Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - March 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(2/5)-(6/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/6/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(6/4/3)-(3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-3   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(3/5/1)-(1/4/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(1/4/6/2)-(6/4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/2)-(6/4/1/5)-(3/7/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/5)-(3/7/6/2)-(4/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-7   WIN (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/2)-(4/3)-(7/5/1/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(7/5/1/2)-(6/5/3/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (7/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-10   WIN (6/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   03/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHELONIAN Mar10 Feb19 Feb11 Jan22 Jan11 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 110 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  BORUFF Mar05 Jan27 Oct28 Sep24   (vukelic ro)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 30.00    
3  UNCAPTURED STORM Mar10 Feb19 Feb11 Jan08 Nov20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50 ★    
4  INDYBOUND Mar04 Nov27 Oct22 Oct07   (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 117 5.00    
5  B WEST Mar11 Feb18 Jan21 Dec17 Nov21 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  ALVY Mar10 Nov21       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 12.00 10% 9.30    
7  THUNDERIAN Mar19 Dec02 Sep21 Aug12   (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 6.00 ★    
 
LRL-2   03/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAREDAVITE Feb17 Jan13 Dec10 Nov20   (albert l)ARAUJO DENIS 121 20.00    
2  LORD UHTRED Mar05 Feb19 Jan25 Dec16 Nov19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  CAVALRY COMMAND Oct14 Sep10 Jul28     (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 121 6.00    
SCR  GENERAL NOOZ Mar11 Feb12 Jan06 Nov20 Oct28 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 121 4.00    
5  RASCALLY REBEL Mar12 Mar05 Feb20 Feb03 Jan27 (serey mar)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  DART Mar03 Feb03 Jan14 Jan08 Nov18 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 10.00 ★    
7  STARDUST ZIGGY Mar10 Feb11 Jan14 Dec30 Nov18 (smith d)CRUZ ANGEL 121 15.00    
8  SIR SMOAK Mar12 Mar04 Feb10 Jan22 Jan13 (serey mari)RIVERA R 117 12.00 ★    
SCR  SHACKINTHEBOX Jan23 Dec17 Nov04 Oct14 Sep24 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 1.80 26% 2.80    
 
LRL-3   03/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAND CAMP         (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 124 10.00    
2  BY ITS ABSENCE         (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 6.00 ★    
3  RUNNING RIVER Feb20         (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
4  BEST CHOICE BABY Feb11 Jan27 Dec30 Dec03 Nov13 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  HE'S PURE TALENT Feb26 Jan27       (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 124 3.50 ★    
6  LONG RAP SHEET Sep24         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
7  MUNGO MAGIC Mar10 Jan27       (wilson gregor)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 12.00    
 
LRL-4   03/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARMICHAELSPIONEER Apr24 Apr03       (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00 14% 6.30    
2  THRUSTER Feb25 Feb05 Jan20 Dec29 Jun04 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 3.50    
3  JEBSTER Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Jan13 Nov21 (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 1.80 42% 1.40    
4  PRESSING CONCERN Mar18 Feb25 Feb10 Jan20 Jan13 (mohan davi)RIVERA R 115 15.00 ★    
5  TENAX Feb25 Feb04 Jan20 Jan13 Dec18 (burdick)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 2.00 15% 5.90    
6  NOTION TO TAPIT Jan13 Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 Oct22 (serey mar)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00 ★    
 
LRL-5   03/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERNIE'S ON FIRE Mar05 Nov11 Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  BAPTIZE THE BOY Mar04 Feb10 Jan06 Oct08 Sep03 (howard davi)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  TOM TERRIFIC Mar03 Feb03 Jan16 Jan07 Dec02 (albert l)ARAUJO DENIS 126 10.00    
4  FORTH Mar04 Feb10 Jan28 Jan13 Dec29 (serey mari)RIVERA R 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  OUR HOISTED MAST Mar03 Feb18 Jan22 Jan06 Dec02 (juarez calixto)DELGADO A 123 20.00    
6  MANOLETE Feb14 Jan31 Jan11 Jan02 Dec12 (rosado roberto)ROSADO JOHAN 123 5.00 5% 17.90    
7  MOJAC KAT Mar05 Feb08 Jan27 Dec18 Dec04 (walters h)CARRASCO R 123 10.00    
8  PEPE AND HEYWOOD Mar03 Feb05 Dec09 Nov14 Nov05 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.50 ★    
9  JIMMY THE KID Mar03 Feb20 Feb03 Jan28 Jan13 (nazario)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 15.00    
 
LRL-6   03/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDEEM EDDIE Feb13 Jan14 Dec13 Oct22 Sep10 (simoff andrew)ACOSTA D 123 12.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  SUPER GARNER Feb23 Feb09 Nov18 Oct20   (dunham g)HO WESLEY 123 20.00    
3  ARISTOCRATIC Mar04 Jan20 Dec17 Nov27 Oct27 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 12.00    
4  BIGMANCAN Mar04 Feb11 Jan28 Jan16 Dec31 (dilodovico dam)ARAUJO DENIS 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
5  SAVOY Jan29 Jan21 Dec30 Dec03 Nov27 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 8.00 6% 16.00    
6  AIR TOKEN Jan29 Jan21 Dec18 Nov21 Oct01 (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  NEVERFOLD Feb23 Feb09 Dec29 Dec02 Nov09 (ashby r)BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
SCR  LADNEEDSAHANDLER Mar05 Feb20 Jan28 Jan01 Dec11 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
9  CHARGE TO VICTORY Mar04 Jan14 Dec17 Oct15 Sep18 (mancilla carlo)PEREZ XAVIER 123 5.00 ★    
10  THE SICARII Mar04 Feb10 Dec31 Dec17 Nov29 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 123 8.00    
 
LRL-7   03/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN GOOD TROUBLE Mar08 Jan27 Dec11 Nov19 Oct08 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 124 5.00 ★    
2  TINSELTOWN TINA Feb24 Feb03       (feliciano ben )ROSADO JOHAN 124 12.00 12% 7.20    
3  MISS FUSSY PANTS Mar10 Feb19 Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
4  LIQUIDATOR Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Jan07 Dec03 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 1.80    
5  SIDESWIPED Feb23 Feb09 Dec21 Nov08 Oct14 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 20.00    
6  SIX THE HARD WAY Mar17 Mar03 Feb26 Feb05 Jan13 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 15.00 14% 5.90    
7  DEVIL PAYS IN GOLD Mar10         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
LRL-8   03/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEFT HAND THREAD Feb26 May01       (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  BYK Feb20 Jan29 Dec31 Nov09   (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 12.00 11% 8.00    
3  HELDISH Jan21 Nov12 Oct22 Sep10 Aug09 (maker j)CRUZ ANGEL 121 6.00 15% 5.70    
4  LOST WEEKEND Mar04 Feb12 Jan28 Dec31 Dec11 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
5  JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Feb19 Jan14 Dec31 Dec17 Dec02 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 2.50    
6  PRIDE OF PAYTON Feb05 Jan15 Dec30 Nov27 Oct22 (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 6.00 ★    
7  SEVEN'S ELEVEN Mar11 Feb18 Jan27 Dec30 Nov26 (mancilla ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 15.00    
8  R B'S THE BOSS Mar10 Feb17 Jan28 Dec11 Nov19 (magana jose)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 10.00    
 
LRL-9   03/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREASURE TROVE Mar07 Feb18 Feb02 Jan15 Dec31 (cash l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.00 19% 4.40    
2  BOBBY G Mar17 Mar03 Feb17 Jan29 Jan08 (mohan david)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00 7% 12.50    
3  TORCH OF TRUTH Mar03 Feb05 Jan14 Dec17 Oct22 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.00    
4  WISH FOR PEACE Mar07 Nov26 Nov02 Oct12 Sep14 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 123 20.00    
5  AIN'T DA BEER COLD Feb18 Jan21 Dec30 Oct22 Sep05 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  ARMANDO R Feb18 Dec30 Nov26 Oct01 Sep03 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 ★    
7  EXCELLORATOR Mar03 Feb04 Dec31 Nov24 Oct01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
LRL-10   03/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RATIONALMILLENNIAL Feb12 Feb03 Dec09 Oct08 Sep02 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00    
2  RED WINE TIME Mar19 Feb24 Jan20 Jan01 Nov25 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 9% 10.30    
3  TORRE BRANCA Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 Jan01 Nov25 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.00 11% 8.10    
4  MARTHARITA Feb11 Jan20 Dec10 Nov27 Nov18 (horner ellen)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 20.00 ★    
5  HOLDING COURT Mar04 Feb03 Nov18 Oct27 Sep28 (magee kier)RIVERA R 115 2.00 26% 2.80    
6  CAMELIA ROD Mar05 Feb12 Dec10 Sep18 Jul28 (allen a )BUTTERFLY L 126 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  BAD TEMPER Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 Nov18 Oct28 (parker m)DELGADO A 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.