Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Remington Park
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RP-1   09/17/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POKER PLAY Sep03 Jun14 Apr24 Mar26   (caster boyd)WETHEY JR 119 4.50    
BREW CREW Aug26 Jul16       (jacks karen)MELANCON JANSEN 122 2.50 65% 0.50    
EL BLAZE May18 May10 Jan28 Jan15   (helzer e)SANCHEZ OBED 119 12.00    
CHAMPAGNE STOOPER Jul12         (dunlap shon)INIRIO J 121 15.00    
CITY OF HOPE Aug26 Jul05 Jun13 May17 May02 (mitchell da)HERRERA GUSTAVO 122 5.00    
BLUEGRASS BREEZE Jul05 Jun14 May09 Apr08 Mar11 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 121 3.50    
SCARYATCANTERBURY Sep08 Aug24 Jun25 May19 Mar12 (silva mig)TORRES A 124 6.00    
PLAY RULE Sep08 Aug26 Jul22 Jul04 Jun26 (dupuy allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 8.00    
 
RP-2   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.65K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEZA FREAK Aug27 Jul23 May29 May07 Mar23 (villafranco)HAMILTON WESTON 119 5.00    
BIG CITY BOY Sep01         (caster boyd)WETHEY JR 119 4.50 8% 12.20    
HIT ONE OUT May18 Apr27 Apr12 Mar23   (gelner ja)TRIANA JR 122 4.00    
ELUSIVE WAR Aug20         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
CINCO STEVE May24 May10 Apr11     (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00 26% 2.80    
LUCKY KINGBIRD Jul11         (rodriguez mar)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
ZIP TIE Aug20 Jun27 May30     (leddy spenc)MELANCON JANSEN 122 10.00    
 
RP-3   09/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14.7K) 35 ALL PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT REALIZATION Sep02 Jul12 Jun28 Jun07 May23 (davidson b)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 4.00 12% 7.30    
MR. SMOKEY Sep03 Jul05 May10 Mar30   (moreno carlos)LUZZI J 121 8.00    
DONNELLY Jun05 May15 Apr09     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 5.00    
BACKSTAGE BUD Jul11 May18 May11 Apr19 Apr04 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
RODEO RIVER May11 Apr11       (blatchford )INIRIO J 124 15.00    
SCR  STAR OF CASSIE         (pruitt jody)MELANCON JANSEN 124 8.00 21% 3.90    
POWER WIZARD Sep03 Aug20 Apr26 Apr11   (caster boyd)HAMILTON WESTON 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
GOSPEL BANKER Apr13 Mar30       (williams st)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 12.00    
 
RP-4   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40.425K) 35 ALL PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OGA BEAR Aug27         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.00 58% 0.70    
CHARM THE LADIES May18         (nolen kenn)ERAMIA E 121 12.00    
EURO TRACKING May18 Apr26 Mar23     (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
INCASEYOUMISSEDME         (oberlande)TRIANA JR 121 15.00    
GOSPEL TRUTH May09 Apr18 Apr04     (williams st)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 12.00    
COUNTRY BRAVE Aug27 May07 Apr09 Mar10 Feb18 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 124 2.50    
SWORD OF GOLD May18 May02       (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 121 6.00    
EUROMANDALORIAN Aug27 May24       (hunt s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
BOLD EXCAPER Aug20 Jun18 Jun05 Apr30 Apr01 (jacks e)LUZZI J 121 8.00    
 
RP-5   09/17/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEATIN UP Sep02 Jul09 May17 May10 Apr20 (jacquot ge)ERAMIA E 121 8.00    
LIGHT SHIFT Apr29 Apr07 Mar09 Feb09 Jan21 (davidson )MEDINA ANGEL 121 6.00    
CLASSIC DR AL Apr23         (cappellucci d)CABRERA DAVID 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
RIVER VENUS Aug19 Jul15 May23 Apr25 Apr13 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 10.00    
ROCKIN RONI Jul18 Jul11 Jun28 May24 Apr05 (oberlande)TRIANA JR 121 12.00    
LYNN'S FOLLY         (chavira luz)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 15.00    
YOU JUST WATCHME Jul22 May22       (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 20.00    
MISS RITA Sep09 Jun11 May17 Apr24 Apr03 (donaldson j)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00    
BENDELENE Jul24 Jun09 May15 Apr05 Mar11 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 4.50 36% 1.80    
10  SMART LASSIE Jul24 Jun09 May15 Apr29 Mar09 (cravens ronnie)LUZZI J 121 5.00    
 
RP-6   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-10:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COST AVERAGE Aug27 Jul21 Jul04 Mar23 Feb23 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 6.00    
GUNNER PAUL Aug19 Aug08 Jul02 Jun20 Jun02 (ashford ray)MORA GERARDO 124 4.50    
RARE STRIPE Jul24 Jul02 Jun17 May23 May06 (villafranco f)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00 50% 1.00    
TALE TWISTER Aug08 Jul10 Jun17 May08 Mar18 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 8.00    
SCR  CARPE EROS Jul16 Jun16 Feb23 Jan29 Jan07 (caldwell j )CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 8.00    
FLEXATI Sep07 Jul16 Jul08 Jun24 May14 (bravo franc)HAMILTON WESTON 120 8.00    
BLING MOUNTAIN Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 May29 Apr01 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 121 10.00    
SUMMER SPLASH Aug13         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
RP-7   09/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40.425K) 2 ALL PT-10:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSPEL TRUMPET         (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 119 20.00    
CONNORS OUTLAW         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 119 8.00    
TEQUILAN ME SMALLS         (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00    
RANGER REX         (gustafson aust)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00    
EXOTIC'S BEAR         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 15.00    
ARMY AIRBORNE         (caster boyd)CABRERA DAVID 119 6.00    
EAKLY Aug06 Jun23       (von hemel )ERAMIA E 119 2.50 12% 7.60    
CIMARRON SAND         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 119 20.00    
DENS DEVILLE         (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00    
10  TATER Aug27         (davidson m )HERRERA GUSTAVO 119 20.00    
11  GHOST HERO         (gelner j)LUZZI J 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
12  RED DIRT RICH Aug27         (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 119 5.00 41% 1.50    
 
RP-8   09/17/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-11:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY ROMANCE (IRE) Aug26 Jul21 Jun30 May28   (buehrer mark )CABRERA DAVID null      
GORDON ANTHONY Sep01 Jun25 Jun04 May22 May08 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 120 3.00 6% 15.30    
GEORGIA DEPUTY Sep01 Jul08 Jun25 Mar17 Jan16 (petalino joe)ALVAREZ L 120 10.00    
OTTOTHELEGEND Jul10 May22 May01 Apr09 Mar16 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 6.00 32% 2.10    
NANAS BOY Jul08 Jun25 Apr28 Apr07 Feb05 (willis mi)TRIANA JR 120 12.00    
HOWDY PILGRIM         (rodriguez)MEDINA ANGEL 120 15.00    
BEST TIME Sep01 Jul22 Jul04 Jun17 May15 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00 9% 10.10    
DYNA STRIKE Sep01 Jul10 May29 May13 Feb12 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
MORE LIKE IT Sep01 Jul08 Jun25 May22 May01 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  LAB RAT Sep01 Jul08 Jun25 May29 May08 (scholl kevi)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00    
 
RP-9   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT-11:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DA PRAIRIE GIRL         (neff d)CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00 17% 4.80    
DO YOU BILEVE Jul04 Jun11 May10 Apr19 Apr04 (swan patric)INIRIO J 121 10.00    
TAIGA Aug27 Jul30 Jun04 Apr29   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 4.00 49% 1.10    
DORITA'S HEART Sep02 Aug20 Jul24 Jul03 Jun23 (davidson sar)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
COST A FORTUNE Aug04 Jul03 Jun19 Jun01 May01 (dixon tim)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00    
PEEK FACTOR Jul22 Jul04 May27 May06 Feb16 (peek kevin)QUINONEZ S 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
DANZIG UP A STORM Sep02 Jul22 Jun16 May28   (cravens ronnie)LUZZI J 121 5.00    
EMPIRE PASS Sep02 Aug04 May27 May07 Apr10 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 2.50    
SIGICRICKET Aug19 May16 Apr25 Apr04   (swan patr)TRIANA JR 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.