Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RUI-3   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
RUI-5   WIN (9/3/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/10/7)-(9/3/2/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/10/7)-(9/3/2/10/7)-(9/3/2/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
RUI-7   WIN (9/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/8/5)-(9/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/8/5)-(9/7/8/5)-(9/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-9   WIN (9/11/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/11/8/12)-(9/11/8/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/11/8/12)-(9/11/8/12)-(9/11/8/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-11   WIN (2/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/6)-(2/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/6)-(2/8/4/6)-(2/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-3   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HUNKALICIOUS Jul29 Jul22 Mar19 Mar14 Jan15 (eliott ro)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 15.00    
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV May13 May05 Apr08 Mar19 Mar05 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.00 12% 7.40    
TIZ MY HOUR Apr15 Mar21 Mar12 Feb28 Feb05 (van cr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 1.80    
TIME IS PRECIOUS May07 Apr08 Mar28 Mar19 Mar05 (c)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
SHAKE RAG Jul28 Jul08 May13 Apr15 Feb28 (van ro)CEBALLOS F 123 10.00    
WILLSHERWONTSHE Apr22 Apr09 Mar07     (estrada salvador)VALDEZ S 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
THE TIME'S RIGHT Jul14 May14 Nov21 Oct17 Oct01 (gomez alfredo)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00    
 
RUI-5   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.8K) 3 F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHARLIENE Apr02 Mar05 Feb19 Dec12 Oct31 (villalobos mig)CEBALLOS F 121 30.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of THANK GOODNESS by ORB)
KAYE Jul14         (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 3.50    
  (by PROCEED out of DAWN IS AFFIRMED by SHOOTER)
MI PRINCESA         (aldavaz h)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by G G FLAG out of HOT FOR YOU by LARRUPIN')
COUNCIL'S JAZEL Mar05 Feb19       (mcqueen la)RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of COUNCIL TALK by COUNCIL MEMBER)
PERFECTLY PUNCTUAL Apr02         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 20.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of SEAL by ON THE SAUCE)
PRINCESS KITTEN May20 Apr29       (martinez e)MEDELLIN A 121 5.00    
  (by NEXT BANDIT out of ENCANTADA by SKIMMING)
CANDY TRACK Jul14 Mar14 Mar05 Feb05 Jan17 (eliott roge)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of CLANCY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
PRETTY PEPPY Mar19 Mar05 Feb14 Jan22 Jan01 (collier jimm)MACIAS J 116 4.50    
  (by INDESTRUCTIBLE out of ALWAYS A CHANCE by REDATTORE (BRZ))
ARE YOU LISTENING Jul08 May20 Mar14     (buechler j)HEBERT J 121 2.50 71% 0.40    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of SUPER SISTER by YOUR EMINENCE)
10  MARKING'S MIRACLE Jul14 Jun11 May20 Apr02   (w)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of FOREST PIKE by OLD FORESTER)
 
RUI-7   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.8K) 2 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUG'S ROCKET Jul21         (lambert case)MACIAS J 115 10.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of ROCK THOSE HIPS by ROCKY BAR)
STREET MARK Jul21 Jul09       (c)DE CRUZ 117 20.00    
  (by MARKING out of SOPHRONIA by STREET SENSE)
SCR  EL HUARACHE PRIETO Jul09 Jun23       (duree d)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 12.00    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of ZILLY by WESTERN GAMBLER)
HOLY BULLET Jul21 Jun23 Jun09     (lambert)FUENTES T 120 6.00    
  (by MARKING out of CRAFTY CONTESSA by GIACOMO)
SWAYINGTOTHEMUSIC         (gonzalez juan)CORRAL DAMIAN 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of BERTRANDO'S LADY by BERTRANDO)
SI PASA ALGO Jun09         (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 15.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of DESERT LADY by BIG SKY CHESTER)
KOMFORT KID         (fincher w)VALDEZ S 117 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by COMFORT out of CARNIVAL KID by BROKEN VOW)
LORA LEE WHO         (fincher w)HEBERT J 117 4.50 10% 8.90    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of TALES IN EXCESS by TALE OF THE CAT)
GENTLE STORM         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 117 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of PLAYOFTHEDAY by MAKHRAJ)
 
RUI-9   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED DIVA Jun10 Mar28 Mar07 Jun11 Mar15 (riddle jack)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 20.00    
SCR  HAUTE LADY Jun11 May07 Apr09 Feb21 Jan24 (sedillo carlos)VALDEZ S 123 3.50 13% 6.80    
ISLA JANE Jun18 Apr29 Sep25     (h)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
SIMPERING SMILE Jun17 May13 May05 Mar11 Jan25 (lambert case)MACIAS J 116 10.00    
SCR  SUERTUDA Jul15 May14 May07 Apr15 Mar28 (gonzalez car)MEDINA ANTHONY 123 20.00    
DANIEL'S GIRL Mar21 Mar07 Feb19 Jan24 Jan10 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 30.00    
SCR  MISS JAX Jul29 Jul15 Jun04 May20 May06 (van cr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 2.50    
HALEY WHO Jun10 May07 Apr09 Mar07 Jan24 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00 11% 8.20    
MISS CONTINENTAL Jun24 Jun04 May05 Apr12 Mar12 (dennison h)HEBERT J 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
10  WESTLAND Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 Oct12 Oct05 (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 121 15.00    
11  I GET STORMED Jul15 Jun11 May07 Mar26 Feb19 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00 12% 7.00    
12  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Jun11 Feb05 Dec22 Nov05 Aug16 (gonzalez sal)JAIME R 123 20.00 9% 10.70    
 
RUI-11   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST ZAP Jul09 Apr02 Mar07 Jan29 Jan15 (gonzalez sal)CEBALLOS F 121 12.00    
NATION OF LAWS May20 Mar12 Jan03 Dec20 Nov30 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 36% 1.70    
IT'S SAUL RIGHT Jul09 Jun18 May07 Apr23 Mar26 (g)DE CRUZ 121 3.00    
GABRIELLA WHO Jun18 May07 Oct11 Sep28 Sep14 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.50 19% 4.30    
VERMEIL (URU) May21 Apr29 Mar07 Feb14   (hudson jeff)VALDEZ S 123 15.00    
LEMON DROP LADY Jul09 Apr19 Mar26 Feb14 Dec13 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CUZ I CAN DARLING Jul09 Jan03 Dec20 Nov08 Sep24 (villalo)FUENTES T 123 20.00    
CHARLEE MAE Jun24 Jun01 May11 Apr22 Apr07 (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 121 8.00 20% 4.00    
BRITISH EDGE Jun28         (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.