Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gillespie County Fair
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GIL-6   WIN (2/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GIL-7   WIN (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GIL-11   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GIL-6   08/26/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKPOT JILLY         (carrasco)ALVIZO RAFAEL 123 8.00 10% 9.30    
CAPOTE'S GLITTER Aug12 Jul16 Mar24     (uriegas joe)VERA T 128 2.50 52% 0.90    
Z GLITTER CAPOTE Aug12 Jul15 Aug27 Aug13 Jul16 (her)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 128 4.00    
APPEAL GUY Aug12 Jul15 Jul02     (aguir)AGUILAR PONCE 128 3.00 12% 7.70    
LIL PARTY CRASHER Aug12 Jul24 Jul01     (garza joaqu)RODRIGUEZ CELSO 120 20.00    
BIG BROWN NOW Aug12 Jul16 Aug19     (ramirez paul)EDISON JOCELYN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
CIBOLO ERL Jul15 Jul01 Mar03 Feb17 Jun04 (j)ZUNIGA LANDEROS 128 12.00    
A GIFT OF CANDY Aug12 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02   (rodriguez m)GILES FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
BEYOND INFINITY (FR) Jul15 Jul01 Jun04 May27 May11 (mas)URIETA MANUEL 128 5.00    
 
GIL-7   08/26/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCORKED HUMOR Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 May29 May06 (echeverria h)EDISON JOCELYN 123 10.00 10% 9.30    
KITCHEN MATCH Aug13 Jul16 Aug27 Apr02 Feb18 (uri)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 20.00    
HARRY Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 May27 May13 (rou)URIETA MANUEL 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
WAR ROGUE Aug13 Feb28 Dec21 Nov23 Oct22 (deleon pil)MORALES X 128 4.00 17% 5.00    
JESUIT Jun04 May06 Mar11 Feb10 Jan01 (garza joa)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 128 8.00    
ROCKET J. Aug12 Jun25 Apr06 Mar16 Jan27 (chavez ferna)HERBERT R 128 20.00    
LITTLE AVENGER Aug13 Jul16 Apr01 Mar18 Aug27 (camacho jose)VERA T 128 2.00 51% 0.90    
CURLINS CAPO Aug13 May14 May01 Apr09 Apr01 (williams)ALVIZO RAFAEL 128 20.00    
SCR  METALLIC SILVER Apr22 Feb12 Nov17 Jun17 May30 (roubion stev)VIVANCO L 123 2.50    
 
GIL-11   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST GCFA Texas Bred Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANDO Jul02 Jun18 May28 Apr22 Mar31 (u)ZUNIGA LANDEROS 128 20.00    
  (by GRASSHOPPER out of MILKSHAKE by KINGMAMBO)
DUST EM Jul01 Jun03 Apr08 Mar25 Jan26 (jacks karen )VIVANCO L 128 2.50 8% 10.80    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of DIXIE DUST by DIXIELAND HEAT)
WITT'S TAQUITO Jul16 Jun03 Apr29 Apr20 Mar03 (lloyd caro)MORALES X 128 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of CHROMEDOLL by DIXIELAND HEAT)
CARBON STRYKER Jul16 Jun17 May21 Apr27 Apr01 (bryant ge)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 128 3.00    
  (by CROSSBOW out of WHISKEY GIRL by SILVER TRAIN)
MR MONEY BAGS Jul01 Mar25 Apr29 Mar26 Feb19 (cla)URIETA MANUEL 128 1.60 69% 0.40    
  (by SILVER CITY out of MISS PHOTOGENIC by YOU AND I)
I'M A COWBOY Jul16 Jun15 May28 May13 Apr23 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 125 12.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of BENNY'S BOMBSHELL by BENNY THE BULL)
CHAMPAGNE STOOPER Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 May13 May05 (schneider er)VERA T 128 5.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of CHAMPAGNE SIPPER by MENHAL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.