Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arizona Downs
Saturday - July 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AZD-4   07/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($8.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARDIE THE LEGEND Jul11 Apr25 Mar15 Feb20   (morgan dan)BARBER R 124 6.00 ★    
2  AG MINISTER Jun25 Apr12 Mar12 Feb22 Feb01 (eikleberry )MORALES ALLYSSA 120 0.60 40% 1.50    
3  ZEE RED MILES Jun25         (wheeler trav)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 20.00    
4  RIGHT TO SUE         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  BAD BOY BILL Jun25 May07 Apr26     (gleason m)GARCIA F 120 12.00 ★    
6  BUBBAS STREET BUD Jul11         (espinoza leonar)ROSALES G 124 15.00    
7  SHACKEY'S LOVE Jul11 Apr04 Mar23 Feb12 Jan21 (blea tony)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00 ★    
 
AZD-5   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANE ZAIN Jul08 Jan09       (evans jus)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 ★    
2  LIMONITE May29 Apr22 Apr02     (evans justin)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00    
3  RACE HOME Jul04 Apr27 Apr05 Mar11 Mar02 (ortiz sr)GARCIA F 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
4  RAMBLIN' MAN Jun25 Apr21 Mar04 Feb14 Jan10 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
5  HEY PILGRIM Jun25 Apr21 Mar04 Jan19   (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 ★    
6  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jul09 Jun25 May14 Apr22 Mar27 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.40 6% 15.40    
 
AZD-6   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUGHTY NOT NICE Jun27         (eikleberry )MORALES ALLYSSA 120 10.00    
2  MIDNIGHT BABY Jun27 Apr21 Apr04 Mar17 Feb04 (campo sta)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  C'MON LETS SWITCH         (whitehouse wilt)ELLIS DEVON 124 4.50 11% 7.80    
4  DYNAMIC WOMAN Jun27 May27 Apr13 Apr02 Mar01 (wheeler trav)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 20.00    
5  BELLE MY BELLE Jul11 May07 Apr10 Mar20 Jan15 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 1.60 20% 4.00    
6  TOP REFERENCES Jul11 May03 Apr01     (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 ★    
7  LOW DOSE Jul11 May07 Mar04 Feb04   (kenney dan)GARCIA F 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
AZD-7   07/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LETHAL ALEXANDER May07 Apr26 Apr11     (meza francis)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00    
2  SPORT COAT Jun25 May01 Apr01 Mar05 Jan07 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 120 1.60 49% 1.00    
3  MIZZEN POWER May07 Apr27 Apr04 Mar23 Mar02 (leon priscilla)BARBER R 124 1.20 12% 7.50    
4  K P KRYPTON Jul11 Jun25 Apr24 Mar26 Mar19 (cruz omar)ROSALES G 115 15.00    
5  BEL RAGAZZO Jun25 May27 Mar25 Mar02 Feb07 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 120 10.00    
6  SHADYFIED Jun25 May07 Apr26 Apr06 Mar02 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 5.00 ★    
7  AX 'S SHORE May27 May08 Feb13 Jan25   (blea tony)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 15.00 8% 11.00    
8  ALEMOON Jul11 Jun27 Apr27 Feb27   (soto antonio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 119 20.00 8% 11.00    
 
AZD-8   07/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINAL FINAL Jun25 Jun03 Apr30 Mar27 Feb18 (evans jus)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  WE'RE JUST SAYIN Jul04 May29 May02 Apr11 Mar27 (wolf ashlee)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
3  PAYNTER'S BOY May06 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Mar07 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA F 122 8.00 ★    
4  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Jul11 May27 May07 Apr18 Apr05 (wheeler trav)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 4.00 ★    
5  OSTINI Jul04 May07 Apr19 Mar16 Jan19 (weaver gord)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 7% 13.30    
6  JEDI WARRIOR Jul11 May28 May13 Apr02 Mar10 (blea jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00    
7  GO FOR A RIDE Jul11 May06 Mar23 Feb18 Feb03 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.60    
 
AZD-9   07/23/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JANERO ROSE Jun18 May27 May15 Apr29 Apr02 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 3.00 ★    
2  QUEENS RANSOM Jun25 Apr28 Apr13 Mar28 Mar08 (zimmerman j)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
3  DAZZLING MIST Jul11 May07 Mar28 Feb04   (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
4  BIG WAVE BETTY         (perkins f)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 20.00    
5  SPEEDY GIGI         (whitehouse w)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.50 21% 3.90    
6  SPICY SOMMELIER Jul11 Mar16 Feb11 Jan13   (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  ZIPPING BOMBASTIC Jul09 May22 Apr22 Apr02 Feb27 (hinojos alvaro)ELLIS DEVON 120 20.00    
8  CURRENTLYMYPROBLEM Apr03 Mar27 Mar12 Feb27   (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 7% 13.80    
9  TRIPDOWNMEMORYLANE May03 Apr14 Mar27 Mar19 Mar05 (reyes norma)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.