Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - January 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(2/5/1/4)-(2/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (2/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    DD (2/5/1/4)-(2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/4)-(2/8/3)-(5/7/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/3)-(2/8/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3)-(5/7/1/6)-(6/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/6)-(6/2/4)-(4/2/9/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(4/2/9/3/10)-(3/6/8/1/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-6   WIN (4/2/9/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/3/10)-(4/2/9/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9/3/10)-(3/6/8/1/2)-(3/2/4/5/6) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LRL-7   WIN (3/6/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/1/2)-(3/6/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8/1/2)-(3/2/4/5/6)-(2/5/3/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/2/4/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5/6)-(3/2/4/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LRL-9   WIN (2/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   01/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 45 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAPPER ZAPPER Nov18 Sep24 Sep03     (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HOLY GRACE by HOLY BULL)
CLASSIC LEGEND Nov20 Jul03       (cole c)DELGADO A 126 4.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of INDIAN LEGEND by CHEROKEE RUN)
TO LIVE IS TO LOVE Dec17 Aug17       (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 126 30.00    
  (by SLIGO BAY out of SOMEBODY NICE by ALPHABET SOUP)
ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Dec09         (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 126 20.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of SUMMER WIND HALEY by ROCK SLIDE)
CELTIC COUSEN Jan08 Dec09 Nov20     (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.40 21% 3.80    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of CELTIC KATIE by POSSE)
CROSSLAND Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 Jul17 (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00 8% 11.50    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of MARYLAND MYSTIQUE by SUAVE)
HE ROLLS Nov21 Nov05 Oct15 Sep17 Aug27 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 15.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of LIKE A LION by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  SCORESTOSETTLE         (meister wil)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 20.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of WHAT WILL BE by ANEES)
 
LRL-2   01/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UTTERLY ENCHANTING Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 Oct07 May07 (hall d)MONTERREY R 123 6.00 11% 7.90    
MISS CASEY Jan15 Dec29 Dec03 Nov12 Sep21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 0.50 32% 2.10    
FORTES Jan14 Jan06 Nov24 Nov12 Oct27 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 12.00    
CALYPSO GHOST Nov13 Oct29 Jun10 Apr03 Mar20 (harting chri)BATISTA A 123 20.00 6% 14.40    
SHINY PENNY Jan14 Dec17 Nov25 Nov14 Oct27 (pickett crys)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
GOLDEN ACCOUNT Jan18 Dec31 Dec10 Dec03 Aug07 (cash norman)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 15.00    
HAD THE NOTION Jan06 Nov18 Oct27 Oct15 Sep23 (harting r)ACOSTA D 123 30.00    
 
LRL-3   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUNKY IRISHMAN Jan01         (eubanks anne)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
MUNGO MAGIC         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
SHERIFF RONNIE         (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00 11% 8.00    
RASCALLY REBEL Jan13 Dec09 Nov27 Nov20 Nov04 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 15.00    
BEST CHOICE BABY Dec30 Dec03 Nov13     (walters j)DELGADO A 124 3.00    
ASK HIM OAKEY Dec03         (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 120 6.00    
BORUFF Oct28 Sep24       (vukelic ro)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 3.50    
MOON SIGN Jan01 Nov18 Oct20 Sep07 Aug23 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 124 5.00 25% 3.10    
 
LRL-4   01/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARDANI Jan06 Dec16 Nov24 Oct14 Sep25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00 13% 6.90    
1A  SHOFAR Dec06 Nov26 Oct27 Oct08 Sep16 (ness jamie)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
SCR  FIND FAITH Jan08 Dec09       (graham l)MONTERREY R 123 12.00    
ROMP (ARG) Sep05 Aug08 Jul18     (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 123 10.00    
GALLANT GOLD Jan06 Dec18 Nov14 Oct30 Oct15 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00    
DOPPELGANGER Jul09 Jun11 May07 Apr02 Mar05 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.00 34% 1.90    
TATE Jan06 Dec16 Nov24 Nov13 Oct23 (magana)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 12% 7.60    
NOSTALGIC RUN Jan06 Dec16 Nov26 Oct14 May13 (mancilla car)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
LRL-5   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE CAIRO KID Jan01 Dec09 Oct14 Sep04 Aug28 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.50    
PIT STOP MAN Jan16 Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 Nov04 (cash norman)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 3.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  GREAT GO GO Jan13 Jan01 Nov26 Nov02 Oct05 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOJAC KAT Dec18 Dec04 Oct15 Sep23 Sep03 (walter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  FREE SQUARE Jan06 Dec17 Nov04 Oct14 Sep25 (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 126 10.00    
KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE Jan02 Nov28 Nov02 Sep20 Aug23 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 126 6.00 44% 1.30    
SHOULDA HAD IT Jan16 Jan08 Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 123 30.00    
DIALING DIXIE Jan13 Nov05 Oct14 Sep25 Sep11 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 10.00    
MASAI MAN Jan19 Jan09 Dec09 Nov19 Nov14 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 8.00    
 
LRL-6   01/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDER FIRE Oct28 Oct15 Jun17 May28 Apr08 (eppler e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
ONLY CHILD Jan16 Dec29 Dec02 Nov04 Oct27 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
SIR TERRE Nov25 Nov07 Oct21 Sep30 Sep17 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 126 15.00 5% 17.70    
STIMULUS MAKER Jan08 Dec02 Nov04 Oct15 Sep25 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.50 35% 1.90    
SWEET ASTA Jan08 Dec18 Nov21 Oct27 Oct06 (clagett christi)MONTERREY R 122 8.00    
AFTERMATH Jan08 Dec18 Nov18 Nov05 Oct24 (walter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
BADGER TOOTH Jan08 Nov27 Nov05 Oct28 Oct06 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 126 3.00    
CASH KID Dec29 Dec02 Nov24 Nov03 Oct22 (sepulveda carlos)ACOSTA D 126 12.00    
BRANCO MARIA Jan08 Nov25 Nov02 Oct19 Sep30 (sepulveda )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 126 8.00 6% 16.20    
10  ICE BAR Jan18 Jan05 Dec01 Nov23 Nov03 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   01/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREASURER         (meyers madison )GOMEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of PROFIT GIRL by GENERAL MEETING)
HE'S PURE TALENT         (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MILA JANE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
DOVER BLUFF         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by UNIFIED out of FASCINATE by CURLIN)
QUICK QUICK WHIT Jan06 Nov26       (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.50    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
SEVEN'S ELEVEN Dec30 Nov26 Nov13     (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 5.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of SENORITA SIETE by SENOR SWINGER)
GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Dec10         (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of GREAT HOSTESS by GREAT NOTION)
MARGIE'S FUN SON Jan06         (andreadakis ge)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of MARGARET MARY by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
NO EASY DAYS Nov27 Oct23 Oct01 Aug28   (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of BRINGINGDOWN BABEL by ROMAN RULER)
 
LRL-8   01/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARROLL GIRL Jan09 Nov04 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
HOPE HAS A NAME Dec04 Nov11 Oct30 Jun05 Apr23 (voss m)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 15% 5.80    
STARSHIP LAOBAN Apr24 Apr05 Mar08 Feb16 Jan25 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
ACADIAN GIRL Oct06 Sep04 Jul01 May05 Apr15 (geralis emanu)ALVELO C 123 2.00 14% 6.10    
STAND BY YOU Jan01 Nov15 Oct12 Sep07 Jul18 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00 8% 10.80    
HASHTAG LUCKY Jan01 Dec04 Nov12 Oct20 Sep17 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 7% 13.70    
LADY MACHO Dec03 Nov10 Oct19 Sep10 Aug06 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 30.00    
 
LRL-9   01/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECTRIER Jan13 Dec30       (magee kieron)LEWIS M 113 12.00    
FOWL NATION Jan08 Dec11 Nov20 Nov04   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.80 49% 1.00    
I AM THE MIKE Jan08 Dec09 Nov27 Nov06 Oct09 (mancilla carl)ALVELO C 124 5.00 6% 15.60    
OVER THE BORDER Jan08 Dec13 Nov27 Oct28 Oct15 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
CALIFORNIA GHOST Jan13 Dec30 Dec03 Nov21 Jun03 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 2.00 19% 4.20    
FARTLEK Jan08 Jan01       (capuano ph)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 12.00    
RUN ROCKY RUN Jan14         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.