Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Sunday - February 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (1/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8/4)-(1/2/6/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (1/2/6/8)-(6/1/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-2   WIN (6/1/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/4/2)-(6/1/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/4/2)-(6/1/5/4/2)-(6/1/5/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (6/1/5/4/2)-(2/4/1/7/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/4/2)-(2/4/1/7/6)-(3/7/2/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
SUN-3   WIN (2/4/1/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/7/6)-(2/4/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/7/6)-(2/4/1/7/6)-(2/4/1/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/7/6)-(3/7/2/6)-(7/3/10/6/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
SUN-4   WIN (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6/8)-(3/7/2/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/6)-(7/3/10/6/5)-(6/2/11/7/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
SUN-5   WIN (7/3/10/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/10/6/5)-(7/3/10/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/10/6/5)-(7/3/10/6/5)-(7/3/10/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-6   WIN (6/2/11/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/11/7/4)-(6/2/11/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/11/7/4)-(6/2/11/7/4)-(6/2/11/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-7   WIN (12) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (12)-(12/2/9/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (12)-(12/2/9/4)-(12/2/9/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (12)-(3/1)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SUN-8   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/2/4/6)-(3/1/2/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-9   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/4/9)-(1/6/2/4/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOM BOOM DADDY Feb07 Jan17 Dec12 Nov14 Oct24 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
CLOWN OIL Jan17 Dec12 Nov13 Nov01 Oct01 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.00 15% 5.50    
WHISKEY THERAPY Dec19 Nov06 Oct23 Oct10 Jan21 (smith a)GOMEZ REYES 123 20.00    
BALD IS BEAUTIFUL Feb07 Jan10 Dec19 Nov13 Sep17 (marquez l)MEDELLIN A 123 4.00    
HOLLYWOOD PRINCE Jan15 Dec12 Dec01     (gonzalez sal)VALDEZ S 123 5.00    
EVIL ROCKS Dec20 May02 Mar18     (allred jeff)CARRENO J 123 3.50 11% 7.80    
CRAIGS VICTORY Sep28 Sep02 May28 Jan11   (pierce)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 20.00    
R K KAIROS         (hancock)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00 8% 11.20    
 
SUN-2   02/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANIEL'S GIRL Jan24 Jan10 Dec13 Nov30 Nov07 (gonzalez sal)JUAREZ J 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
SUERTUDA Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 Oct04 Aug05 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 12.00 6% 15.60    
LAS TRES MARIPOSAS Sep14 Aug14 Jul23 May01 Feb12 (aldavaz)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.50    
CYNICAL GIRL Jan10 Dec05 Nov30 Oct24 Oct11 (olguin ever)TORRES J 123 8.00 11% 7.80    
WILDSTARINTHESKY Feb07 Jan24 Dec13 Oct22 Oct01 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
RAPPERS THIEF Jan24 Dec13 Nov06 Sep16 Aug17 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
FRIENDLY MISCHIEF         (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.50    
 
SUN-3   02/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY DANAE Jan15 Nov01 Jun12 May15   (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
QUEEN GLADYS Jan15 Dec20 Oct18 Jan30   (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
WENDY'S SONG Jan15 Jan03 Dec13     (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.50    
FOR LOVE NOT MONEY Jan15 Jan07 Dec17 Nov14 Aug27 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 123 2.00 24% 3.30    
TYLER'S DREAM Jan15 Nov30 Nov15 Oct19 Oct01 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 4.50    
HOT LIL MESS Feb05 Jan22 Jan08 Dec05 Oct24 (marquez l)TORRES J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHE HIT A HOMER Jan31 Jan22 Jan10 Dec01 Nov07 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-4   02/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMURAI JACK Jan24 Dec12 Nov08 Oct25 Sep28 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00    
LEATHERNECK Jan08 Nov30 Nov14 Oct23 Sep24 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 2.00 13% 6.90    
PLEASE THE COURT Jan29 Jan24 Feb01 Jan21 Jan04 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 5.00 47% 1.10    
CANYON DEL ORO Jan31 Jan03 Nov06 Oct10 Sep18 (summers n)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00    
NIGHT'S WATCH Dec19 Aug31 May15 Apr11   (allred jeff)CARRENO J 123 12.00    
NEXT AFFAIR Jan29 Jan10 Dec01 Nov08 Jun26 (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 3.00 5% 17.90    
TRUST MANDO Jan22 Dec06 Oct16 Sep18 Aug24 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
DOM WAYNE Jan22 Jan08 Sep24 Sep03 Aug28 (trujillo jeffrey)TOHILL S 123 15.00    
 
SUN-5   02/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. NASTY Jan17 Aug31 Aug10 Feb18   (vega v)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00    
RIO HATO Feb05 Jan08 Dec12 Dec01 Oct17 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00    
REVOLT AND RIOT Feb05 Jan24 Nov21 Oct16 Oct05 (cross gary)CARRENO J 123 3.50 15% 5.80    
DIRT BIKE SLADE Jan24 Dec19 Dec01 Nov08 Oct24 (smith a)GOMEZ REYES 123 20.00    
ABETEMARCO Dec19 Nov08 Sep23 Aug10 Jul30 (marquez l)VALDEZ S 123 15.00 7% 14.10    
TEQUILA Feb05 Jan08 Dec01 Oct24 Sep19 (gonzalez andres)TOHILL S 123 4.50 7% 13.70    
SMOKEN HOUDINI Feb05 Jan31 Jan03 Dec05 Nov30 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
JON L Jan24 Dec13 Dec01 Nov13   (marquez j)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
WILDCAT ECHO Feb05 Jan08 Dec01 Oct24 Sep28 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00    
10  JUST AWESOME M Feb07 Dec19 Sep30 Sep08 Aug17 (carden)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 8.00 10% 8.70    
11  EL GRAPPLER Mar21 Feb26 Feb08 Jan15   (smith a)CHAVEZ R 123 10.00    
 
SUN-6   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATURDAY SERVICE Feb01 Jan15 Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 (roberts joseph)CEBALLOS F 123 12.00    
TIME IS PRECIOUS Feb05 Nov01 Sep15 Aug27 Mar06 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 6.00 19% 4.40    
ROBTHEQUEEN Jan22 Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 Oct10 (barrios be)RODRIGUEZ H 123 20.00    
ALLERGIC TO LOGIC Feb07 Jan22 Dec20 Dec05 Nov14 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.50 11% 8.30    
MIDNIGHT SPECIAL T Feb05 Jan22 Sep24 Aug31 Aug17 (sanchez patrick )MEDELLIN A 123 15.00    
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Feb05 Jan15 Dec13 Nov21 Oct08 (green greg)TOHILL S 123 8.00 19% 4.20    
MINDOFMYOWN Jan31 Jan22 Jan01 Dec05 Nov30 (van rober)CARRENO J 123 3.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  ZIVA DA'VID Feb07 Dec05 Nov01 Oct17 Sep30 (marq)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00    
ZIPPIN BY U Feb07 Jan15 Jan08 Jan01 Dec13 (van crowell )SALAZAR TERESA 118 12.00    
10  SATURNCLOUD Jan22 Nov21 Sep03 Aug08 Jun04 (loma h)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 10.00    
11  AWESOME WALKER Jan01 Dec20 Dec06 Nov01 Sep17 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
SUN-7   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBEL RYETTE Feb07 Jan24 Dec19 Dec06 Nov20 (barrios bernadet)CHAVEZ R 123 20.00    
SHOULDABEENACOWGAL Dec19 Dec06 Nov14 Oct04 Aug13 (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00    
I GET STORMED Jan15 Jan01 Dec14 Dec06 Nov15 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 15.00    
PASSION BELLE Dec19 Sep28 Aug17 Aug05 May07 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
I WIN LIKA GIRL Jan01 Dec05 Nov22 Oct05 Sep25 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 5.00    
SCR  ARTFUL ROSE Jan24 Jan01 Dec20 Dec13 May27 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 6.00 6% 15.50    
SHEZACONSTANTSONG Jan24 Sep28 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 (cross gary)CARRENO J 123 15.00    
EVANGELINA WHO Jan24 Dec19 Nov14 Oct24 Sep28 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 15.00    
BELLA Y SOFIA Jan03 Dec19 Sep04 Apr24 Mar26 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.00    
10  MISS ABILITY Jan24 Jan03 Dec19 Dec06 Oct30 (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 123 12.00    
11  RELEASE THE GENIE Dec19 Oct01 Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 (vaughn )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00    
12  TURN ON ARCH Jan31 Dec20       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 3.50 64% 0.60    
 
SUN-8   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOER NOT A FAKER Jan15 Oct30 Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 2.50 15% 5.90    
  (by DIABOLICAL out of COMPLETE PACKAGE by BOUNDARY)
MISS FLUFFY Jan01 Dec13 Nov14 Oct18 Oct05 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 3.50    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of MISS E BAR by FIREJACK)
HANNAH'S HIGHLIFE Jan15 Jan01 Dec12 Nov14 Oct31 (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 1.80 63% 0.60    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of ROUSANNE by DESERT PARTY)
BELLAMUNDO Dec13 Oct30 Sep18 Aug24 Jul29 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 4.50    
  (by BERNSTER out of ONE TOUGH BELLE by GOOD AND TOUGH)
CRAFTY MONEY Jan22         (summers)FUENTES T 121 8.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of SONGCRAFT by MR. GROUSH)
PANDORA WHO Feb05 Jan17 Dec20 Nov14   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 10.00    
  (by COMFORT out of LOVER'S DREAM by JUMP START)
 
SUN-9   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36.8K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONLIGHT WARRIOR Jan22 Dec12       (marr h)TOHILL S 121 4.50 44% 1.30    
  (by ARCHWARRIOR out of PRAIRIE MOONLIGHT by PREMEDITATION)
ART CURATOR         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 11% 8.20    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of FAVORITE FLAG by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
COUNCIL'S JAZEL         (armendariz ri)JUAREZ J 121 10.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of COUNCIL TALK by COUNCIL MEMBER)
SHAME ON CHARLOTTE Jan22 Jan03 Dec12 Oct18 Sep25 (gonzalez a)TORRES J 121 4.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of HEARTSCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR  LEONAS GIRL         (riddle)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00    
  (by MARKING out of ROLL ON MATILDA by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
FIRST AGAIN Jan15 Dec12 Oct31 Sep25   (morales)FUENTES T 121 8.00 23% 3.30    
  (by AXIOMATIC out of MIA'S FIRST by MALABAR GOLD)
SHAME ON YOU         (cross gary)CARRENO J 121 10.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of GLACIATION by EYE OF THE LEOPARD)
LADIES SISTER Aug14 Jul29 May20     (wellborn )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of DIAMOND BRACELET by METFIELD)
MARQUEE'S STORM Jan22 Jan01 Dec12     (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of MARQUEE AVENUE by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
10  DANDY MONEY         (gonzalez jose )CEBALLOS F 121 12.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of DANDY DOM by DOMINIQUE'S CAT)
11  CHARLIENE Dec12 Oct31 Sep25 May20   (villalobos migue)VALDEZ S 121 15.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of THANK GOODNESS by ORB)
12  RUTHLESS MONEY         (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of RUTHLESS CAT by DOMINIQUE'S CAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.