Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/2)-(7/3/1/2)-(6/7/3/5/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DMR-2   WIN (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/2)-(6/7/3/5/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/2)-(6/7/3/5/9)-(7/1/2/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DMR-3   WIN (6/7/3/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/5/9)-(6/7/3/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/5/9)-(6/7/3/5/9)-(6/7/3/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/3/5/9)-(7/1/2/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/5/9)-(7/1/2/8)-(5/2/9/4/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DMR-4   WIN (7/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/8)-(5/2/9/4/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/8)-(5/2/9/4/6)-(4/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DMR-5   WIN (5/2/9/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/4/6)-(5/2/9/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/4/6)-(5/2/9/4/6)-(5/2/9/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/9/4/6)-(4/1/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9/4/6)-(4/1/7)-(4/8/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DMR-6   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(4/8/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(4/8/2/3)-(6/7/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DMR-7   WIN (4/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/3)-(4/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/3)-(4/8/2/3)-(4/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/3)-(6/7/5/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
DMR-8   WIN (6/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/9)-(6/7/4/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/9)-(6/7/4/5/9)-(6/7/4/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   08/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE IS ROMANTIC         (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLAME out of ROMANTIC FROLIC by VINDICATION)
CHI CHI         (wilensky herm)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SIMPLY CONFECTION by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
KALIFORNA K Jul08         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 5.00    
  (by YOSHIDA (JPN) out of TOTAL WAR by WAR PASS)
SOPHIE JEAN         (mendez lui)VAN DRAYDEN 120 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AGATHA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SHE'S MY NIECE Jun16 May27 May12     (o'neil)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANYDAYISMYDAY by AFLEET ALEX)
CAILIN DANA         (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ENTRECHAT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
INDIAN DREAMER         (brinkerhoff)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 15.00    
  (by MITOLE out of GO GO DANA by MALIBU MOON)
MYSTICISM         (mandella richar)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by WAR FRONT out of CLAIRVOYANCE by ARCH)
SCR  PACIFIC ROSE         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 4.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NAPLES ROSE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  CYPRUS MOON         (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 5.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of HOLY FASHION by HOLY BULL)
SCR  AVOIR         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PRINCESS JULIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  JULIAS DREAM         (mccarthy michae)MALDONADO E 120 6.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CINNAMON GIRL by MEADOWLAKE)
 
DMR-2   08/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMENT'S PLEASURE         (lewis )BERRIOS ISAAC 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
DORIE MILLER Jul21         (miyadi steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
ACCLAIMED PREACHER         (mathis and)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
LOVME LIKEAFOOL Jun09 May20       (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 15.00    
UNIFIED A. P. Jul01 Jun09       (freeman edwar)VALDIVIA JR 120 2.50    
COCKTAIL CUTIE Jun16 Apr29       (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00    
BROOKYS GAL Jul07         (mccanna tim)BRAVO J 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
DMR-3   08/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SAVANT Jun10 May06 Apr25 Mar27 Feb28 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 12.00    
TEX HANLEY Jul09 Jun17 Jun03 May20 Apr29 (fra)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 15.00    
HIGH HEATER Jun17 May17 Apr26 Apr12 Mar04 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 125 4.00 7% 13.20    
BLAMELESS Jul03 Oct10 Sep18 Sep02 Aug06 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 125 10.00 5% 18.80    
SUNRISE JOURNEY Jul04 May28 Apr23 Apr07 Mar12 (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 125 2.50 56% 0.80    
TABLE FOR TEN Jul04 Jun09 Feb11 Jan22 Jan02 (mclean bill)FRESU ANTONIO 125 4.00 8% 11.20    
SHOT OF A LIFETIME Jul04 Jun04 Feb11 Jan22 Jan02 (mclean bill)BRAVO J 125 6.00    
J T'S WATCH Jul09 Jun23 May05 Jan02 Dec11 (bonde jeff)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BRAVESTONE Jul03 Jun04 Oct28 Sep04 Aug04 (rosales ri)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 125 15.00    
11  MY INDY Jul21 Jun03 Apr29 Apr10 Mar07 (belvoir va)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 125 8.00    
SCR  BIG SWEDE Jul04 Jun25 May14 Apr23 Mar31 ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-4   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORCESTER Jul08 Jun11 May26 Feb04 Jan15 (baffert bob)ESPINOZA V 120 1.60 26% 2.90    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LIL SUPER BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
MUCINO Jul08 Jun09 Apr07 Jan27 Jan01 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of INDIAN TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
ARROMAX Jun18         (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of WICKED LICK by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
CAPTAIN CHOOCHIES Jul08 Jun18 May05     (pap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 12.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MIGHTY RENEE by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  EXCEL CALCULATOR Jun09 May19 Apr07 Mar11 Feb04 (ellis ronal)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SIERRA ELECTRICA by TAPIT)
UNION TRAIN Apr17         (shirreffs john)BRAVO J 125 12.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MISS FROST by CURLIN)
YELLOW BRICK May29 Apr30 Mar11 Feb12 Jan22 (mandella richar)VAZQUEZ A 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of A LITTLE BIT SASSY by MORE THAN READY)
CONFUCIUS Jun25         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of MUMTAAZAH by TAPIT)
 
DMR-5   08/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN AGAIN Jun16 May19 Apr28 Mar31 Mar03 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 8.00    
ESSENTIAL BUSINESS Jul08 Jun11 Oct30 Oct07 Sep11 (o'neill dou)HERRERA A 123 4.00 22% 3.70    
ROSIE FORECAST Jul01 May26 Apr23 Mar19 Feb19 (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 12.00    
TAMARA MINE Jul09 Jun24 May19 Apr21 Mar31 (tamayo isid)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
CORNELIA FORT Jun16 May20 Apr22 Mar26 Jan28 (kruljac ian)FRESU ANTONIO 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
I HAD THAT ONE TOO Jul01 Jun04 May05 Apr13 Mar25 (mccarthy sean)SMITH E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S A BIT SASSY Jul01 Jun10 Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 125 10.00    
COURT SNORT Jun16 May19 Oct09 Sep10 Aug12 (koriner brian)BRAVO J 118 8.00    
DADDYSRUBY Mar11 Jan07       (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 21% 3.90    
10  SENSIBLE MOVE Jun16 May05 Apr09 Mar09 Feb12 (pederson dean)VAZQUEZ A 123 6.00    
SCR  WARRIOR'S MOON Jun17 May14 Apr28 Sep22 Sep01 (sadler john)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 10.00    
SCR  TRUE PATRIOT Apr28 Jan28 Dec26 Nov25 Oct28 (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 5.00    
 
DMR-6   08/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Real Good Deal Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KANGAROO COURT May06 Apr08 Mar04 Aug20 Jul23 (yakteen ti)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
  (by DADS CAPS out of BONUS SPIN by HARD SPUN)
GIVER NOT A TAKER Jul03 Jun04 Jan07 Dec18 Oct29 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 5.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of KITTENS TRIP by KITTEN'S JOY)
BOSS SULLY Jul23 May28 Apr21 Mar18 Feb11 (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ETERNALLY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
BUS BUZZ May28 Apr08 Mar04 Feb04   (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of LOST BUS by BRING THE HEAT)
BARELY FUNTIONAL Jul09 Jun11 May13 Apr28 Apr08 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 20.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
CLOUSEAU May28 May05 Apr08 Jan27 Jan06 (kru)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00 7% 13.10    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of ENGLISH GARDEN by BERNARDINI)
SCR  GEEZER Jan07 Dec18 Nov27 Oct30 Sep16 ( )TBA null      
  (by MERIT MAN out of PAT OLCOTT by MORE THAN READY)
 
DMR-7   08/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN Jun16 May27 Apr23 Mar05 Dec31 (glatt mark)BRAVO J 120 6.00    
BEER CAN MAN May20 Apr22 Feb20 Jan01   (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
SILENT POET Jun15 May14 Apr02 Nov27 Oct08 (sadler w)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TURN ON THE JETS (IRE) Jun16 Dec03 Nov06 Oct08 Aug18 (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
RADICAL RIGHT Jun01 May04 Apr15 Mar11 Feb05 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
SUMTER Mar05 Dec26 Dec03 Sep10 Aug07 (mandella richard )SMITH E 120 10.00    
WAR AT SEA Sep03 Jun04 Apr16 Mar05 Feb13 (ellis w)ESPINOZA V 120 8.00    
NOBLE REFLECTION Jun16 May06 Apr09 Mar05 Mar19 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
DMR-8   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOK SMART Jun17 May13 Apr29 Mar27 Feb03 (yak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00    
TAHOE SECRETS Jun23 Aug13 Jul02 May20 Apr16 (yakteen tim)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 5.00    
TOP GUN CLASSIC Dec02 Jul24 Jul03     (gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 20.00    
KENTUCKY BOURBON Jul01 Jun17 May20 Apr15 Mar23 (mulhall kri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
D COLDEST May14 Apr28 Mar19 Feb15 Oct07 (crichton roha)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
PATRON D'ORO Jul03 Jul22 Jun19     (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) Jun23 Jun03 May20 Apr29 Mar19 (eurton peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
QUICK BUCK Jun17 May05 Sep03 Jul30 May30 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
STOP AND A TRES Jun23 May14 Apr29 Apr02 Mar04 (brinkerhoff)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.