Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grande Prairie
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GPR-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GPR-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(3/5)-(1/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
GPR-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
GPR-4   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(6/1/5)-(4/3/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GPR-5   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GPR-6   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GPR-1   07/15/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEFINEDAY Jun30 Jun16 May26 Sep03 Aug20 (ferguson )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.60 28% 2.60    
SCR  JUST CLASSY Jun24 Sep25 Aug12 Jul31 Jul23 (smith jackie)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.50    
3  CAPALLI Jul08 Sep25 Sep04 Aug06 Jul16 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  HOME EARLY SHIRLEY Jun18 Sep25 Sep23 Sep18 Sep10 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 4.00    
5  DANCING ZAZINGA Jun23 Jun10 Jul30 Jul17 Jun11 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 6.00    
 
GPR-2   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH KELLY BABE May13 Aug28 Aug14 Jul23 Jul16 (mcnally kath)ANDROS CORRINE 124 4.50 11% 8.00    
2  CRITICAL CONDITION Sep07 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 Jul12 (tourangeau rus)ALLEN LARRIS 124 6.00    
3  FAMILY IS GOLD Jun23 Oct08 Sep10 Aug27   (bugeaud mik)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
4  RUNNIN BABY J Jun23 Oct09 Sep23 Sep04 Jul31 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
5  READY TO ORBIT Jun25 Nov13 Oct22 Sep17 Aug20 (fogle all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 4.00    
 
GPR-3   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DR A TO D Jun24 Jun18 Jun03 Oct28 Oct14 (little bear)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.00    
2  KING WITT Jul08 Jun24 Jun17 Oct09 Sep19 (mccracken)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00    
3  MEET AT JAKES Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May28 Oct10 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
4  PUDDLES Jun23 May28 Oct09 Aug28 Aug13 (rycroft clinto)ALLEN LARRIS 124 4.00    
5  FORGOTABOUTME Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May28 Oct01 (rycroft clin)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 1.80 26% 2.90    
 
GPR-4   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LLYRA Sep25 Sep10 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 (mcconaghie s)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00 32% 2.10    
2  QUALITY PLUS Jun23 Oct16 Sep25 Jul17   (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 1.40    
3  SHOUT Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.00    
4  SPECIAL INCLUSION Jun25 Oct28 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 (mcconaghie shaw)APANGO JUAN 124 10.00    
5  CMON SHARON Jun25 Oct02 Sep18 Aug14 Jul30 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
6  ANN OF WAR Jun25 Oct28 Oct14 Oct09 Aug28 (bugeaud mik)GORDON GARFIELD 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
GPR-5   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST OF WAR Jun23 Nov04 Oct10 Sep23 Sep10 (bugeaud mike)BUGEAUD L 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  CHAIRMAN FOX Nov26 Nov13 Oct28 Oct01 Sep16 (fogle all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 5.00    
3  QUICK SIX         (snider corey)ALLEN LARRIS 124 12.00    
4  STALWART BOY Oct29 Sep24 Aug14     (smith darc)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00    
5  BUZZSAW MCCLEARY         (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  FULLOUT FIRE Jun25 Oct29 Oct08     (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  WE NEED V L TS PLZ Jul09 Sep13 Sep05 Aug08 Aug01 (gardipy ra)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00    
 
GPR-6   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIZZLE N SUSIE Jul08 Jun23 Sep23 Sep10 Sep03 (blattler c)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MERMAID KISSES Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 Aug01 Jul12 (tourangeau rus)ALLEN LARRIS 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
3  CANDY RED Jun04 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Aug21 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
4  BIG AL'S PRINCESS Jun06 Apr18 Mar21 Mar06 Feb21 (tourangeau )GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.00 31% 2.30    
5  BELLA NOCHE Jun04 Oct08 Sep24 Aug28 Aug21 (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00    
6  I'M OUTTA HERE Jun18 Jun11 May27 Oct08 Sep25 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 5.00    
7  CHICLE SPARKS Jun23 Jun10 May28 Oct02 Sep24 (mohindee mankum)APANGO JUAN 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.