Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belterra Park
Tuesday - September 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BTP-1   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOYFUL HEART Aug12 Jul15 Jun28 Jun11 May20 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 125 1.80    
BLACK CANDY Jul03 Jun24 Jun07 May19 Apr27 (tomczak mark)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 34% 2.00    
UNCLE EARL Aug23 Aug02 Jun28 Jun02 May11 (brownfield claude)FELIX E 121 3.50    
JUNIOR BUG Aug05 Jul15 Jul06 Jun11 May11 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 4.00    
STRUGAR Aug23 Aug02 Jun28 Mar31 Feb19 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
BTP-2   09/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY BOURBON Aug26 Aug17 Aug01 Jun09 May25 (estvanko richa)HALDAR J 121 10.00 8% 11.80    
1A  GO YEOWOMEN Aug17 Jun23 May06 Apr16 Mar26 (estvanko richa)HALDAR J 121 10.00    
SCR  KANFU Aug29 Jun27 May17     (granitz anthony)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 32% 2.10    
DANCE THE DAY AWAY Aug10 Jan08       (decker anna)MIRANDA ROGELIO 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
JUST FINE BY ME Jul21 Jul07 May20 May06 Mar24 (shifflett cheryl)AYALA ISAIAS 116 20.00    
TRAUMARAMA Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 (patrick gary)MCKEE J 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
LEXOPHILIA Aug17 Aug10 Jun25 May06 Apr18 (axmaker w)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
MACHINE GUN MERRY Aug17 Jul22 Jun21 May23   (matejka pave)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 5.00 9% 9.60    
MAUK'S TUFF Aug17 Jun22 Jun13     (haehn r)REYES R 116 10.00    
SCR  GUILDER Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 Jul01 May25 (smith larry)OUZTS W 116 8.00    
10  SMART PEGASUS Aug09 Jul18 Jun30 Jun18 May28 (miller arizona)FELIX E 116 12.00    
 
BTP-3   09/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLAMOROUS DAYS         (mcgaughey claude)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 25% 2.90    
REVERB Aug25 Jul14 Jun03 Apr27   (colebrook be)MICHEL MICKAELLE 125 4.00    
HURRY UP CHIC CHIC Jul27 Jun14       (reed r)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
GABERDINE Aug09 Jul07 Jun22 Apr27 Feb24 (medina robert)REYES R 125 2.00 26% 2.80    
DALTON'S LOVE Jul14 Jun30 Jun01 May09 Mar19 (greenhill jeff)FELIX E 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
 
BTP-4   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEROCITY Aug26 Aug16 Jul27 Jul13 Jun11 (grubbs l)OUZTS W 120 3.50    
EYES OF GLORY Sep01 Aug09 Jul20 Jun25 Jun02 (vosler eugene)PETERSON FERRIN 121 4.00    
CLASSIC KING Sep01 Aug25 Aug08 Jul20 Jun20 (claire alexis)FELIX E 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
WELLMAN Aug11 Jul05 Apr23 Apr10 Jan23 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
KY HOT BROWN Aug22 Aug11 Jul27 Jul12 Jul01 (wilson jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
 
BTP-5   09/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWELVE PACK STEVE Aug31 Aug12 Jul12 Jun21 Jun03 (ashcraft david)BUSH V 121 12.00    
SQUEAKY CLEAN Aug30 Aug19 Jul12 Jun21   (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00 15% 5.80    
BELTON AVE         (rodak geraldine)BRYAN KERRY 125 20.00 11% 8.40    
RAISE THE PURSES Aug31 Jul09 Jun26 May27 May15 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 17% 4.80    
ROLLIN SO PERFECT Aug31 Jul26 Jul07 Jun21 May25 (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 4.50 29% 2.50    
G T THREE FIFTY Aug11         (mason ingrid)LEZCANO ABEL 121 3.00    
WILD OX Aug31 Jul07       (gorostieta cirilo)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
GRAY MAMBA Aug31 Aug12       (calvo kelsie)AYALA ISAIAS 121 15.00    
 
BTP-6   09/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FARZIN Aug26 Aug04 Jul13 Jun17 May18 (sandy s)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Sep01 Aug18 Aug12 Jul26 Jul05 (howard d)MIRANDA ROGELIO 117 8.00    
WIND TWIST Aug25 Jul13 Jun24 May24 May03 (sandy s)BRACHO A 121 5.00 15% 5.50    
SCAT SHACK Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 4.00 18% 4.60    
FIGHTVILLE Aug25 Aug05 Jul20 Jul08 May30 (esquivel jesus)HALDAR J 117 2.50    
MARKET DEVELOPMENT Aug31 Aug05 Jul20 Jun25 May25 (edwards william)LEZCANO ABEL 121 3.00 35% 1.80    
 
BTP-7   09/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMMAND CENTRAL Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 Mar12 Feb23 (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 125 1.80 69% 0.40    
BETTER DASHER Aug25 Aug10 Jun21 Jun09 May13 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 3.50    
MORNING DRIVE Sep01 Aug10 Jul13 May07 Apr30 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 121 4.50    
SCR  FLASHY DIAMOND Aug19 Jul26 Jul01     (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 125 5.00    
TOMMY POINT Aug19 Aug02 Jun24 May04   (helmbrecht )BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 4.00    
TRUST FUND ROBBER Aug31 Aug17 Aug10 Jul01 Jun21 (manning j)FELIX E 125 15.00    
DARETOBELUCKY Sep01 Aug19 Aug03     (howard d)BUSH V 121 20.00    
 
BTP-8   09/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($18K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BLUE LILY Jul19 Jun13 Mar26 Feb19   (reed r)MCKEE J 121 3.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  ENCHANTED NILE Jul07 Jun01 May03 Mar26   (reed r)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
SCR  LETSGOANDGETTHEDO Jun22 Jun01 Mar24 Feb24   (reed r)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
SOUTHERN SKY Aug30 Aug12 Jul18 Feb24 Jan16 (royal madelyn)LEZCANO ABEL 117 10.00    
SCR  GET CLEAR Aug18 Jul19 Jul01 May26 May10 (sands shane)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00    
SCR  WILMORE Aug16 Jul21 Jul01 May27 Jan23 (begley greg)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00    
DIALED INNA Sep02 Aug16 Jul29 Jul19 Jun24 (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 117 20.00    
BOW DRAW Aug26 Aug09       (platt noah)BRACHO A 123 10.00 5% 18.60    
MY GOOD GIRL Aug09 Jul21 Mar02 Jan01   (greenhill jeff)HALDAR J 121 2.50 15% 5.70    
FORGLO Aug18 Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 May18 (brownfield claude)FELIX E 121 6.00    
CHEROKEE SONG Aug18 Aug06 Jun08     (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 121 8.00    
10  GAMBLIN TRAIN Sep01 Jul01 Jun09 Feb04   (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.50 7% 12.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.