Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - June 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (7/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/5)-(7/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/5)-(7/4/8/5)-(7/4/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/8/5)-(2/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/5)-(2/6/5)-(6/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/1/5)-(7/6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(7/6/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/1/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-4   WIN (7/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/5)-(7/1/5/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/5)-(7/1/5/4)-(7/5/2/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SA-5   WIN (7/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/4)-(7/5/2/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(3/5/4/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SA-6   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/4)-(3/5/4/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/4)-(3/5/4/1)-(4/3/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SA-7   WIN (3/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/1)-(4/3/5/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/1)-(4/3/5/6)-(1/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-8   WIN (4/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/6)-(1/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/6)-(1/3)-(3/9/12/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-9   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/9/12/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
SA-10   WIN (3/9/12/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/12/6)-(3/9/12/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/12/6)-(3/9/12/6)-(3/9/12/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   06/11/2023 4290ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKS HIP May05 Apr09 Mar19 Jan21 Dec10 (knapp steve)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
SCR  FRIENDLY SHUFFLE May07 Apr09 Mar14 Feb07 Dec05 (lucas rober)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 108 50.00    
ROSENQUIST May20 Apr29 Mar27 Feb20 Jun10 (alvarado r)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 20.00    
SEISMIC SPIRIT (IRE) May26 Apr29 Apr02 Mar09 Feb10 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
THUNDERHEART May26 Apr21 Mar19 Aug11 Jul30 (craigmyle keith)FREY KYLE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUDACIOUS May13 Apr21 Mar19 Feb10 Jan08 (hanson ryan)FRESU ANTONIO 126 6.00    
DONCIC May05 Mar31 Jun03 May08 Mar27 (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
WESTWARD LOOK May26 Mar27 Feb19 Jul11 May04 (yak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 4.00 12% 7.20    
INCH May26 Mar31 Mar12 Feb11 Oct22 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 4.50    
 
SA-2   06/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATSYUK         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 4.00    
  (by PAVEL out of DAZED AND CONFUSED by SQUARE EDDIE)
LAST CALL LONDON May21 Apr30       (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 0.80 59% 0.70    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ZO LO'S LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
MR. DREAMCYCLE May21         (miyadi steven)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00    
  (by SMOKEM out of CLARA'S DREAM by DROSSELMEYER)
THIRSTY GAMBLER May21 Apr30       (cra)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 12.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of VEGAS BOUND by STORM WOLF)
BURAQ'S REFLECTION         (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SMILING TIGRESS by SMILING TIGER)
MICI'S EXPRESS May21 Apr30       (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 118 2.50 17% 4.70    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of HARLAN EXPRESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
SA-3   06/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 35 M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMBALA GIRL Jun04 May14 Apr23 Apr01   (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  CASIA May13 Apr22 Mar11     (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 126 2.50    
SENT BY ANGELS Apr19 Mar25       (belvoir van)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 15.00    
PRESTIGIOUS May12 Apr21 Mar26 Mar12 Feb12 (mendez luis)VALDIVIA JR 118 6.00    
LOVE OUR FAMILY May14 Apr07 Mar26 Feb17 Jan27 (truman eddie)FREY KYLE 118 3.50 10% 9.40    
MIDNIGHT SILENCE May12 Apr21 Mar25 Apr15 Mar07 (gallagher patrick)BRAVO J 126 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
SA-4   06/11/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARELY FUNTIONAL May13 Apr28 Apr08 Mar18   (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 4.00    
MY RANSOM May19 May07 Mar25 Mar18 Feb18 (sie)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 12.00    
GOLDENSUNRISE May06 Aug14       (mathis andy)MALDONADO E 118 4.00 7% 14.20    
UNCLE JOHN May19 Apr01       (eurton pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 10.00    
SAULS CALL Apr22 Feb25 Jan21     (saldana reed)CEDILLO ABEL 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
TRUMPED May21 Apr22 Mar26 Feb27 Feb06 (belvoir vann)VAZQUEZ A 126 2.50 18% 4.50    
FORGIVING SPIRIT May28 May06 Apr08 Mar05 Feb17 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.00 49% 1.00    
GOLF DRAMA Apr30 Oct29 Sep23 Sep04 May14 (bonde jeff)HERRERA A 118 12.00    
 
SA-5   06/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADY APPEAL         (bonde jeff)DESORMEAUX J 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by TWICE THE APPEAL out of SANTA LUCIA by CAHILL ROAD)
HANDSOME HARRY May29         (alvarado d)BRAVO J 118 6.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of DIXIE CHICK ROCKS by DIXIE CHATTER)
THIRSTY MOE May21         (alvarez g)MALDONADO E 118 20.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SHOW IT N MOE IT by GRACE UPON GRACE)
THIRSTY LOV         (dollase cra)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 10.00 9% 9.80    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ANGELA'S LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
IGNATOWSKI         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 4.00 11% 8.20    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ASSURE by VANLANDINGHAM)
EPISODE FIVE         (m)ROJAS EDUARD 118 4.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT (IRE) out of ROSES FOR JONI by UNUSUAL HEAT)
MR. CHIVAS May29 May12       (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 1.60 31% 2.30    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MISS ATHENA by CITY ZIP)
 
SA-6   06/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3 ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REXFORD May06 Mar19 Jan27 Nov19 Oct21 (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00    
CASTLEKNOCK May06 Nov13 Oct23 Oct09 Sep14 (miller peter)MALDONADO E 122 15.00 6% 16.20    
STAR PROSPECT Apr02 Mar03 Feb03 Jan08 Nov27 (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 122 15.00    
EASTBOUND May07 Mar25 Feb04 Nov25 Oct29 (shirreffs john)BRAVO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ACQUIRED CLASS May21 Apr22 Mar26 May20   (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 10% 8.60    
RANSOMWARE May21 Dec04 Nov12 Oct21   (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50    
ESCAPE ARTIST May07 Apr09 Feb04 Dec26   (mccarthy mic)DESORMEAUX J 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
 
SA-7   06/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOBY'S CANDY May29 Apr17 Mar19 Feb18 Jan23 (metz jeffre)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
ZZYZX May19 Apr23 Jul23     (ord)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00    
TENACIOUS LADY May19 Apr22 Mar19 Feb18 Dec04 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 118 2.50 30% 2.40    
STORM D'ORO May19 Mar31 Mar09 Jan28   (palma hecto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 6.00 18% 4.70    
FRIED ASPARAGUS May19 Jan13 Nov26 Oct23 Sep05 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 4.00 22% 3.50    
ESSENTIAL BUSINESS Oct30 Oct07 Sep11 Aug07 May08 (miller pete)HERRERA A 126 2.00    
SUGAR SUGAR May13 Apr22 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 126 4.00    
 
SA-8   06/11/2023 6600ft TURF RC11 FIRM Cinema Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL PERFECTO May14 Apr30 Apr08 Aug13   (desormeaux kei)ESPINOZA V 120 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of VOYAGE by RAHY)
SMART UNCLE May25         (thomas jonathan)BRAVO J 120 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SMART TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
WIZARD OF WESTWOOD May07 Apr02 Mar05 Jul03   (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 120 2.50 12% 7.20    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of FIGRARE by PURGE)
MI HERMANO RAMON May07 Apr07 Mar05 Jan27 Dec04 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SASSY SUANCES by SUANCES (GB))
MALTESE FALCON (IRE) May29 Mar12 Feb04 Dec26   (powell)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of ISABELLA by GALILEO (ARG))
PHOSPHORESCENCE (FR) May28 Apr29 Mar12 Jan21 Dec31 (mccarthy mic)DESORMEAUX J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CREATE A DREAM by OASIS DREAM)
WORCESTER May26 Feb04 Jan15 Dec26   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LIL SUPER BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
 
SA-9   06/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($71K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S MY HOUSE May13 Apr09 Feb19 Jan20 Nov25 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  JIMMY BLUE JEANS Jun03 Apr21 Mar18 Feb18 Nov05 (mathis andy)MALDONADO E 121 12.00    
MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH May27 Apr22 Mar19 Mar03 Jan15 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
AMERICAN ADMIRAL May13 Mar19 Jan28 Oct08 Sep04 (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00    
MISSED THE CUT (IRE)         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
SCR  TRIPOLI May29 Mar19 Jan28 Nov22 Nov06 (sadler w)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.00    
 
SA-10   06/11/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 8:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MOON         (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 118 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of GIVE MY REGARDS by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  JAI HO Apr30         (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ADJUST by AFFIRMED)
RIDIN'THESTORMOUT Aug25         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 32% 2.20    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of MALHAMA by TIZNOW)
BOLT'S GAL         (garcia c)FREY KYLE 118 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GLACKEN'S GAL by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SCR  MAKE IT SNOW Mar17 Feb12       (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SNOW KID by LEMON DROP KID)
HOT TEA Mar18         (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of TEA TIME by PULPIT)
SULTRY KITTEN         (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TOP CATS by AUSSIE RULES)
ANNIE'S JOY May20 Apr07       (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 118 6.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BOOTLEG ANNIE by GO FOR GIN)
STRIKINGLY May20 Apr30 Mar18 Feb20 Dec22 (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 4.00 10% 8.90    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of STAR SERENADE by CATRAIL)
10  FIRSTTIMEINFOREVER Oct23 Sep11       (powell leonard)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MISS FREEZE by FROST GIANT)
11  YOLO CALLS Jun30         (eurton pet)VAN DRAYDEN 126 20.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SEDUCTIVE CHARM by MACHO UNO)
12  IRRESISTIBLE FORCE May21 Apr30 Mar31 Mar05   (neh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 8.00 5% 17.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PARISIAN AFFAIR by MR. GREELEY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.