Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - March 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/1/4)-(5/2/3/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(3/2/1)-(2/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/6/4)-(3/2/1/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(2/1/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(2/1/6)-(6/2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-3   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/4/5)-(2/1/6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(6/2/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(6/2/4/5)-(3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-4   WIN (6/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5/7)-(6/2/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/4/5)-(3/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/5)-(3/1)-(2/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/4/5/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/4/5/6)-(3/1/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/5/1)-(1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
WRD-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/3/4)-(2/5/1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(1)-(3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
WRD-7   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/6/4/5/7)-(1/6/4/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1)-(3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1)-(3/8)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
WRD-8   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8)-(3/8/4/5)-(3/8/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/8)-(5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/8)-(5/3)-(1/6/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-9   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/4/6/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/4/6/1)-(5/3/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/6/3/10) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
WRD-10   WIN (1/6/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/10)-(1/6/3/10/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/10)-(1/6/3/10/8)-(1/6/3/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT REALIZATION Mar07 Dec17 Dec07 Nov14 Nov05 (davidson brent)KIMES C 124 2.00 ★    
2  DEL MOON Mar07 Feb10 Jan22 Dec02 Nov08 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
3  PARABELLUM Mar07 Feb19 Feb03 Jan21 Jan06 (williams s)ERAMIA E 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
4  BILLHILL Mar19 Feb11 Jan29 Aug21 Jul26 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
5  MAJOR GRIFFIN Mar21 Mar07 Dec10 Dec02 Jul19 (camillo ang)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
WRD-2   03/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY ECHO Mar07 Dec09 Dec03 Nov12 Oct19 (pogue bob)WETHEY JR 118 4.00 9% 9.80    
  (by LIAISON out of ZIVA'S POLICY by FOREIGN POLICY)
2  RUBY THE DESTROYER Mar06 Feb05 Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by DRAMEDY out of GET DOWN KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  MISS LONG LEGS Dec09 Oct27 Oct06 Sep21   (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of IT'SNOSMALLWONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
4  GOSPEL FABULOUS Mar07 Oct19 Sep16 Sep09   (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 5.00 ★    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL ARROW by PURIM)
5  ALTERNATE ABBY Nov25 Nov04 Sep30     (young e)MORA GERARDO 118 15.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of PAID by DEVIL HIS DUE)
6  CREES VALENTYME Mar07 Feb10 Aug26     (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 3.50 ★    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of RECKLESS BETTY by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
WRD-3   03/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANEY'S GHOST Mar14 Dec17 Dec08 Nov22 Oct21 (moreno ca)TRIANA JR 121 2.00 19% 4.30    
2  UNITED PATRIOT Mar13 Dec16 Nov25 Oct21 Sep22 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 121 1.00 46% 1.20    
3  REACH THE CIRCLE Mar13 Feb11 Dec15 Dec03 Sep28 (gomez j)LANDEROS C 121 12.00    
4  GOT MOJO Mar06 Dec15 Dec01 Nov11 Oct25 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.00 ★    
5  WAVERUNNER Mar20 Mar06 Feb26 Feb10 Dec16 (davis d)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 12.00 ★    
6  BAOZUN Feb11 Dec15 Oct12 Mar28   (gomez jua)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 15.00 11% 7.90    
 
WRD-4   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADRIA Mar14 Feb12 Jul22 Jun11 May29 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 4.50    
2  LACEY BOSS Mar06 Nov22 Nov03 Oct19 Oct07 (corderman sco)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  SEA LEVEL Dec07 Nov15 Oct01 Jun29 Jun11 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 124 6.00    
4  OKIE FRONT Mar14 Dec17 Nov22 Oct21 Sep14 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
5  MARIA ELENA Y. G Sep02 Jun20 Jun13 May11 Apr27 (morales arnold)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00 13% 6.90    
6  LINGERING PROMISE Mar06 Jan22 Dec14 Nov21   (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
7  ROZEY CHEEKS Sep10 Sep01 Aug17 Jun30 Jun09 (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00 ★    
 
WRD-5   03/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SATURDAY SERVICE Feb19 Feb01 Jan15 Dec10 Dec02 (ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00 9% 9.70    
2  BID FOR POWER Mar07 Feb11 Jan15 Nov22 Oct19 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 121 1.40    
3  SHE'S FIRE AND ICE Mar17 Feb12 Nov03 Sep04 Aug19 (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 1.80 60% 0.70    
4  DIXIELAND CANDY Mar07 Dec15 Dec01 Nov04 Oct21 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 5.00 ★    
5  CAMCORDIA Mar07 Dec27 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 12.00 ★    
6  MUSICAL MILLIE Mar13 Dec15 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 (gomez jua)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 6.00 ★    
 
WRD-6   03/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH NIKI Mar13 Dec17 Dec10 Nov12 Oct06 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
2  FIGHTINGTEMPTATION Mar13 Dec17 Nov21 Nov08 Oct21 (williams alan)BIRZER E 124 1.00 37% 1.70    
3  BILLIE G Mar07 Oct21 Aug26 Jun21 Jun06 (swango ra)TRIANA JR 124 10.00 ★    
4  LENA'S SHADOW Mar13 Dec10 Dec02 Nov08 Jun28 (pogue bob)KIMES C 124 12.00 ★    
5  KACHINA Nov21 Nov08 Oct21 Sep09 May23 (craddock ka)WETHEY JR 124 1.60 25% 3.00    
6  RIVER LIBERTY Feb24 Feb04 Nov03 Aug26 Jul18 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00    
 
WRD-7   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNET AND STEEL Mar14 Jan02       (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 1.20 68% 0.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SHARP QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  SCRIMSHIRE Mar05 Dec09       (wilson w)LANDEROS C 124 15.00    
  (by ORDAINED out of BULLS BLUE LADY by HOLY BULL)
3  RAINBOW CREST Nov07 Oct15       (oberlander)ERAMIA E 118 20.00    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of DELLA MARIE by MAGHNATIS)
4  MANDOLIN WIND Nov22         (luneack ther)JORDAN R 118 8.00 ★    
  (by MASTERY out of ANOTHER WORLD by CARR DE NASKRA)
5  SAZON Mar13 Dec14 Nov22     (young e)MORA GERARDO 118 1.80 ★    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MY DAUGHTER'S SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
6  BOLD COURAGE Feb17         (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 124 6.00 ★    
  (by UNION RAGS out of GIANT MOVER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  LITTLE SOLDIER BOY Mar04 Mar25 Feb24     (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 124 12.00 ★    
  (by ALTERNATION out of IKNEWGIRLNAMENIKKI by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
 
WRD-8   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAT TALE BREEZE Mar06 Dec15 Dec09 Nov18 Nov02 (corderman)TRIANA JR 124 5.00    
SCR  GOSPEL GLORY Mar13 Sep25 Aug27     (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
3  THE VEGAS BOMB Mar14 Dec14 Nov25 Nov04   (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  CAT TALE SKY Mar03 Feb05 Jan07 Dec15 Nov25 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 6.00 ★    
5  MS. MORENA Mar06 Dec15 Nov30 Nov07 Oct06 (espiritu )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 8.00 ★    
6  BOTTLES AN BIBLES Mar13 Mar06 Feb22     (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 6.00    
SCR  PASSION FOR SAND Mar03 Nov18       (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
8  BIKER BABE Mar06 Dec02 Nov07     (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
WRD-9   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Miranda Diane Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLENTY OF VISION Dec17 Nov21 Oct21 Sep23 Sep09 (young sco)TRIANA JR 121 6.00 ★    
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of PLENTY by BOUNDARY)
SCR  BRING IT ON BABY Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 Sep29 May23 (williams alan)BIRZER E 118 12.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of OKIE WEST by WESTERN FAME)
3  DICEY Mar06 Dec17 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 121 1.80 8% 11.30    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BROKEN BLUES by BROKEN VOW)
4  SINNIN N GRINNIN Mar13 Feb24 Feb04 Jan16 Dec17 (craddock ka)WETHEY JR 118 6.00 ★    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SUE'S SWEET SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  RAGAN'S JET Oct21 Sep29 Jul18 Jun24 May23 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 121 1.60 56% 0.80    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of SHE'SGOTHEROWNJET by SONGANDAPRAYER)
6  GOTTA SEE RED Sep28 Jun18 May02     (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 5.00 ★    
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of GOTAGOGOTAGOGOTAGO by KIPLING)
 
WRD-10   03/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUNCH EM Mar13 Nov21 Nov02 Oct07 Sep16 (luneack t)TRIANA JR 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  MUCHO BLING Mar13 Dec01 Nov11 Oct27 Oct08 (corderman s)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 20.00    
3  ROBERT WHO Mar13 Dec02 Nov22 Nov11 Oct14 (hartman alex)KIMES C 124 3.50 13% 6.70    
4  TRADE DEADLINE Dec14 Nov05 Oct15 Sep15 Jul23 (rodriguez )ERAMIA E 124 20.00    
5  TWILITE LIASON Oct27 Oct14 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 (applebee david)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
6  FIRE EXTINGUISHER May25 Apr13 Mar22     (bravo franci)JORDAN R 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
7  G'S STORM Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Nov11 (dixon tim)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00    
8  SERENDIP RULER Mar13 Dec14 Nov11 Jul19 Jul05 (hale vic)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00 ★    
SCR  EL CHIHUAS Mar06 Aug19       (espiritu lucio)LANDEROS C 124 30.00    
10  ROMANCER Mar21 Mar11 Feb05 Jan22 Dec09 (johnston la)STILLION BROOKE 124 12.00 9% 10.00    
11  TERAWATT Mar07 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Nov07 (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
12  ORNERY AS HELL Mar06 Jul19 Jul05 Mar21   (moreno ca)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.