Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - April 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(5/4/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(5/4/6/1)-(6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-2   WIN (5/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/1)-(6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/1)-(6)-(5/7/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-3   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(5/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6)-(5/7/9/2)-(1/6/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-4   WIN (5/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/2)-(5/7/9/2/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/2)-(5/7/9/2/8)-(5/7/9/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/9/2)-(1/6/3/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9/2)-(1/6/3/5)-(4/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-5   WIN (1/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/5)-(4/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/5)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-6   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(4/7/6/2)-(9/5/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-7   WIN (4/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/2)-(9/5/3/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/2)-(9/5/3/7)-(3/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-8   WIN (9/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/7)-(9/5/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/7)-(9/5/3/7)-(9/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/3/7)-(3/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/5/3/7)-(3/5/4)-(9/7/1/8/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-9   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(9/7/1/8/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
WRD-10   WIN (9/7/1/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/8/5)-(9/7/1/8/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/8/5)-(9/7/1/8/5)-(9/7/1/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIT AROUND BROWN Apr11 Mar13       (moreno carlos)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 15.00    
2  OUR MOON PIE         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 10.00 18% 4.50    
3  BABY LIAISON Apr05 Mar21 Mar13 Dec16 Nov19 (gladd andy)KIMES C 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  SAZON Apr11 Mar27 Mar13 Dec14 Nov22 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 2.00    
5  WEST JET Feb18 Jan27 Jan14 Dec07 Aug06 (caster boyd)JORDAN R 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
6  OKIE CHROME Apr10 Apr03       (padilla juan)BIRZER E 122 3.50    
 
WRD-2   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENDIP RULER Apr11 Mar27 Mar13 Dec14 Nov11 (hale jame)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
2  MUCHO BLING Mar27 Mar13 Dec01 Nov11 Oct27 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00    
3  RUMBLING THUNDER Jul19 Jun13       (hale jame)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 8.00    
4  ROBERT WHO Mar27 Mar13 Dec02 Nov22 Nov11 (hartman alex)KIMES C 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
5  TERAWATT Apr11 Mar27 Mar07 Dec16 Dec02 (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 1.80 25% 2.90    
6  ROMANCER Apr11 Mar27 Mar21 Mar11 Feb05 (johnston la)STILLION BROOKE 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  TWILITE LIASON Mar27 Oct27 Oct14 Sep15 Aug25 (applebee david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
 
WRD-3   04/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPUTATION Mar28 Mar07 Dec14 Dec02 Nov05 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 2.50 ★    
2  CLASSIC SHINE Mar13 Jan22 Dec11 Nov25 Apr09 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00    
SCR  PIONEER TOWN Apr16 Mar31 Sep22 Sep03 Jul31 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  J R ORCHESTRATE Mar13 Nov14 Oct26 Sep24   (gladd andy)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00    
5  LITTLE SOLDIER BOY Mar27 Mar04 Mar25 Feb24   (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 124 3.00    
6  SHINE JACK'S DREAM Apr04         (dixon tim)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.00 32% 2.20    
7  MR GYPSY Apr04 Mar14       (gladd andy)KIMES C 124 4.00 ★    
 
WRD-4   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LISTEN DISTINCTLY         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of MNMSSWEEPINBEAUTY by WITH DISTINCTION)
2  SPELL FREEDOM Apr11 Mar21 Feb19     (caster boyd)BIRZER E 124 4.50 8% 12.10    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MY LUCKY SPELL by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  UNBRIDLED TRULOVE         (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
4  JADE ENVY         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 12.00    
  (by CUPID out of HALO AHEAD by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  DODGEBALL Apr04 Mar14 Nov19     (luneack ther)JORDAN R 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TETHERBALL by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  SWEETASLIFECANBE         (biehler micha)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 12.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of MISSTERIA by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
7  HAPPY IN HEELS Mar25 Mar10 Feb05 Jan15 Nov03 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  ELENA MAE         (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 8.00 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of NAPLES GOLD by LANGFUHR)
9  ELIZA ROSE Mar28         (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of FU PEGGI SUE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
WRD-5   04/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELL SHOCKER Apr03 Mar07 Feb10 Dec16 Oct13 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
2  GUNNER PAUL Apr03 Mar21 Mar13 Feb25 Feb10 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00    
3  MONET'S DEVIL Apr03 Mar13 Feb10 Jan22 Jan14 (martin steve)KIMES C 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
4  MAGIC CARPET Apr12 Apr03 Mar20 Mar13 Mar03 (martin steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00    
5  WEST TEXAS RAIN Apr11 Nov21 Oct14 Sep28 Jul22 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 8.00 8% 12.30    
6  MISTER WAYSIDE Mar28 Mar07 Dec15 Nov19 Oct21 (oberlander jes)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
7  CONNORS OUTLAW Apr04 Mar14 Feb05 Nov30 Oct21 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 118 3.00    
 
WRD-6   04/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKING GUITAR Mar28 Mar14 Feb26 Feb04 Jan14 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 12.00    
2  NAUGHTY NATALIE Mar28 Mar14 Feb26 Feb04 Dec14 (buehrer mark)JORDAN R 124 6.00 ★    
3  JAN'S BABY Dec03 Nov03 Sep02 Feb25 Feb09 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 124 3.00 7% 13.40    
4  SERENDIPITY COCO Mar13 Feb04 Dec09 Nov03 Sep21 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
5  NOODLE SALAD Apr12 Mar13 Dec02 Apr12 Feb17 (biehler michae)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00    
6  LENA'S SHADOW Mar27 Mar13 Dec10 Dec02 Nov08 (pogue bob)WETHEY JR 124 3.50    
7  PEARL'S CODE Mar13 Feb25 Jan07     (ashford h)TRIANA JR 118 5.00 31% 2.20    
 
WRD-7   04/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK KAT TAPS Feb24 Jan29 Jan01 Oct14 Sep18 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 8.00    
2  INTO CLASSIC Apr11 Feb11 Nov15 Oct02 Sep13 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 121 5.00 12% 7.30    
3  HOT SPRINGS BLING Mar17 Mar04 Feb03 Dec30 Jun16 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 8.00    
4  BOSSY MOMENT Dec17 Oct20 Oct01 Sep18 Aug12 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
5  FAVORITE SISTER Apr04 Jul11 May17 Apr26 Apr12 (coffey ches)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 30.00    
6  FIGHTINGTEMPTATION Mar27 Mar13 Dec17 Nov21 Nov08 (williams alan)BIRZER E 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
7  GOTTA SEE RED Mar27 Sep28 Jun18 May02   (craddock k)ERAMIA E 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
WRD-8   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELUSIVE FREUD Apr05 Mar21 Mar07 Dec10 Dec02 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 5.00    
2  STREETSTER Mar24 Feb10 Jan07 Jul08 Jun19 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 12.00    
3  FREER Apr05 Mar21 Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 (stephens jer)JORDAN R 124 4.00 9% 10.30    
4  WHO'S BIG DADDY Mar21 Nov08 Oct05 Sep19 Aug15 (stephens jerry )GOFF L 124 30.00    
5  DEPUTY LAW Dec02 Nov08 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
6  GRAYGHOSTGRANVILLE Apr05 Sep03 Jul12 Jun21 Jun07 (williams j )HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 8.00    
7  SCHLEICHER Mar20 Mar06       (morales arno)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 15.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  ROBERT'S GHOST Mar21 Dec16 Nov25 Nov11 Oct22 (gladd andy)KIMES C 124 3.50 11% 8.10    
9  MARCH WEST         (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
WRD-9   04/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Highland Ice Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAME PLATA Mar07 Feb20 Sep10 Aug27 Jul27 (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 121 4.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DANA'S LUCKY LADY by LUCKY LIONEL)
2  ERNIE BANKER Mar31 Feb20 Feb04 Jan15 Jan01 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 118 2.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TALL TIMBERCOWGIRL by PRIME TIMBER)
3  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK Apr01 Mar07 Dec11 Nov23 Oct31 (lauer mich)ERAMIA E 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of MIZZEN MY MOMMA by MIZZEN MAST)
4  TOMMYHAWK Mar28 Mar07 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 (swango rand)WETHEY JR 118 6.00 15% 5.50    
  (by KICK ON out of SARON'S TIME by TIMEBANK)
5  MESA MOON Mar28 Dec01 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 (williams al)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00 21% 3.70    
  (by SKY MESA out of CREATIVE SPIRIT by SMARTY JONES)
6  CANADIAN PRIDE Jan06 Nov04 Oct15 Apr29 Mar05 (diodoro robe)JORDAN R 121 3.50    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ON THE MENU by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
 
WRD-10   04/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOORAY FOR CREDIT Dec07 Oct19 Sep16 Aug07   (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 3.50 12% 7.10    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of I TOUR by COLORFUL TOUR)
2  COMPUTER VIRUS Mar28         (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 118 20.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of CONVENT TYPE by TAPIT)
SCR  GOLDIE'S LEGACY Apr11         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of TOC'S GOLD by TOCCET)
4  RIDE ME HOME Nov30 Nov18       (coats d)GOFF L 124 30.00    
  (by HOME OF THE BRAVE (IRE) out of FETISH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  MYSTICAL CODE         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 118 6.00 7% 13.70    
  (by CODE WEST out of MYSTICAL CHARM by HARD SPUN)
SCR  AUNT LOTTIE Dec08         (rodriguez mart)LANDEROS C 124 30.00    
  (by SEBASTIAN COUNTY out of ZAMBA CANUTA by UNACCOUNTED FOR)
7  SAVE BALE MONEY         (craddock ka)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of MADE BY MAGIC by HAT TRICK (JPN))
8  LITTLE RIVER JEWEL Mar20         (gladd andy)KIMES C 118 4.00 9% 9.80    
  (by IRONICUS out of RIVER JEWEL by INDY EXPRESS)
9  SURFER GIRL Apr11         (david ron)LINDSAY CHAD 118 8.00 30% 2.40    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of IN THE BAND by PROSPECTOR'S MUSIC)
10  FLIP FLOP FLY Nov12 Oct07       (oberlander j)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 30.00    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of MY PARTY GIRL by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
11  GRACE THE LADY         (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 12.00    
  (by HAKASSAN out of BALLAROMMA by BALLADO CHIEFTAN)
12  CAT TALE BREEZE Apr10 Mar27 Mar06 Dec15 Dec09 (corderman)TRIANA JR 124 8.00    
  (by DIAMOND out of GIANT CAT TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.