Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ruidoso Downs
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RUI-3   WIN (9/4/3/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/1/6)-(9/4/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/1/6)-(9/4/3/1/6)-(9/4/3/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
RUI-5   WIN (3/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-7   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
RUI-8   WIN (10/6/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/5/4/2)-(10/6/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/5/4/2)-(10/6/5/4/2)-(10/6/5/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
RUI-12   WIN (6/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RUI-3   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDNEY'S HOPE Jun23 Oct10 Sep14 Aug21 Aug10 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 20.00 7% 13.10    
2  FLAT FAST Jun18 Apr23 Apr08 Mar21 Mar05 (valdez-)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 3.50    
3  PLEASE THE COURT Jun04 Apr08 Mar05 Feb19 Jan29 (c)DE CRUZ 123 30.00 16% 5.40    
4  DUBRONSKY May06 Mar05 Feb21 Jan24 Nov30 (acosta jr)MEDELLIN A 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
5  BUMBLEBEE Sep30 Sep02 Aug17 May13 Apr30 (martinez h)JAIME R 123 8.00    
6  SOUTHERN SUMMER Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 Nov15 Oct23 (lambert)FUENTES T 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SOULONG Aug03 Jun05 Mar15 Mar05 Jan23 (quiroz filibe)MARQUEZ LARRY 123 30.00    
8  ZESTY JAZZMAN May29 Apr02 Mar21 Mar07 Feb07 (vill)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00    
9  COYSTER Jun16 Jan10 Nov30 Aug28 Aug14 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
10  CAIRO KING Jun23 Apr29 Oct01 Sep04 Aug13 (hudson)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 20.00    
SCR  SHANE ZAIN Dec19 Nov23 Nov05 Sep10 Aug08 (meraz jua)AMAYA RUIZ 123 30.00    
 
RUI-5   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOM WAYNE Apr29 Mar19 Feb19 Jan22 Jan08 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOOKING FOR BULL Jun18 Apr02 Mar28 Mar21 Mar12 (hancock d)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 6.00    
3  BESITOS CRIMINALES Jun18 May29 May06 Apr15 Apr02 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 2.50 63% 0.60    
4  GLENDORA MINECAT Jun23 May06 Apr15 Feb21 Feb12 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 3.50    
5  HALF COURT SAM May29 Apr02 Feb12 Jan29 Jan03 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00    
6  BEAR BRIAN Jun23 May14 Jan24 Jan08 Dec14 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  OFFENSIVE Jun18 May13 Apr02 Mar19 Feb12 (cross gary)HEBERT J 123 2.00 14% 6.40    
 
RUI-7   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVENOOR WOMAN Apr02 Mar05 Jan08 Dec20 Nov22 (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  RANEEM Jun17 Apr02 Dec20 Nov22 Oct31 (c)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 16% 5.40    
3  OUR SOUTHERN GIRL Apr02 Jan31 Jan08 Dec20 Oct10 (lambert)FUENTES T 123 15.00    
4  BRAVE CINDERELLA Mar26 Mar05 Jan08 Dec06 Oct04 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 4.00    
SCR  GEMSTONE GAL May28 Apr02 Mar05 Jan23 Oct11 (cappell)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 6.00    
6  FLYIN FALYNN Mar26 Jan08 Dec20 Nov22 Oct04 (zamora chri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.80 62% 0.60    
SCR  WILLSHERWONTSHE Apr22 Apr09 Mar07     (olguin ever)VALDEZ S 123 20.00    
8  DANNYBOB May06 Apr25 Mar18 Apr16   (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00    
 
RUI-8   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ'A STELLAR DUDE Jun25 May20 Jan17 Dec01 Nov01 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00    
2  BYE BYE HEATH Jun16 Apr02 Mar05 Feb12 Nov14 (barrios berna)MARQUEZ LARRY 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  DISCOVERY N SIGHT Jun23 Jun10 Mar28 Mar07 Jan17 (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 4.50    
4  JEEPS STRIDE Mar07 Jan17 Nov13 Mar08 Feb27 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DIABOLICAL FIRE Apr29 Mar28 Feb26 Jul30 Jun24 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 8.00 8% 11.70    
6  Z MARKS THE SPOT Jun23 Sep10 Jun26 Jun10   (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 6.00 32% 2.20    
7  RYDERS UP Jun11 May29 May13 Apr02 Feb28 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 3.50    
8  ALL YOUR JAZZ Mar05 Jan17       (gutierrez lee )CEBALLOS F 123 15.00    
9  JUVAL Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 May29 Apr29 (meraz juan)RODRIGUEZ H 123 20.00    
10  WARRIORS MARK Jun23 Mar14 Jan11     (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
RUI-12   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JULIA'S WARRIOR Jun18 Mar24 Mar02 Jan20 Nov27 (marlin i)HEBERT J 121 8.00    
2  K P AIM HIGH May21 Apr23 Apr08 Mar14 Feb05 (gonzalez jose )CEBALLOS F 123 10.00 23% 3.30    
3  OHHH DADDY Apr02 Feb12 Jan31 Nov22 Sep18 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 121 4.00    
4  EPWORTH Mar28 Feb28 Feb05 Jan22 Dec12 (fournier )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 118 15.00    
5  ROCKS A BLACK SUIT Jun28 May22 Apr03 Jan30   (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  GREY STORM Jun25 Apr23 Apr15 Mar19 Feb05 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.50 39% 1.50    
7  SPECIAL MOMENT Apr17 Apr04 Mar11 Feb18 Feb07 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
8  COUYONS CAUSE May13 Mar24 Mar02 Feb02 Jan05 (marlin i)VALDEZ S 123 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.