Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/4/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(3/4/2/7)-(1/6/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-7   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(1/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(1/6/3/4)-(8/9/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRM-8   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/4)-(8/9/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/4)-(8/9/3/1)-(9/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-9   WIN (8/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/1)-(8/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/1)-(8/9/3/1)-(8/9/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/3/1)-(9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-10   WIN (9/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/3)-(9/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/5/3)-(9/5/3)-(9/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND DESIGN Jul24 Jul07 Jun10 May27 Apr29 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
2  CALIFORNIA SWING Mar24 Feb19 Feb11 Oct12 Sep13 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 124 1.80    
3  CLASSIC BET Jul09 May22 Feb15 Jan29 Jan11 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 120 8.00    
4  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Jul17 Jun17 May28 Apr16 Mar31 (rufino eusebi)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 3.50 12% 7.20    
5  AUTOPILOT Jul10 May13 Apr29 Dec20 Nov28 (arnett g)BIRZER E 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  RECORDER Aug07 Jul30 Jul09 May12 Apr22 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 124 3.00    
 
PRM-5   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD MAKER Jul28 Jul09 Jun12 Dec10 Nov26 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 119 10.00    
2  TRIP TO FREEDOM Jun30 Jun22 May19 Apr23 Mar19 (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 8.00    
3  JAZZ BRUNCH Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 May21 Apr28 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 1.60 28% 2.50    
4  JACK'S PARTY GIRL Jul21 Jun30 Jun17 May19 Apr22 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00    
5  CHAMPAGNE BLING Jul21 Jul01 Jun17 Jun10 May19 (schutz pam)BIRZER E 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
6  REINA DEL SUR Jul31 Jul21 Jun02 May22 Apr08 (donlin la)DE CRUZ 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
 
PRM-6   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAT DARES RIGHT Jul21         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 118 2.50    
2  BEACH BABY Jul28         (dieter da)DE CRUZ 118 10.00    
3  KENZIE LOU Jul28 Sep30 Sep18 Sep03 Aug18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 1.40 43% 1.30    
4  EXTESSA May14 Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Nov02 (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 113 3.00    
5  CHARACTER COUNTS Jul30 Jul09 Jun16 May14 Apr28 (houghton bryan)TOHILL S 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
6  CZECHITOUT Jul30 Jun05       (dieter dalto)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 12.00 6% 15.30    
 
PRM-7   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHER AUTHORITY Jul22 Jun10 May22 May05 Mar26 (martin e)BIRZER E 124 10.00    
2  LOVER BOY Jul29 Jul14 Jun25 Jun04 May12 (martinez kel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 5.00 10% 9.10    
3  BRAZEN NOW Apr22 Feb25 Feb04 Dec21 Oct04 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  FEROCITY Jun26 Jun18 Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
5  JONATHAN WHO Jul24 Jun04 Apr02 Mar25 Mar11 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 124 8.00    
6  HERITAGE PARK Jul22 Jun11 May22 May05 Mar23 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 124 3.50    
7  BLUESKIESANDANGELS Aug04 Jul03 Jun09 May17 Apr26 (martinez )DE CRUZ 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-8   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($25.422K) 2 ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAYDENSQUEENOHARTS Aug04 Jul21 Jun30     (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 116 4.00 39% 1.50    
2  MAKEMEABELIEVER Jul22         (johnston )TRIANA JR 119 12.00    
3  NICE ONE JULIO Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12   (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 2.00 7% 13.50    
4  KICKIN' CHARLIE         (dieter da)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 6% 16.50    
5  D'S MIC DROP Jul22 Jun12       (martin)FLETCHER D 119 15.00    
6  ILLEGAL ICE         (murphy travi)SALAZAR TERESA 114 3.00 25% 2.90    
7  BACKSEAT BABY Jun30         (mcshane d)TOHILL S 116 5.00    
8  CEL'S STAR Jul08 Jun19 Jun04     (hicklin christi)ROMAN KEVIN 116 8.00    
 
PRM-9   08/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cyclones Purse ($75K) 3UP C/G PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINECRAFT MANIAC May21 Oct01 Sep05 Aug13 Jul18 (anderson l)TOHILL S 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of OUR SWEET MARY B by OFFICER)
2  RUNNING ALEX'SBAND Jul16 Jun23 Jun04 May21 Oct01 (martinez )TRIANA JR 118 12.00    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of RUN WITH THE BAND by GULCH)
3  C R INSTA GATOR Jul22 Jun26 May29 May13 Oct01 (von kelly)BIRZER E 118 8.00 6% 14.90    
  (by PAYNTER out of PARTYTIME CHILL by DESERT PARTY)
4  WARREN L Jul08 Jun10 May26 May13 Mar23 (anderson )DE CRUZ 117 4.50    
  (by MINESHAFT out of OUR SWEET MARY B by OFFICER)
SCR  ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Jul29 Jul20 Jul02 May29 May13 (rarick wade)JORDAN R 115 20.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of CAGEY GIRL by CROWD PLEASER)
SCR  BIG LUKE Jul22 Jun03 May13 Oct01 Sep12 (von kelly)CORBETT W 117 3.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of WARMHEARTED SANDY by SAY FLORIDA SANDY)
7  LAWLESS JOHN Jul29 Jul10 Jun18 May26 May13 (murphy swan)NOLL S 118 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LATASENSE by STREET SENSE)
8  TIME GOES ON Jul22 Jun24 Oct01 Aug13 Jul18 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DAWNIE MACHO by MACHO UNO)
9  SIR WALLY WALLY Jul22 Jun23 Jun11 May21 Oct01 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by REVOLUTIONARY out of PAWS UP by POSSE)
 
PRM-10   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.821K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S BOY BLUE Jun26 Jun05 May12 Apr23 Aug22 (clay pat)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 5.00    
SCR  PANCHOSSIETELEGUAS         (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00 18% 4.60    
3  DEER RUN         (wellingto)TRIANA JR 118 8.00 18% 4.60    
4  MR. PRIME TIME Oct02 Sep16 Aug26 Jul16 Jun30 (pearson p)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
5  CYTOKINE STORM         (campos man)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  HANDSOME STRANGER Aug05 Jul15 May28 Sep30 Aug15 (rufino eusebio)ZIEGLER ZACK 124 2.50    
7  LET'S ROCK N ROLL Jul29 Jun17 May28 May13   (dieter dalton)TOHILL S 118 4.00    
SCR  SPIRITED DREAM May28 May13       (donlin d)ZIMMERMAN R 118 20.00    
9  QUARTERNIGHT Jul29 Jun25 Jun17 May28 May12 (fett brandi)SALAZAR TERESA 113 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.