Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - September 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (2)-(3/5/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2)-(3/5/6)-(6/5/2) 9 $0.20 $1.80 
ASD-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(6/5/2)-(4/6/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(4/6/5)-(6/4/2) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(6/4/2)-(3/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-5   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(3/2)-(1/4/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-6   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ASD-7   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   09/13/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LONNA RANGER Sep04 Aug23 Aug07 Jul26 Jun16 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 119 2.50    
2  LOVE OURS Aug28 Aug23 Jul31 Jun27 Jun20 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  UNCLE MO'S CAT Aug30 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul18 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
4  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Aug21 Jul18 Jun20 May22 Apr11 (desjarla)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00    
SCR  MORO OUTLAW Aug30 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul02 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 119 1.60    
 
ASD-2   09/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 2 ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIPROCK Aug29 Aug09 Jul04     (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 2.50    
SCR  PAM'S AWESOME Aug21         (gaskin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 15.00    
3  CAVORE Aug21         (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 1.60 50% 1.00    
4  CAUSE I BELIEVE Jul04         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 10.00    
5  OFFLEY SPECIAL Sep04 Aug21 Jul24     (gaskin steven)ALI RONALD 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
6  PIXI'S DREAMING         (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 6.00 10% 9.50    
 
ASD-3   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL MUZN Aug22 Mar31 Mar17 Feb22 Jan21 (desjarla)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 2.50    
2  OH MAN OH MAN Sep04 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jun20 (morse victoria)CHOW CHAVION 124 3.50 19% 4.20    
3  PARTYATMYPLACE Aug23 Jul17 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 20.00    
4  FAVORITE LIGHT Sep04 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun06 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 114 8.00    
5  SALTO DEL LUPO Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jun20 Sep27 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
6  FORITTABLE Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 Jul04 Jun06 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.60 29% 2.40    
 
ASD-4   09/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY NYLA Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 123 10.00    
2  ZIPPORAH Aug28 Jul31 Jul04 Jun14 Jun06 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 15.00    
3  HEY HEY RUN AWAY Aug22 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 (brown jared)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 20.00    
4  LIA'S ON TUNE Aug28 Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Jun06 (brown ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 1.40 28% 2.60    
5  WHERETHEMONEYWENT Sep04 Aug23 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 123 2.00 19% 4.40    
6  HARLONS COMMISION Aug28 Aug16 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
ASD-5   09/13/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROGANCE Aug29 Aug02 Jul19 Jul10 Jun26 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 122 6.00    
2  LOLLIPOP KID Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jul08 Jun14 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 117 12.00 5% 17.80    
3  DISCOVERY PEAK Aug07 Jul26 Jul12 Jul05 Jun23 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 2.50    
4  HEZADOOZIE Aug22 Aug01       (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
5  WELL PLAYED Aug29 Aug07 Jul19 Jul12 Jun27 (buffalo marvi)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 15.00    
6  SAXON SAGA Aug29 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.00 49% 1.00    
 
ASD-6   09/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAZZL'N MISCHIEF Aug28 Aug02 Jul18 Jul03 Jun19 (dickey elton)BALROOP SVEN 124 10.00    
2  FRESH ONE Aug28 Jul24 Jul03 Jun05 May10 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  LITTLE TOE Aug28 Aug22 Aug07 Jul03 Jun19 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
4  DRIZZY Aug28 Jul31 Jul18 Jun27 May30 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 12.00    
SCR  SHOOTIN MONEY Sep04 Aug22 Jul18 Jun28 Jun13 (dickey elton)AEBLY FRASER 119 2.50    
6  LADY SUNSET Sep06 Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 Jul04 (stanford maria)ALI RONALD 119 30.00    
7  EURONTHEMONEY Sep04 Aug28 Jul24 Jul13 Jul05 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.00    
 
ASD-7   09/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACLEAN'S BELLA Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 Jun28 May06 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 0.80 43% 1.30    
2  ALWAYS THE LIL ONE Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 Jun12 May30 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 20.00    
3  SWEET DESIGN Aug29 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 (gardipy jr)CHOW CHAVION 121 6.00 8% 11.30    
4  EAGLE EXPRESS Aug29 Aug01 Jul02 Jun16 May14 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 123 2.00 16% 5.40    
5  GIDDY UP ZOEY Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul18 Jun20 (desjarlais ry)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 25.00    
6  SAVAGE LOVE Aug28 Aug09 Jul19 Jun20 Jun05 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 15.00    
7  MARGOT'S GIRL Aug30 Aug09 Jul17 Jun28 Jun14 (brown jared)AEBLY FRASER 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.