Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   09/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONALD R (IRE) Sep14 Jul06 Jun15     (sipp burton )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
ATTA BOY ANTHONY Sep04 Aug20 Jul02 Jun17 May29 (andrade hugo)ROLDAN FELISHA 108 3.00 20% 4.00    
POWELL Sep02 Aug05 Jul19 Jul01 Jun11 (howard wi)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110 30.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  RUSSIAN TANK Sep06 Jul20 Jul12 Jun13 Jun07 (dorochenko gennad)YARANGA Y 118 5.00    
SCR  RUDIGER Aug19         (es)DA FAUSTO 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
QUALIFLY Sep12 Sep05 Jun27 Jun06 May25 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
SCR  RYEGATE STONE Aug29 Aug06 Jul20 Jul12 Jun07 (acevedo isr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 8.00    
POLITICAL RIOT Sep06 Jul20 May05 Apr23 Apr01 (sanchez m)CCAMAQUE M 120 6.00    
SCR  GRACEFUL KITTEN Sep14 Aug15 Jul17 May13 Apr17 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00    
SCR  U. S. STEEL Sep05 Jul31 Jul14 Jun02 Feb13 (bernardini j)MAYTA J 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
11  CAPE LOOKOUT Aug27 Jul16 Jul08 Jun24 May26 (viands gregory)MONTANO JOSE 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  MUTAKATIF (IRE) Sep05 Aug22 Jul17 Jun23 Jun03 (brown paul)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
 
MNR-2   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HONORABLE Sep19 Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 Jul06 (pappad)ENRIQUEZ JR 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
TELLER Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jul13 Jun10 (silva pab)DIAZ I 120 15.00    
TEMPLET Aug28 Jul25 Jul13 Jun15 May18 (connel)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
TAPPIN ROYALTY Aug23 Aug01 May17     (cuttino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00    
RIP THORN Aug31 Jul10 Jun20 May07   (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
SEEKING REFUGE Aug17 Aug04 Jul17 Jul04 May29 (ei)DA FAUSTO 120 5.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLEDSELECTION Sep14 Aug15 Aug03 Jul11 Jun21 (bernardini jay )VEGA L 120 8.00    
JUST U AND ME KID Sep07 Jun07 May24 May07 Feb19 (cain crysta)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  MARSALA MONARCH Sep13 Aug11 Jun19 May31 May25 (vickers rich)MAYTA J 120 6.00    
SCR  WILLYMAR Sep14 Sep07 Aug24 Aug01 Jul10 (rangel arnul)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 20.00    
11  BRIAR JUMPER Sep06 Aug23 Jul06 Jun19 May24 (bernardini jay)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00    
 
MNR-3   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORIANNE Sep12 Aug30 Aug17 Aug01 Jul12 (tucker jim)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00    
SCR  CORNICE TRAVERSE Jul07 Jun13 May25 Feb12 Jan01 (colebrook be)MAYTA J 118 1.60 48% 1.10    
SCR  HERO'S DAUGHTER Sep20 Aug17 Apr02 Feb03 Jan10 (dorochenko gennad)YARANGA Y 123 8.00    
SCR  MAUNA LANI Sep06         (meehan)ENRIQUEZ JR 123 20.00    
FRACING HOT Aug14 Jun29 Jun06 Feb26   (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 3.00 11% 8.10    
CAPETOWN CANDY Aug14 May29 May08 Apr17 Mar23 (montano w)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Jun29 Mar08 Feb19     (reed er)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.50 14% 6.10    
JESSICA BLAH BLAH Sep12 Jun02 May12     (vitali)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 12.00    
NELL'S BELLS Sep19 Jul13 Jun06 Apr09 Mar10 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00    
SCR  DELIA'S PRIDE Aug30 Aug14 Aug01 Jan21   (montano wilfrido)BAEZ M 123 30.00    
 
MNR-4   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONNECTED Sep13 Aug31 Aug15 Jul25 Jul11 (bernardini j)MAYTA J 118 3.00 14% 6.30    
IN SEARCH OF Aug08 Jul17 May29 Apr28 Apr13 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 12% 7.40    
JOE GONZALEZ Sep13 Jun01 May23 May09 Apr16 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 4.00    
GALLIPOLIS Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 Jul17 Jun07 (sullivan mi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
PAYNTER FEVER Sep05 May07       (parra hernan)ROLDAN FELISHA 113 20.00    
HUNTER JUMPER Sep13 Aug21 Aug04 Jul09 Jun23 (ei)DA FAUSTO 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
DON DANIEL Aug05 Mar28 Mar02 Feb01 Jan15 (silva pab)DIAZ I 118 6.00    
 
MNR-5   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICE STAR Sep20 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul10 (husak robert)ROLDAN FELISHA 108 12.00    
ITS BIG Sep04 Aug23 Aug16 Jul31 Jul03 (silva pab)DIAZ I 118 1.60 56% 0.80    
SCR  STAYIN OR STRAYIN Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 Jul11 May23 (shanyfe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
LIL MR MATT Jul14 Jun13 May04 Apr20 Apr02 (smith osbor)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50 11% 7.70    
EL DUQUE Sep07 Aug23 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 (herri)MONSERRATE A 120 20.00 8% 12.10    
MIDNIGHT LEWIS Sep20 Sep11 Aug15 Aug02 Jul24 (shilling josep)JURADO EDDIE 120 10.00    
PRETTY LOUD Sep20 Sep05 Aug21 Aug15 Aug07 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 4.50    
SCR  BARELYSTILLCOUNTS Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul17 Jul03 (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00    
 
MNR-6   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET TASSA Sep12 Aug24 Aug17 Jul25 Jul15 (stephe)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 9% 9.70    
EMPEROR'S SONG Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 Aug08 Jul12 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 4.00    
SCR  KEEN MACHINE Aug24 Jul17 May25 Apr30 Apr20 (clouston edw)LUNA ELEMANIEL 108 12.00    
OUT OF ROMANCE Sep13 Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Jun07 (howard wi)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110 20.00    
CARISMATICA Sep04 Aug09 Jul18 Jul03 Jun22 (pena ye)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
WHAT A TART Sep13 Aug22 Aug07 Jul26   (ewell devan )MAYTA J 120 12.00    
LA LIMA Sep11 Sep04 Aug22 Aug15 Jul27 (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
COACH MACHEN Sep11 Aug24 Jul11 Jun22 Jun13 (ewell devan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00 8% 11.10    
 
MNR-7   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROLINA ISLAND Sep06 Aug21 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 (van de)MAYTA J 120 12.00    
TOP HAT WARRIOR Sep06 Aug07 Jul13 Jun20 May31 (stansbury julie)RAMGEET R 120 5.00    
DOCTOR LEE Aug22 Jul19 Jun20 May03 Apr15 (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 27% 2.80    
LIGHTNING FLASH Aug21 Aug07 Jul26 Jun28 Jun20 (shilling josep)JURADO EDDIE 120 10.00    
SCR  SWINGIN FRIAR Sep06 Jul05 Jun21 Jun08 May26 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 20.00 9% 10.20    
PARADE GRAND Sep14 Aug21 Aug07 Jul26 Jul13 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
BOB'S CALLING Sep14 Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 Jul07 (spiess m)DIAZ I 120 4.00    
UNCLE CARLITO Sep20 Aug31 Jul05 Jun26 Jun06 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  THE WAYNE FACTOR Aug07 Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 Jun12 (lopez e)LUNA ELEMANIEL 110 12.00 5% 18.80    
 
MNR-8   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAVE HILARIO Sep14         (gotera ju)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 12.00    
CHOCOLATE STOUT         (bernardini jay )VEGA L 118 12.00    
OLD FORTY FIVE Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 (baird john )WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 2.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  MR. LUCKY Sep13         (fl)DA FAUSTO 118 20.00    
OFF TO THE RACES Sep13 Aug21 Jul31 Jun27 Jun14 (ewell devan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 5.00    
CHEROKEE WIND Sep19 Aug31 Jul10 Jun13 May10 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 118 10.00    
SCR  PERJURY May06 Apr16       (cross r)DIAZ I 118 5.00    
CHIPPER RON Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 (sipp burton )GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 15.00    
LEAD OFF Sep13 Jul16 Jun19 Jun11 May29 (eidsch)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00    
10  KLIMT RIDE Sep13 Aug21 Aug07 Jul25 Jun27 (ewell d)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00 7% 12.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.