Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($54.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOSPEL WAY Sep24 Sep03 Jul15 Jun12 May01 (mcknight norman)JONES SLADE 116 1.80 23% 3.30    
COPINSAY Sep10 Aug19 Jul22 Jul01 Jun05 (holder r)GALLARDO A 121 20.00    
H C HOLIDAY Sep25 Aug20 Jul01 Jun12 May22 (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 2.00 22% 3.50    
DOWNLOAD Oct01 Sep02       (depaulo mi)CAMPOS LUIS 121 15.00    
HELL BENT Sep24 Sep03 Aug14 Jul15 Jun24 (ritchie sarah)MORAN DAVID 121 8.00    
BRIGHT DEVIL (IRE) Oct01 Sep03 Aug12 Jul17 Jul03 (depaulo michae)STEIN JUSTIN 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
HIT THE POINT Sep24 Sep03 Jul29 Jul15   (armata v)SALLES LEO 121 6.00    
KIDDIE HOLIDAY Sep24 Sep02 Jul24 Jun19 Jun02 (attard k)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 6% 17.10    
 
WO-2   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIOT NESS         (ward wesley )KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
TARADAR Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 Jul15 Jun10 (tharre)ALDERSON IAN 123 4.00    
SPIGETINMTZABALLS Oct07 Sep16 May14 Apr24   (mcknight norman)JONES SLADE 118 20.00    
SIR GRAYVENSCROFT Sep25 Sep11 Sep01 Aug13 Jul10 (colbourne gor)JOHNSON DEVON 125 20.00    
TWICE AS SMART Oct07 Sep16 Aug08 Jul12 Jun18 (powell a)SALLES LEO 125 20.00    
BLUES POWER Aug31         (ward a)HOYTE JASON 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
DOINGGOODTROUBLE Sep23 Sep04 Aug20 Jul22 Jul08 (pottinger ant)CHERNETZ SKYE 123 12.00    
EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN Sep25 Sep05 Aug20 Aug05 Jun30 (banach darwin )STEIN JUSTIN 125 10.00    
MORE THAN HAPPY Oct08 Sep11 Aug18 Jul17 Jun26 (ladauceur )CAMPOS LUIS 125 15.00    
10  FOUR BOUNCE Sep25 Sep11 Aug13 Jul31 Jul17 (marrocco jason)CRAWFORD J 125 8.00    
 
WO-3   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($70.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVIN ON LUV Aug21 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 Jun05 (buttigieg pa)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  AWESOME TREAT Jan27 Jan03       (attard steve)JONES SLADE 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
MISS BRENTWOOD Sep29         (ross a)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 8.00    
KIMONO KATE Sep22 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 May22 (morden richard)STEIN JUSTIN 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
FRAC TALES Sep29 Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (grant carlos)HUSBANDS P 124 2.50    
JAB Jun05 May15 Apr24     (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 124 10.00    
AQUA LUNA Sep29 Sep10       (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 121 20.00    
 
WO-4   10/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($111.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARRA GO WAN Sep16 Aug25 Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 (hayes breeda)JONES SLADE 118 5.00    
TRADING BAY Jun26 May07 Apr23     (glennon darren)FLORES ESWAN 123 10.00    
MO TOURING Sep03 Jun25       (casse mark)STEIN JUSTIN 121 15.00    
ARTFUL BALLERINA Sep24 Aug20       (mattine mich)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
INTO TOURING Aug19 Jul16 Jun11     (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 121 6.00    
EVER SO D'WILD Oct06 Sep13 Aug29 Aug16 Aug08 (davis jennifer)CRAWFORD J 121 20.00    
HALFINTHEWRAPPER Sep25 Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 Jun22 (hall philip)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  FOREST B Oct01 Sep09 Aug12 Jun18 May28 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 8.00    
OL' BLONDIE Sep24 Sep09 Jul30 Jul09 May27 (buttigieg paul )MORAN DAVID 125 12.00    
10  TAVALINE Sep15 Aug28       (gattellaro t)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 2.50 13% 6.70    
 
WO-5   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($66.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREGA Sep11 Aug14 Jun24 May27   (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 2.00 18% 4.60    
LUZ DE LA LUNA Sep30 Sep18 Aug11 Jul23 Jul01 (squires na)CAMPOS LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  LADY MOONSHINE Sep24 Aug18 Jul23 Jun26 Jun11 (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 3.00    
IL MALOCCHIO Sep10 Aug13 Jul17 Jun05 Apr02 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
SILVER DAHLIA Sep24 Aug27 Aug11 Jul17 Jun30 (mattine john)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BUTTERED TOAST Sep30 Sep01 Aug11 Jul16 Jun16 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 124 8.00    
FISH MOONEY Sep24 Aug19 Jul27 Jun11 May06 (casse mark)FLORES ESWAN 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
 
WO-6   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($126.8K) 2 F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEED TRAP         (carroll josi)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
MRS. C Sep17 Aug20       (vella j)MORAN DAVID 118 30.00    
SECRETS GALORE Sep10 Jul31       (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 121 12.00    
WORST BEHAVIOUR         (attfield )WILSON JAYNE 121 12.00    
SCR  BE LIKE LEIGH         (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
O WOW Sep24         (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 121 30.00    
JUST ON TIME (FR)         (doyle j)JONES SLADE 113 12.00    
MISS JESSEL Sep24         (carroll josie)STEIN JUSTIN 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
GATHERING STORM (SAF) Aug21 Jul31       (attfield)GALLARDO A 121 10.00    
10  COLLECT DATTT Sep24         (attard kevin)SALLES LEO 118 10.00    
11  COLLECTIVELY Aug26         (macrae donal)CARROLL DECLAN 118 6.00 7% 13.30    
12  VELIKIY Sep24         (vas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  EME CLAIRE         (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 10.00    
 
WO-7   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($123.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CATCH MAGIC Sep03 Aug06 Jun19 May27 Mar26 (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 121 12.00    
A GAME         (carroll josi)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 6.00    
I'M INTO MISCHIEF Sep25 May22       (nosowenko nich)FLORES ESWAN 121 3.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  PROUD SPEAKER         (black ian)MUNOZ LARRY 121 12.00    
MARALINGA Oct02         (depaulo michael)MORAN DAVID 121 20.00    
DRAMATIC FASHION         (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 121 8.00    
SECRETARYOFTHENILE Sep17 Aug21 Jun11 May21   (attfield )WILSON JAYNE 121 12.00 10% 8.90    
GIO MARIA Aug28 Jul23 Jun16 May07 Apr15 (doyle mi)GALLARDO A 121 20.00    
WARWOMAN Sep17 Aug06 Jul02 Jun05 Apr30 (cox gail)JONES SLADE 116 15.00    
SCR  CAMELOT'S CUP         (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 5.00 10% 8.90    
11  GAYELETTE Sep25 Sep03 Jul30 Jul02 Jun05 (gonzalez nicho)STEIN JUSTIN 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
WO-8   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($54.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO SAYS Sep30 Sep24 Aug18 Jul28 Jul02 (barrow rodney)SALLES LEO 125 8.00    
BEQUIA Sep30 Aug06 Jun25     (attard kevin)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
JOLENE JOLENE Sep30 Sep04 Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 (ladauceur harol)JONES SLADE 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  ASHBURY Sep05 Aug02 Jul05 Jun13   (villeneuve fra)FLORES ESWAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
TENPENNY NAIL Sep09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul21 Jul02 (pottins r)BAHEN R 123 12.00    
GAV'S DREAM GIRL Sep18 Aug27 Aug18 Jul09 Jun16 (dipaola s)WILSON JAYNE 121 12.00 12% 7.10    
FRENCH FRANC (FR) Aug17 Jul29 May15 Apr17   (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 6.00    
UMNEYAAT Sep30 Sep01 Aug20 Jul30 Jun25 (jones a)HOYTE JASON 123 2.50    
 
WO-9   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAZELBROOK Sep17 Aug21 Jul24 Jun25   (richards lorne)HOYTE JASON 125 1.20 32% 2.10    
  (by BAYERN out of ZAPHIA by BERNSTEIN)
BEYOND MYBUDGET Sep17 Aug21 Jan29 Jan01   (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of AMIABLE GRACE by ALPHABET SOUP)
BEAT THE SYSTEM Sep25 Sep10 Aug13     (desruisseaux)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 4.00 19% 4.10    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
IMAGERY Sep25 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 May27 (armata vit)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 121 6.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of BERTIE'S IMAGE by READY'S IMAGE)
MOQADAMA (IRE) Aug27 Jul23 Jun26 Jun11   (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 12.00    
  (by DARK ANGEL (IRE) out of WHITE DAFFODIL by FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND (GB))
MARIE MACKAY Sep25 Sep04 Jul09     (vella j)HUSBANDS P 118 8.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION (GB) out of ALWAYS A STAR (IRE) by DANEHILL)
 
WO-10   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($39.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA NINA Oct01 Sep15 Aug20 Jul30 Jul03 (biamonte ral)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  ANITA GRIGIO Oct01 Sep04 Jul14 Jul03 Jun18 (pottin)ALDERSON IAN 122 20.00    
FLAT OUT VIXEN Sep15 Sep04 Jul21 Jun25 Jun02 (katryan abra)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 12.00    
SCR  GLOVANNA Oct01 Sep09 Sep04 Aug04 Jul21 (lepiane paul)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 20.00    
TEXT ME UP Sep04 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 (armata v)SALLES LEO 124 3.00    
ENDORPHIN RUSH Sep29 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 Jun18 (desouza bancro)STEIN JUSTIN 122 4.50 14% 5.90    
PHIL IN ECHO Sep22 Aug26 Jul30 Jul09 Jun30 (yu dan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 20.00    
LIL'S TURN Sep18 Sep04 Aug18 Jul14 Jun25 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
MACHISIMA Sep29 Sep04 Aug18 Jul21 Jul14 (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00    
10  SAN NICOLA STAR Sep29 Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 (ritchi)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 12.00    
11  AMI'S LINK Sep15 Jun25 Jun18 Jun02 Apr30 (chircop steven)JONES SLADE 117 8.00    
SCR  CALL HER JOEY Oct01 Sep04 Aug18 Jul21 Jun18 (wright mich)WENC C 122 12.00    
SCR  PINO IN A PURSE Oct06 Sep20 Sep09 Aug16 Jul28 (griffith ricky)JONES SLADE 117 10.00 8% 12.20    
14  BLU SKY SUNRISE Sep15 Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun11 (ross a)CONTRERAS LUIS 126 5.00    
15  MOONLIGHT RAIN Sep15 Jun25 Mar03 Feb12 Jan08 (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.