Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-5   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(5/6/1)-(1/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(1/3/6)-(2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-7   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(2/6)-(4/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-8   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(4/2/6)-(7/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-9   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(7/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(7/3/4)-(6/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-10   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRM-11   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/1)-(6/4/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.477K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LOUIE Jul22 Jul02 Jun16 Oct02 Sep23 (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 8.00    
SCR  GONE WITH THE FINN Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 Jun03 May13 (martinez kelli)ZIMMERMAN R 122 3.00    
3  DISCREET INVASION Jul17 Jun26 Jun03 May20 Mar25 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 18% 4.50    
4  SCRUTINIZER Jul02 Jun23 May19 Apr01 Feb18 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  NOT ROCKET SCIENCE Jul22 Jun26 Jun16 Jun03 Oct02 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 124 6.00    
SCR  KWAI CHANG Jun04 May20 Sep12 Aug13 Jul16 (martinez kelli)TOHILL S 122 5.00    
 
PRM-6   08/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR JOCK Jul21 Jul02 May06 Apr25 Mar06 (mcfarlane dan)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  GALACTIC EMPIRE Jul14 Jun09 May19 Apr15 Mar16 (martin e)BIRZER E 124 8.00    
3  ITWASTHISBIG Jul08 Jun17 May26 May05 Apr08 (loy dewain)JORDAN R 118 6.00    
4  DARYL'S BOLT Jul08 Jun17 Apr30 Apr16 Mar04 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 4.00    
5  K C ROCKET Jul22 Jun11 Apr23 Sep07 Aug22 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  FREE MAKER Jul21 Jun23 May21 Feb24 Feb03 (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
PRM-7   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACIE'S BOY ROY Jul17 Jun24       (guillory )DE CRUZ 119 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of AMARIAH GRACE by SKY MESA)
SCR  X RAY VISION Jul30 Jun26 Jun11 May06 Apr15 (rollins sc)WELLINGTON KYLIE 111 4.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of WINNING VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
3  DEFIANT MALICE Jul31         (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of YOU FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
4  RYAN'S WIND Jul17         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LONGSHOT RUN by DISCREET CAT)
5  RAZOR WIRE         (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 116 3.50    
  (by ENTICED out of BY N' BY LORD by SAINT LIAM)
6  BORDINOS Jul31 Jul17 Jun24 Jun11   (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of MANE PRINCESS by MINESHAFT)
 
PRM-8   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($25.422K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR SNERDLY         (pearson p)TRIANA JR 124 10.00 24% 3.20    
2  FRANKLYGREAT Aug05 Jul17 Jul07 Jun25 Jun10 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 1.40 27% 2.80    
SCR  BILLY WHO Aug05 Jun25 May28 Aug06 Jul02 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 119 3.00    
4  TAP ON BY Aug06 Jul15 Jun18 May26 May13 (hemba )FLETCHER D 119 5.00    
5  TAIL OF SAMSON Jul29 Jun26 May28 Aug13 Jul23 (donlin larry )PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00    
6  LITTLEMORE TA KELA         (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
7  EYE OF THE PANTHOR Jul07         (pearson pa)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 12.00    
 
PRM-9   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALMA'S PRINCESS Jul28 Jul10 Jun25     (ibarra jo)DE CRUZ 118 8.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of RESTRAINING ORDER by SKIP TRIAL)
2  LOVE AMPLIFIED Aug04 Jul16 Jun24 May28   (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 3.50 12% 7.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  BOTITA Feb08 Jan06       (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of NESSO by ROMAN RULER)
4  TRUE EMOTION Jul16 Jun24 May28 Apr29 Mar02 (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of BLAGEUSE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  I BILEVE Jul28 Jun24 Jun05 Oct12 Sep30 (swan e)TOHILL S 118 10.00    
  (by BLAME out of SKY GARDEN by ACCLAMATION)
6  AN AWESOME LEGACY         (swan patr)TRIANA JR 118 6.00 10% 9.20    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SLIM FIT by TIZNOW)
7  PETTICOAT Jul01         (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 4.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SPINSTRESS by HARD SPUN)
 
PRM-10   08/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE THUNDER Jul08 Jun16 Apr15 Dec03 Nov04 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 117 12.00    
SCR  T BONES TRICK Jun25 Jun10 Apr24 Mar28 Mar05 (rarick wade)BIRZER E 117 5.00    
3  SEASIDE BOY Jul16 Jun02 Apr28 Feb26 Jan29 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 118 3.50 18% 4.70    
4  CASEYS MEMORY Jul31 Jun19 May27 Apr29 Mar13 (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00 9% 9.70    
5  TIME MACHINE Jul22 Jun11 May21 May03 Apr24 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 118 10.00    
6  DIAMOND RIM Jul24 Jul24 Jul09 Jun11 May21 (mcfarlane da)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00    
7  ULTIMATE Jul24 Jul07 Jun09 May06 Apr23 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
 
PRM-11   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($45.864K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEGGY RULES Jul24 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May19 (young e)ROMAN KEVIN 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  DAMASCUS GATE Jul24 Jul03 May22 Aug08 Jul16 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 122 4.00    
3  ADDABABY Jul24 Jun25 May27 Oct02 Sep18 (wellington tom)CORBETT W 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GIRLS IN CHARGE Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May19 Feb24 (arnett g)BIRZER E 126 3.00 10% 8.70    
5  BAYLEYWICK Jul07 Jun18 May19 Apr22 Apr08 (foley sea)DE CRUZ 122 5.00    
6  SHEMEANSBIZNESS Jul31 Jun23 May22 Sep18 Aug28 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 126 3.50 66% 0.50    
7  BUG A BOO Jul24 Jul07 Jun12 May19 Oct02 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 122 6.00    
8  RAISIN RAISIN Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May22 May12 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.