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 20.00    
SCR  SPANISH BEAUTY Aug24 Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 May19 (huarte fra)CAMPOS LUIS 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
SOCIAL DRINKER Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 Jun17 (tiller rob)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 4.00    
GORMLEY GIRL Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 Jun10 May13 (buttigieg pa)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
WO-2   09/14/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXT ME UP Aug10 Jul14 Jun29 May25 May06 (tiller rober)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.00 16% 5.50    
ABSOLUTE JEWEL Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 May25 (cole-simpson)WALCOTT W 122 15.00    
KATCHY NAME Aug18 Aug06 Jul22 Jun23 Dec01 (chircop steven)VIVES SOFIA 114 6.00 7% 13.90    
A GAL FOR T J Aug05 Jul06 Jun15 May25 Dec01 (mcknight n)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 116 3.50    
PHIL IN ECHO Sep01 Aug05 Jul14 Jun29 Jun04 (yu danny)SALLES LEO 122 8.00    
SILENT BUT VIOLENT Aug01 Jul11 Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 122 10.00    
FORESTERS PRINCESS Aug10 Jul06 Jun11 May25 Dec04 (black ian)MUNGER RYAN 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
WO-3   09/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($49.6K) 2 F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORKING HOLIDAY Aug20         (dixon patr)CAMPOS LUIS 118 20.00    
ECHO SEVEN         (biamonte r)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 116 4.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  GOLDEN SPRING Aug20 Jul15       (barrow rodney)SALLES LEO 118 2.50    
LADY BOO         (squires nathan)BYNOE DESEAN 116 6.00 24% 3.20    
GRADEVOLE         (dixon patric)WALCOTT W 118 10.00    
SCR  AZIEL Aug27         (edwards keith)HOYTE JASON 121 1.40    
FEATHERWEIGHT Aug20         (dipaola santin)FLORES ESWAN 118 20.00    
 
WO-4   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($49.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRILLING SONG Jun11 May05 Dec10 Oct06 Jul16 (day-phillips ca)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.00    
SANDY GRACE Aug24 Aug10 Jul29 Jul20 Jul02 (oliverre )SEECHARAN A 118 20.00    
SCR  KALOMA         (pion sylvain)SALLES LEO 120 15.00    
CHERRY GARDENS Aug18 Jul30 Jul07 Jun17 Dec10 (brooks cary)HUSBANDS P 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
MUCHO MISSTIQUE Oct14         (attard c)WALCOTT W 118 12.00    
BEYOND REASON Aug20 Jul29 May21 Dec09 Nov05 (paterson m)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 8.00    
SHAMELESS AFFAIR         (hall phili)CAMPOS LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
I'M PHANTOM Aug05 Jul02 Oct09 Sep10   (depaulo mi)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 12.00    
SCR  SWEET BOMBOLINI Aug18 Jul09 May25 Oct29 Oct06 (cox gail)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00    
10  HURRICANE GIZMO Aug18         (minshall barbar)MUNGER RYAN 120 10.00    
11  I'M A BOURBON GIRL Aug18 Jun03 May13 Apr22 Oct01 (staples j)WILSON JAYNE 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
12  MOET MONET Aug18 Jul29 Jun29 May12 Jul16 (eshelman bonn)CHERNETZ SKYE 124 30.00    
13  SMILES FOR DAVID Aug26 Aug04 Jul02 Jun16 May25 (desruisse)WILSON JAYNE 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
WO-5   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($114K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR RAY Aug06 Dec11 Oct09 Jul31 Jul02 (attard kevin)MORAN PIETRO 113 10.00    
MACLEAN'S POSSE Jul22 Jun11 Apr23 Nov06 Oct09 (carroll josie)CIVACI SAHIN 123 6.00 23% 3.30    
BOSTON TEA PARTY Aug03 Jul28 Jul04 May29   (charalambous joh)HUSBANDS P 125 2.50    
READY FOR A FIGHT Aug25 Aug04 Jul02 May14 Apr23 (charalamb)WILSON JAYNE 121 8.00    
COTTON Aug04 Jul15 Jun25 Apr29 Mar12 (dre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
PRICELESS WILL Aug13 Jul16 Jun25 May21 Nov26 (drexler mart)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 3.50 9% 10.00    
MALIBU EDGE Jul30 Jul09 May28 Dec04 Nov13 (halden rac)CAMPOS LUIS 123 15.00    
 
WO-6   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTIGONE Aug03 Jun07 Dec31 Dec07 Oct20 (krczmar z)WILSON JAYNE 122 20.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF AUDREY Aug03 Jun23 Mar15 Feb16 Jan19 (mac)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 6.00    
CEFALO Aug17 May06 Apr29 Oct24 Aug04 (siddo barr)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 8.00 22% 3.60    
BILLYJANE Aug22 Aug03 Jul13 Jun24 May13 (maynard desmon)FLORES ESWAN 122 20.00    
SCR  STARLIGHT RIDGE Aug17 Aug03 Jul08 Jun15 Jun03 (armata vito)BYNOE DESEAN 117 10.00    
AMERICAN GAMBLE Aug24 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun02 (depaulo mich)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 12.00    
HATMAKER HOLIDAY Aug04 Jun03 Apr29 Dec01 Nov03 (carroll josi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00    
SCR  ENDORPHIN RUSH Sep07 Aug03 Jun29 Oct15 Sep29 (morden richard )MORENO OMAR 122 20.00    
VEERY Jan14 Dec08 Nov11 Oct09 Sep09 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
10  HARD TO CAPTURE Aug17 Jul20 Jun22 Jun01 May13 (armata v)VIVES SOFIA 119 4.00    
 
WO-7   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUS'S GAMBLE Sep01 Aug18 Aug07 Jul11 Jun18 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 121 8.00    
THREE SONNY SIDEUP Aug11 Jul15 Jun18 May26 Nov25 (mcknight nor)WALCOTT W 118 10.00    
STYLISH GENT Aug25 Aug04 Jul16 Jun23 Jun01 (armata vito)SALLES LEO 121 2.50 10% 8.90    
JUSTIN'S WAY Aug22 Jul16 May28 May06 Dec11 (fourni)ALDERSON IAN 125 3.50 43% 1.30    
MIGHT BEE SPEEDY Aug18 Aug05 Jul07 Jun11 Apr23 (tiller p)MUNGER RYAN 118 6.00    
SOUPER RIVER Aug04 Jul16 Jun23 May19 Dec03 (buttigieg m)CRAWFORD J 123 15.00    
BOXER BRIEF Aug04 Jun23 May26 May05 Sep16 (dixon patric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 2.00 18% 4.60    
 
WO-8   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREST MAIDEN Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 May25 Apr22 (attard tino)MORAN PIETRO 110 10.00    
ONANDONANDON Aug17 Jul29       (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 120 10.00 15% 5.50    
CELTIC REVIVAL Aug18 Jul20 Jun22 May25 May05 (chircop steven)MUNGER RYAN 122 15.00    
HEKLA'S AURA Aug24 Jul20 Jun17 Jun01 May12 (colbourne)WILSON JAYNE 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN TRAIN Aug06 Jul06 Jun22 May25 May12 (edwards keith)KERR CHEYENNE 108 30.00    
TENPENNY NAIL Aug18 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 Dec08 (pottin)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 116 30.00    
MISS BIKINI Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jul01 Jun17 (nosowenko ni)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 6.00    
GOLD FORESTER Aug24 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 (paterson m)ANDERSON JODEIEN 123 15.00    
NORTHERN PASSAGE Aug18 Aug06 Jul06 Jun18 Jun01 (hall phili)CAMPOS LUIS 123 8.00    
10  RIFLING Aug05 Jul08 Jun10 May13 Dec09 (simon stuart)VIVES SOFIA 115 12.00    
11  ITS A BIRDIE Sep07 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 Jul06 (mcdonald michae)MORENO OMAR 121 30.00    
SCR  SO BREANNA Aug18 Aug06 Jul20 Jun23 Dec01 (tharrenos will)BYNOE DESEAN 116 20.00    
13  TIPSY MOON Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 May26 (tharrenos willi)HOYTE JASON 123 3.00 60% 0.70    
14  SMART BIRD Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 Jun10 May12 (mcknight nor)CARROLL DECLAN 121 4.00    
15  INFINITE PASSION Aug25 Aug04 Jul20 Jul01 Jun17 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 125 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.