Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(1/2/3)-(3/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-5   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/2/4)-(1/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/4/5)-(5/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(5/2/3)-(5/7/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(5/7/1/6)-(4/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-9   WIN (5/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/6)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-10   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET DYNASTY Jul10 Jun25 Jun11 May27 Mar30 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 125 3.00    
2  SOCIAL CIRCLE Jul31 Jun17 May19 Sep30 Aug19 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 5.00    
SCR  SHELBY TO Aug05 Jul21 Jul10 Jun17 Jun04 (martinez k)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 6.00    
4  SHE'S A BIG STAR Jul31 Jun18 May28 Mar16 Dec31 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 123 2.50 17% 4.80    
5  LONG MONDAY Jul31 Jul09 Jun17 Sep29 Sep16 (martinez kel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 1.20 31% 2.30    
 
PRM-5   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVENIR Aug05 Jul14 Jun24 Jun02 Jun19 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  TWIRLING CHIEF Jul30 Jul10 Jun26 Jun16 May27 (young e)BIRZER E 122 2.00 16% 5.20    
3  APOLLO BAY Jul30 Jul10 Jun30 Jun16 Jun03 (donlin larry)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00 11% 8.10    
4  BRILLIANT COLORS Aug05 Jun26 Jun09 May27 May19 (rufino eusebi)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 5.00    
5  GINGER RULES Jul30 Jul23 Jul14 Jul02 Jun17 (roe ro)FLETCHER D 122 1.60    
 
PRM-6   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.821K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIANT GAMBLE Jul29 Jul03 Jun16 May28 Mar11 (donlin lar)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 8.00    
2  SHUT UP MAN Aug07 Jul10 Jun26 Jun16 Jun03 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
3  UNCLE CHAD Jul29 Jul16 Jun17 Jun05 May19 (anderson )DE CRUZ 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
4  MR. SOLO Aug04 Jul10 Jun23 Jun02 Apr13 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 124 10.00 11% 7.90    
5  IT'S ALL ABOUT JOE Aug11 Jul29 Jul16 Jun16 Jun05 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 124 3.00    
SCR  SCRUTINIZER Aug14 Jul02 Jun23 May19 Apr01 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 124 2.50    
 
PRM-7   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUZZER Jul02 Jun16 Sep23 Sep04 Aug14 (hemba bra)DE CRUZ 126 1.80 38% 1.70    
2  GRAVES MILL ROAD Jul03 Jun19 May22 Apr18 Mar14 (arnett g)BIRZER E 126 3.00    
3  AMERICAIN JOEY Jul03 Jun12 May21 Sep24 Sep04 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
4  DAVIDIC LINE Jul16 Jun12 Apr01 Mar10 Feb05 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
5  BROADWAY PETE Jul31 Jul16 Jun12 May27 Mar18 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 4.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  OCEAN RIDE Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 May21 Apr02 (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 118 3.50    
 
PRM-8   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEET GEORGE JETSON Aug04 Jul17 Jul07 Jun19 May29 (hemba )FLETCHER D 124 3.50    
2  HALLOW POINT Aug06 Jul02 May27 Apr23 Mar25 (schleis case)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
3  SKYFLYER Aug04 Jul15 Jul03 May22   (chleborad lynn)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DODGER BLUE Jul17 Jun09 May05 Feb20 Jan30 (rollins scott)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 10.00    
5  WILD APPEAL Aug04 Jul02 Jun19 Aug15 Jul18 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
6  SPEEDBAYOU Aug04 Jul15 Jul03 Jun19 Jun03 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 4.00 ★    
7  C P THREE Jul24         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 8.00    
 
PRM-9   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.477K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BILLY BOB ROCKET Aug05 Jul17 Jun25 Jun10 Mar25 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.00 11% 8.50    
2  FRANKLY EPIC Jul30 Jul09 Jun30 Jun18 May19 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 123 12.00    
3  SOLE SURVIVOR Jul30 Jul10 Jun30 Jun18 May28 (tibbitts d)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 15.00    
4  ONE LAST CHANT Jul28 Jul10 Jun05 Oct01 Sep16 (jacquot gene)ZIMMERMAN R 123 3.50    
5  STAR OF MINE Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
6  ACCELERITAS Jul30 Jul09 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 120 15.00 6% 14.60    
7  LURCH Jul30 Jul09 Jun16 May27 May12 (compton jesse)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 5.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  DAY MONEY Jul30 Jul15 Jun26 May26 Oct02 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 123 6.00    
9  ONE SOCK BILLY Jul29 Jul15 Jun26 May28 May13 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
 
PRM-10   08/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($44.554K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOKE UP IN LOVE Jul22 Jun23 May21 Oct01 Sep05 (foley p)JORDAN R 123 20.00 17% 5.00    
2  SMART N INTUITIVE Jul01 Jun16 Jun04 May19 Oct01 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 3.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  EVIL KNIEVEL Jul29 Jun30 May26 May13 Sep16 (wellington)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 15.00    
4  WHISKEY WEDNESDAY Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 Jun02 Oct01 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  MAHOMES Aug07 Jul16 Jun23 Jun04 May20 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 125 8.00    
SCR  JOHN R Aug04 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 Aug29 (hemba bra)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
SCR  GOLD TAPPER Aug06 Jul07 Jun25 Jun10 May26 (fett brandi)NOLL S 118 10.00    
SCR  LUCKY AIN'T ENOUGH Jul17 Jun10 May13 Apr23 Mar26 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00    
9  SUCCESSION (GB) Jul29 Jul17 May13 Sep30 Sep03 (fett brandi)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 6.00    
SCR  WARRIOR'S RUN Aug07 Jul22 Jun30 Jun18 May29 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 125 8.00    
11  BIG PINES SANDY Aug07 Jul16 Jul02 May26 May13 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.