Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - October 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUNNERS HEAT Sep23 Sep08 Aug21 Aug14 Jul28 (wilson l)PEREZ E 118 3.50 ★    
2  HEY MA Sep24 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11   (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 118 8.00 12% 7.60    
3  BELLS OF JOY Aug13 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May27 (reavis mic)GUTIERREZ HERNAN 111 6.00 32% 2.10    
4  TAP N TWINE Sep19 Aug31 Aug08 Jul18 Jun25 (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00    
5  BOOZIN AT BOZOS Sep07 Aug25 Jul07 Jun19   (riecken bru)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.00 ★    
6  QUE PASA MUFASA Sep14 Aug25 May19 May06 Apr01 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 118 2.50    
7  VOODOO FIRE Sep15 Sep07 Aug27 Aug14 Jul10 (litfin nevad)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
 
HAW-2   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TODDLES Sep24 Aug19 Jun10 May27   (slager mike)ORM CORY 121 6.00    
2  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Aug11 Jul13 Jul02 Jun12 Jun01 (rosin w)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  TALKTOEACHOTHER Sep07 Jun17 May21 May14 Apr23 (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 4.00    
4  COCO BRAVADO Sep29 Sep18 Jul29 Jun17 May27 (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 114 4.50 ★    
5  ART HEIST Sep24 Sep10 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 118 8.00 25% 2.90    
6  WILDWOOD'S GAMBLE Aug06 Jul08 Jun25 Jun07 May24 (reyes martin)COLON H 121 10.00 10% 8.90    
7  ALPINE GHOST Jul14 Jun17 Jun04 May21 Apr30 (haran )BAILON JADHIR 121 5.00 11% 8.00    
 
HAW-3   10/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR SPARKS Sep29 Aug24 Jun09 May07   (granitz j)PEREZ E 121 15.00    
SCR  JOLTING JOE Aug02 Jun24 Jun10 May21 May01 (cook brian)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 30.00    
3  DIAMOND DAVE Sep16 Aug26 Jun10 May01   (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 20.00    
SCR  RUDIGER Aug19         (sanner dani)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 12.00 9% 9.60    
5  WHISKEY PLANK Sep08 Aug17 Jul16 Jul02 Jun08 (rengstorf to)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00    
SCR  HARD COUNT Sep13 Aug02 Jul14 Jun27 May24 (johns justin)BAIRD T 121 8.00 11% 8.50    
7  HARD ATTACK Sep07 Aug25 Aug10 Jul31 Jun19 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  BUDRO TALKING Sep17 Aug14 Jun11 May21 Mar27 (rodriguez hugo)LOPEZ E 121 15.00    
9  IOYA AGAIN Aug25 Jul31 Jun03 Mar19 Feb10 (block chris)MOJICA O 121 10.00    
10  TWOKO BAY Sep17 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 May29 (scherer gary)FELIX E 124 4.50 ★    
11  SIERRA HOTEL Sep23 Sep17 Sep07 Aug27 Aug11 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 5.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  SOUL COAXING Sep17 Jun19 Jun02 Mar17 Feb04 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00    
 
HAW-4   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALLIE'S RAINBOW Aug20 Jul30       (becker scott)EMIGH A 118 4.50 30% 2.30    
2  NOT TO BE DENIED Sep20 Aug06 Jul09 Jun17 May07 (thurman rhonda)COLON H 121 12.00    
3  ALQWANI Sep04 Aug04 Jul10 Mar07   (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 2.50 12% 7.50    
4  WAR MUSIC Sep15 Sep04 Aug14 Jul10 Jun23 (riecken bru)BARANDELA SOFIA 111 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  STACY ATTACK Jun25 Jun04 May07 Apr24 Apr03 (watkins m)FELIX E 121 5.00 ★    
6  MOUDARI Sep29 Sep10 Aug27 Jul09 Jun24 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 121 6.00    
7  FRIEND Sep24 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul29 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 118 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-5   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZ STUCK UP Jun24 Apr09       (mcdonnell b)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 20.00    
2  AROSE FOR LYLA Sep17 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul19 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 121 20.00    
3  WHITE LIES Aug04 Jul10 Jun11 May27 Apr30 (miller patt)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 10.00    
SCR  SHARP HERO Oct02 Sep13 Jun24 Jun04   (ross s)EMIGH A 121 8.00 ★    
5  EMERALD PRINCESS Aug27 Jul17 Jun19 May28 May06 (robertson h)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 6.00    
6  LILY'S WOOFY Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 Jun24 Jun11 (hernandez armando)BAIRD T 121 8.00 ★    
7  PURR SEA Sep24 Aug30 Aug03 Jun28 Jun01 (boyce mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 2.50 13% 6.50    
8  JETS A GINNIN Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 May20 Apr30 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.00 61% 0.60    
9  MALLOY Aug07 Jul02 Jun11 May14 Mar09 (catalano m)MOJICA O 121 3.50 ★    
 
HAW-6   10/08/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIZZ A BEE Sep07 Aug28 Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00 ★    
2  LIPLINER Jun24 Jun17 May15 Apr23   (childers vance)BAIRD T 118 12.00    
3  KATIE M'LADY         (boyce michele)FELIX E 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  ROMANTIC ATTACK Oct02 Jul12 May28 Apr19   (childers vance)COLON H 118 15.00    
5  BEYOND PROPER Aug20 Jul17 Jul03 Jun17 May20 (block chris)EMIGH A 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  CAT ATTACK Sep24 Aug15 Jun29 May28 May03 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  KINGSBURY DREAM Jun17 May28 May06     (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 10.00    
8  SWEET FRAULEIN Sep16 Aug26 Aug09 Jul30 Jun28 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 114 30.00    
9  TRAIL RIDGE ROAD Sep06 Aug10 Jun25     (block chris)MOJICA O 114 4.50 8% 11.80    
10  EMBARRASSING Sep24 Aug14 May28 May08 Feb26 (rodriguez hugo)LOPEZ E 118 15.00    
 
HAW-7   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUEY ATTACK Aug05 Jun22 Jun04 May14   (bahena ferna)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00    
2  DEVILEYE May14 Jan09       (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 7% 14.10    
3  DOCTOR OSCAR Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 Jun30 Jun11 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.50 47% 1.10    
4  CARLOS L. Apr02         (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 2.50 ★    
5  PALACE KITTEN Sep23 Sep09 Aug16 Jul30 Jul02 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 15.00    
6  HIDE THE DEMON Aug08 Jul11 May27 Apr08 Mar05 (campbell michael)FELIX E 121 10.00    
7  WHAT'S UP DUDE May14 Apr17 Mar26 Feb26 Jan01 (cristel j)COLON H 121 5.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  LONG WEEKEND Aug06 Jul02 May08 Mar18 Feb21 (amoss m)MOJICA O 121 3.50 17% 4.70    
 
HAW-8   10/08/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COWBOYS DREAM Sep23 Jun17 May20     (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 6.00    
2  SOUPER HIGHVOLTAGE Sep23 Aug23 Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 (cristel j)COLON H 121 10.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  P H FACTOR Sep25 Sep05 Aug14 Jul25 Jun02 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 121 3.50 38% 1.70    
4  LAVENDER EARL Sep25 Aug22 Aug06 Jun25 Jun10 (ramirez carl)TAVARES JAVIER 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WILD FOX Sep16 Aug19 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 (dizeo dino)LOPEZ A 121 20.00    
6  SYMBOLIST Sep26 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 (manley steve)BAIRD T 121 10.00    
7  MOVE ON OVER Sep24 Jul15 Jun24 May27 Apr26 (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 6.00    
8  IRISH VALOR Oct02 Jul01 Jun11 Apr13 Apr02 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 5.00    
9  BRAVO BRAVO Sep24 Sep03 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  D'FEVER Aug26 Aug12 Jul24 Jun25   (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00    
11  END ALL GET ALL Sep24 Aug26 Jul01 May30 Apr24 (arnett g)MOJICA O 121 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.