Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (6/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/2)-(1/8)-(3/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LRL-2   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/8)-(3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/8)-(3/1)-(5/2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/6/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(5/2/6)-(5/9/6/8/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(5/9/6/8/4)-(2) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
LRL-5   WIN (5/9/6/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/8/4)-(5/9/6/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/6/8/4)-(2)-(1/5/6/3) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
LRL-6   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    PK3 (2)-(1/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/1/3) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
LRL-7   WIN (1/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-8   WIN (7/5/6/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/1/3)-(7/5/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRASH TALKIN LARRY Jan14 Dec17 Dec04 Oct23 Oct06 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 126 2.00 21% 3.70    
2  ONLY CHILD Jan27 Jan16 Dec29 Dec02 Nov04 (shankle)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 15.00 10% 9.20    
3  FILIPPO Jan25 Dec16 Nov27 Oct28 Aug22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 16% 5.30    
4  ROMP (ARG) Jan27 Sep05 Aug08 Jul18   (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 126 8.00 12% 7.20    
5  AUSPICIOUS LAD Jan14 Dec29 Nov24 Oct13 Sep11 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 10.00    
6  TATE Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov24 Nov13 (magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.80 20% 3.90    
 
LRL-2   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHACKLEFORD COUNTY Jan14 Dec31 Dec06 Nov12 Aug21 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 3.00 51% 0.90    
2  ADHWAA Feb01 Jan11 Dec12 Nov23 Oct26 (ramirez silvi)PANAIJO JORGE 126 5.00 ★    
3  EVER SO D'WILD Jan14 Dec10 Dec01 Nov19 Nov03 (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00    
SCR  LUCKY LIZZIE Jan28 Jan01 Dec16 Nov26 Oct20 (casey james)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 113 20.00    
5  GOLD TIME VIXEN Jan28 Jan20 Dec17 Dec02 Oct23 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 126 4.00 ★    
6  DULCE KIARA Feb04 Jan06 Nov24 Oct22 Sep23 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00    
SCR  BAHAMA PEARL Feb03 Dec16 Nov11 Oct22 Oct13 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 123 30.00 ★    
8  DANCER'S MELODY Feb03 Dec31 Nov24 Nov11 Oct27 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 126 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
LRL-3   02/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCEE GRACE C Dec16 Nov25 Oct12 Sep07 Aug25 (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.50 27% 2.80    
2  NEED A MARKER Jan29 Jan07 Sep18 Sep05   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.50 ★    
3  LASTCHANCECHANCEY Dec05         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  OJITOS BELLOS Feb05 Jan28 Jan07 Dec30 Dec10 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 117 30.00    
5  ICE CUBE BABY Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 Nov18 Nov04 (frock charle)LEWIS M 114 12.00    
6  MUSICMANSANDY Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 Nov19 Oct16 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 1.80 ★    
7  WILLFUL DESIRE Jan21 Dec10 Nov27 Nov03 Oct05 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00 ★    
 
LRL-4   02/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTED INDIAN Jan08 Nov30 Nov05 Oct15 Sep29 (ness jamie)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.00 ★    
2  DIXIE DRAWL Jan20 Dec31 Dec03 Oct13 Sep24 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  SPEAK UNITY Jan29 Jan14 Dec31 Dec16 Nov25 (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CROUCHELLI Dec16 Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 Sep05 (vukelic robert)BOYCE FOREST 123 10.00    
5  BOSS LOGIC Jan14 Dec16 Dec03 Sep30 Sep15 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.20 54% 0.80    
6  BOBBY G Jan29 Jan08 Dec31 Dec10 Dec03 (mohan r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00 8% 11.80    
 
LRL-5   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER THE BORDER Jan27 Jan08 Dec13 Nov27 Oct28 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 120 8.00    
2  DOUBLE BID Dec30 Dec03 Nov04 Oct01   (braccial)BUTTERFLY L 120 30.00    
3  POINT US HOME Feb03 Jan14 Dec30 Dec09   (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 30.00    
4  SLINGSHOT BOY Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 Nov06 Oct26 (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  FOWL NATION Jan27 Jan08 Dec11 Nov20 Nov04 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  CALIFORNIA GHOST Jan27 Jan13 Dec30 Dec03 Nov21 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
7  HOPPERNESS Jan14 Nov27 Nov11 Oct27   (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 12.00    
8  IRISH WARLOCK         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 8.00 9% 9.80    
9  SPECTRIER Jan27 Jan13 Dec30     (magee kieron)LEWIS M 113 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
LRL-6   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REPPAZZ         (bennett juanit)CEDENO CAROL 124 6.00 ★    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HARISSA by AFLEET ALEX)
2  KILBRITTAIN'S RED Jan22         (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MADDALENA by GOOD AND TOUGH)
3  CHERU Dec14         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 124 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TENGGARA by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  WILL TAKE ODDS         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 ★    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of INDULGENCE by MACHO UNO)
SCR  APPEALINGTOTHE EYE         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MASTERY out of APPEALING MAGGIE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  DIAMOND SUE Jan22 Dec30 Nov24 Oct22 Sep11 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 6.00    
  (by CUBA out of CHILD'S PLAY by FREEDOM CHILD)
SCR  SHE GOT THE MUNNI         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HELENA THE FIRST by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  DIAL FOR LOVE         (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 6.00 ★    
  (by DIALED IN out of PERFECT LOVER by NOT FOR LOVE)
9  ZIPPY DO DA DAY         (samaniego jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FULL OF ZIP by CITY ZIP)
 
LRL-7   02/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALEIGH B Jan22 Dec30 Dec11 Aug14 Jul20 (russell t)ROSE J 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  SMART EULEE Jan15 Dec09 Oct30 Oct06 Sep16 (keefe timo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 30.00    
3  MOONSAFE Jan13 Dec14 Nov15 Oct21 Sep25 (salvaggio mic)KARAMANOS A 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPARKLE SPRINKLE Jan15 Dec09 Nov02 Sep30 Jan29 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 6.00    
5  I'M GITTIN THERE Jan15 Jan01 Dec09 Nov20 Oct22 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
6  TARGE Jan21 Dec03 Nov25 Nov11 Oct22 (perri gina)CRUZ ANGEL 126 15.00 7% 12.90    
7  BETCHA BY GOLLY Jan21 Jan05 Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 (andreadakis)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 12.00    
8  FUHGEDDABOUDIT Jan22 Jan01 Nov11 Oct30 Oct07 (robb j)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 2.00 ★    
9  SUMMER ODDS Jan15 Oct22 Sep25 Sep07 Aug08 (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 126 15.00    
 
LRL-8   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANCYSAIDSO Jan18 Dec16 Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 (kee j)ACOSTA D 123 12.00 10% 8.80    
2  NOTION INTERRUPTUS Feb04 Jan15 Jan06 Dec29 Dec02 (mohan david)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 113 12.00    
3  SPECIAL FREEDOM Jan25 Dec13 Nov05 Sep30 Sep02 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 10.00 6% 15.40    
4  FORTES Jan27 Jan14 Jan06 Nov24 Nov12 (serey jr)MONTERREY R 123 6.00    
5  UTTERLY ENCHANTING Jan27 Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 Oct07 (hall aimee )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80 23% 3.30    
6  MS. MALEVOLENCE Feb03 Jan21 Dec31 Nov12 Oct21 (nazario ped)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 5.00 11% 7.90    
7  MY BOSS LADY Feb04 Jan20 Jan06 Dec29 Dec02 (nazario pedro)KARAMANOS A 123 2.00 24% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.