Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - July 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/20/2022 10890ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEF JUSTICE (GB)         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 146 15.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION (GB) out of FREEDOM PASS by GULCH)
2  DOWN ROYAL May14         (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 141 5.00    
  (by ALPHABET SOUP out of MISS CROWN by HIGH YIELD)
3  PISTOL WHIPPED (IRE) May14         (young l)DEBOINVILLE NICOLAI 158 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by BENEFICIAL out of HOLIDAY TIME by LEMON DROP KID)
4  HISTORIC HEART (IRE) May14         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 4.50 ★    
  (by FRACAS out of IRISH QUESTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  FRENCH LIGHT (FR) Apr30         (brion keri)BESWICK HARRISON 144 8.00 ★    
  (by MUHTATHIR (GB) out of FIRST LIGHT (GB) by DUBAWI (IRE))
6  REDICEAN (GB)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 144 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of RED HALO (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
7  IRANISTAN May14         (brion keri)DOYLE JACK 152 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MISS VINDICTIVE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
SAR-2   07/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EVOKING         (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 38% 1.70    
2  U CANT HANDLE THIS Jul01 Jun09 May13 Mar27   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 ★    
3  HOLIDAY JAZZ Jun18 May27 Apr29 Mar11   (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 ★    
4  MARIAH'S FORTUNE Jun11 Apr29 Apr02 Feb18   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.20 39% 1.60    
5  BACKED BY GOLD Jul04 Jun03 Apr28 Mar19   (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 12.00 ★    
6  BABYITSGOLDOUTSIDE May21 Apr15 Mar02 Jan06   (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
7  INFRINGEMENT Jun25 May06 Apr10 Mar20 Mar06 (persaud rand)HARKIE K 122 15.00    
 
SAR-3   07/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIARA (URU) Jun17 Apr28 Feb12 Jan08   (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  FULIGNI Jun12         (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  GLITTERING PRIZE (FR) May07 Mar25 Jan23     (bond james)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
2  GALLEY HEAD May04         (lerman r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
SCR  LAUGHTER Jul04 Jun04 May07     (lerman s)RIDER TBA 119 20.00 ★    
3  WHITE HOT (GB) May27 Apr28       (schet)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 20.00    
4  SEA MONSTER         (d'angelo j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00 ★    
5  AUNT VIRGINIA Jun02         (camejo j)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 14% 6.00    
6  SEEMS TO WHISPER         (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
7  IZEAMALIBUMOON Jun25         (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 62% 0.60    
SCR  GRACEFULLY WILD Jun17 Apr28 Apr03     (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  RENT CONTROL Jul04 Jun17 May27     (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
SCR  ACE UP HER SLEEVE         (klesaris steve)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT OF SIGHT Jun23 May30 May12 Apr28   (donk david)ORTIZ L 126 2.00 30% 2.30    
2  SWEET FRANNY LU Jun23 May06 Apr10     (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 ★    
3  PURE BODE Jun24 May22       (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 ★    
4  HOME FOR CHRISTMAS Jun25 Apr10       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
5  A BIT O'IRISH SASS Jun23 Jun02 May05 Apr08 Feb27 (schosberg rich)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  INSTINCTIVE Jun23 Jun01 May22     (moore michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  EPONA'S DREAM Jun02 Apr23 Mar13 Feb18 Jan20 (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 122 1.20    
 
SAR-5   07/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLIE'S PASSION         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 ★    
2  U GLOW GIRL         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  NUMERO SEIS Jun19         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
4  WHATCHAMACALL Jul01         (camejo j)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 23% 3.30    
5  LEAVE NO TRACE         (serpe philip )ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 6% 14.40    
6  SHAYMYNAME Jun30 Jun09 May11     (chichakly a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 30.00    
7  STELLAR LADY         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
8  DARKNSTORMY         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
9  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Jul04         (chichakly am)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
 
SAR-6   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE JAMES Jun18 May21 Apr28 Mar26 Feb27 (donk david)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 14% 6.30    
2  COPPER TOWN Jun19 Apr23       (kantarmaci me)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
3  SHADOW MATTER Jun26 May28 Apr29 Feb21   (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
4  WENDELL FONG Jun04 Apr26 Mar29 Feb16   (summers ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
5  ARISTOCRATIC Apr30 Mar26 Feb27     (falcone robert)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 ★    
6  HAPPY FARM Jun17 Jun03 Apr30 Feb27   (arriaga antoni)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
7  MAGNIFICENT CHROME Jun19 May27 May12 Apr15 Mar26 (goberdhan ch)HARKIE K 122 30.00    
 
SAR-7   07/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YAMAS         (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
2  CROWDING OUT         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  HEY THERE Jun24 May21 Apr27     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  BALI DOVE (FR) May29         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 14% 6.20    
5  MEANDER         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
6  MRS. GREEN Jun24 May27       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50    
SCR  SPICY GINGER Jun05         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
8  TEMERITY Jun30 Jun10       (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 ★    
9  LIBRETTO (IRE) Jun25 May28 Apr15     (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  ALESSIA (GB) Apr28         (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 ★    
 
SAR-8   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORT SUMMER DRESS May27 Apr16 Feb14 Jan15   (diodoro )SANTANA JR 124 4.00 ★    
1A  PIECE OF MY HEART May20 Apr22 Feb24     (gargan dan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
2  SMASH TICKET May30         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  FAR AWAY LOVE (ARG)         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00    
4  SECRET LOVE (ARG) Jun26 May30 May08 Apr15 Mar25 (kimmel c)VELAZQUEZ R 126 10.00    
5  HONEY MONEY Jun23 May22 May08 Mar26 Feb25 (persaud randi)ORTIZ JR 126 12.00    
6  BETSY BLUE Jun23 May27 Mar31 Mar18 Feb27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 6.00 ★    
7  ELOQUENT SPEAKER May27 Mar04 Jan02     (lynch natalia)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
8  MOVIE MOXY         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 32% 2.10    
9  MISCHIEVOUS DIANE Jun10         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 ★    
 
SAR-9   07/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLIB Jun30 Jun11 May06 Mar25   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 ★    
2  DUFRESNE Jul02 Jun11 May14     (trombetta mic)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
3  LISA'S VISION Jun04 Apr22       (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 ★    
4  CLASSIC LYNNE         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
5  SHE'S A MIA Jul02 May06       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.40 53% 0.90    
6  DREAM CENTRAL Jun19 May30 Apr29 Jan06   (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
SCR  GALAXINA Jun19 Apr24 Feb26 Jan16   (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50    
SCR  CARAGATE Jun24 May27 Apr09 Feb21   (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00 ★    
SCR  REIGNING CHICK Apr10 Feb21 Jan23     (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
 
SAR-10   07/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOBE'S LEGACY May19 Apr21 Jan27     (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
1A  PISTOL OR SHOTGUN         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
SCR  RUM 'N TONIC Jun19 May22 Apr23     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 30% 2.30    
3  SUPER QUALITY Jun18 Apr15 Mar05     (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 13% 7.00    
4  RUGGED UNION Jun18 May01       (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  VINNY TWO CENTS Jun02 May08 Apr29 Apr10 Mar05 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00    
6  BLINDING LIGHT Mar26         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 35% 1.80    
7  BIG WOO         (catalano wayne)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 ★    
8  NAKED AND FAMOUS Jun26         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
9  JURKOVEC         (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.