Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-4   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/3/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/3/5/2)-(6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-7   WIN (4/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/2)-(6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/2)-(6/5)-(4/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-8   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(4/5/3)-(9/4/3/10/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRM-9   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(9/4/3/10/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PRM-10   WIN (9/4/3/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/10/8)-(9/4/3/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/10/8)-(9/4/3/10/8)-(9/4/3/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   07/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAIL COLUMBIA Jul01 Jun04 May04 Feb20 Jan01 (flores oscar)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
GOLD MAKER Jul09 Jun12 Dec10 Nov26 Nov11 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REMITTANCE SENT Jul01 Jun17 May20 Oct02 Sep25 (flores oscar)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00    
CHEER UP Jul09 Jun19 May22 May13 Apr16 (flores oscar)JORDAN R 124 2.00    
JERI DAWN Jul10 Jun17 May20 May04 Apr21 (martin e)TOHILL S 124 3.00    
CLASSY AND FAST Jul01 Jun19 Dec03 Oct27 Oct13 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-5   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I BILEVE Jun24 Jun05 Oct12 Sep30 Sep14 (swan e)TOHILL S 119 6.00    
KENZIE LOU Sep30 Sep18 Sep03 Aug18 Aug11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 9% 10.10    
HOT SUMMER DREAM Jul10 Jun24 May19 May04 Apr21 (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 119 1.80    
ALMA'S PRINCESS Jul10 Jun25       (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
BEACH BABY         (dieter da)DE CRUZ 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
PRM-6   07/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUPER CINDY Jul10 Jun24 May27 May04 Apr21 (murphy swan)NOLL S 113 6.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of RUTHERIENNE by PULPIT)
UNSTABLE PRINCE Feb20 Jan07 Dec17 Feb12 Jan29 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CHI OMEGA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
LIBERTY'S HAULER Jul07 May13 Dec26 Oct07   (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 4.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of AUGUST SNOW by TAPIT)
CONTRABANDISTA Jul07 Jun23 May27 May12 Mar24 (morse l)TOHILL S 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HARLAN'S ROMANCE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
UXMAL Jul07 Jun09 May20 May12 Feb18 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BONITA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
IMPECCABILITY May20 Apr30 Apr08 Oct19 Sep03 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 118 2.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of DREAMY LADY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
PRM-7   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNBOWED Jun26 May29 Apr23 Apr08   (morse l)TOHILL S 120 12.00    
HERZEN Jul08 Jun02 Apr03 Feb10 Jan18 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 4.50 9% 9.70    
OCEAN RIDE Jul09 Jun18 May21 Apr02 Mar19 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 124 5.00 16% 5.40    
REPLETE Jul14 Jun26 Jun03 Dec10 Nov25 (gleason t)TRIANA JR 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
GOLDEN LUNA Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May21 Apr15 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
LUCKY DUDE Jul14 Jun26 May21 Apr15 Mar23 (johnston )DE CRUZ 124 4.00    
PURE ROCKET Jul14 Jun11 May06 Apr11 Mar26 (mcfarlane da)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 8.00    
RASSLER Jul14 Jul02       (flores oscar)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
 
PRM-8   07/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.67K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROWDY RAY Jul15 Jun26 Jun09 May13 Jul04 (hargens bob)BIRZER E 125 4.00    
FLEET OF HOOF Jun30 Dec17 Oct30 Oct21 Oct01 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00    
SCR  TEMPLE CITY RUN Jul15 Jul07 Jun18 Jun05 May26 (guillory )TRIANA JR 120 2.00    
PISTOL PACKIN MAN Jul03 Jun17 Jun09 Oct01 Sep16 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 125 6.00    
ONE LAST CHANT Jul10 Jun05 Oct01 Sep16 Sep05 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 125 3.00 28% 2.50    
DREADPIRATEROBERTS Jul15 Jul03 Jun09 May19 Sep12 (murphy swan)NOLL S 120 3.50 33% 2.10    
 
PRM-9   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLO ENRY Jul16 Jun12 May06 Apr16 Mar30 (flores oscar)JORDAN R 122 2.50    
SCR  POP'S BISCUIT Jul22 Jul03 Jun16 May22 May06 (flores oscar)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00    
BIG BOSS BEN Jul09 Jun16 May30 May14 Apr27 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
AXTON Jul02 Jun18 May29 Apr14 Mar12 (von hemel)TRIANA JR 118 1.80 32% 2.20    
JAYSKER Jun10 May21 Oct01 Sep02 Aug07 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
PENETRATOR Jun26 Jun03 May20 Apr16 Apr02 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 122 4.00    
 
PRM-10   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANGRIA SKY Jul07 Sep25 Aug22 Aug06 Jul23 (tibbitts dave)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MOVIE MYSTERY by FLATTER)
BILLY WHO Jun25 May28 Aug06 Jul02   (mcshane davi)SALAZAR TERESA 114 15.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of JEFFELL by SAARLAND)
STUMPY'S LOVE SONG         (donlin la)TRIANA JR 119 10.00 8% 11.60    
  (by DANZA out of LOVESMEBACK by HOLD ME BACK)
RAYS BIG DREAM Jul07 Jun18 May26 Sep30   (von kelly)TOHILL S 119 4.00 13% 6.80    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of CRIMSON JAMAR by ADDED EDGE)
NINETEEN HUNDRED Jun25 Sep30 Sep19 Sep03   (guillory henry )CORBETT W 119 12.00    
  (by SPANIARD out of TRIBAL MISTRESS by TRIBAL RULE)
TAP ON BY Jul15 Jun18 May26 May13 Sep30 (hemba )FLETCHER D 119 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of FRIENDLY EMMA by FRIENDLY LOVER)
TACTICAL REBEL Jul17 Jun25 Jun17 Oct01 Sep23 (leapley e)ZIMMERMAN R 124 20.00    
  (by TACTICAL CAT out of REBELLING by BIG BROWN)
WILDER'S WIZARD         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of CREATIVE BLISS by CREATIVE)
GOLD TAPPER Jul07 Jun25 Jun10 May26 May13 (fett brandi)NOLL S 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by TAPITURE out of GOLDEN ELITE by ELITE SQUADRON)
10  WILY WADE Jul07 Jun18 May28 Aug22 Jul11 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00 8% 11.60    
  (by DANZA out of SCARLETT'S SEQUEL by WILDCAT HEIR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.