Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Monday - July 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDER BIZ Jun24 May28 Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 (munoz carl)ALONSO LUIS 118 10.00    
2  CHENTI Jun11 May21       (escobar alis)ZAYAS J 124 15.00    
3  B G LEE Jun08         (vance thomas)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 10.00    
4  THE HAPPY GIANT Jun07 Feb13       (fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 124 12.00 9% 10.20    
5  STREET FIGHT May29 May01       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  BLOKE         (locklear jam)BATISTA A 124 20.00    
7  SIMPLY JACK Jun05 Apr28       (murphy conor)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
8  ZINFATUATION Jun28         (norris steph)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 10.00    
9  TEPPER Jun24         (danner kel)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 17% 5.00    
10  ACAMAR Jun18 May01 Mar26     (sano antonio)RIOS M 118 6.00 ★    
 
CNL-2   07/11/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEART LIGHT         (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 118 6.00 14% 6.00    
2  STRANDS OF PEARLS May27         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 5.00 ★    
3  RED PEPPER GRILL Jun26 Jun04 Apr28 Mar27 Mar06 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
4  TEA IN CHINA         (godsey de)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 4.00 ★    
5  CHAMBEAU         (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 122 10.00    
SCR  STILL ALIVE May31 May09 Apr18 Mar29 Feb07 (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
7  CAROLINA SUN May29         (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 5.00    
 
CNL-3   07/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWN May29 Apr15       (walsh brendan)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 1.60 43% 1.30    
2  SATURDAY NITE GIRL Jun11         (proctor thom)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 8.00    
3  VIBURNUM Jun08 May12 Apr20     (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 123 4.50 13% 6.90    
4  WITTY BANTER Jun25 May21       (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00    
5  FEETS OF FEATHER Jun16 May06 Apr16 Mar17 Feb19 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 10.00 7% 12.60    
6  PEARL EARRING May28 Apr28 Mar12 Jan29 Jan01 (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 ★    
7  BEACH BREEZE Apr30 Apr13 Mar20 Feb12 Jan15 (brown dona)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00    
SCR  NICOLAR Jun18 May05       (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00    
9  MY SWEET STORY Jun17         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 15.00 11% 8.30    
10  VIBRANCY May21 Apr24 Feb12 Jan22   (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 116 12.00    
 
CNL-4   07/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO CLARE'S May28         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.50 35% 1.80    
2  FIONNBHARR Jun02 May15 Apr23     (cooney susan )KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 ★    
3  FORETELL Jun15 May12 Apr15     (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00    
4  URBAN FAIRYTALE May19 Apr24       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 1.80 19% 4.20    
SCR  SURYA (ARG) Jun08 Apr24       (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00 ★    
6  OSA Jun10 May26       (morgan car)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 20.00    
7  CONTINENTALCONGRES Jun11 May19 Apr29 Apr03 Feb24 (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
CNL-5   07/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PIT BOSS Jan08 Jan01       (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 20.00    
SCR  GLORY SONG Jun11 May08       (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 122 12.00 20% 3.90    
3  ASHAAB         (escobar alis)ZAYAS J 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
4  JOYA DEL SUR         (munoz carl)URDANETA J 117 12.00    
5  HIDE THE DEMON May27 Apr08 Mar05 Feb05 Jan08 (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 122 10.00 ★    
6  MONEY SONG May06 Apr06 Jan21     (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 122 20.00    
7  MO MISCHIEF May14 Apr24 Mar19 Feb13 Jan22 (locklear jam)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
8  HAMMER LANE Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar19   (cooper thoma)MORRISON AILSA 111 6.00    
9  DUMI KNIFE Jun10         (matz r)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 5.00 ★    
10  MANOLITO Jun19 May29 May12     (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 124 4.00    
SCR  SACRED SAMURAI Jun04 Apr29       (sharp joe)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
CNL-6   07/11/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT CAMANOE Jun19 May29       (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00    
2  ELUSIVE MISCHIEF Feb02 Jan05       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
3  BOLDOR May30 Mar25 Feb20 Jan29   (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
4  EMBOLDEN Jun11 May15 Apr01 Feb10 Feb02 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  DETERMINED KINGDOM Jun11 May21 May01 Apr02 Jan08 (schoenthal )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 13% 6.90    
6  E. P. MILTON Jun24 May19       (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 20.00    
7  E J'S REVENGE Jun24 Jun09 May26 May13 Mar11 (murtaugh andr)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 ★    
8  JUMP BACK JACK Jun13 May22 Jan30     (dye steven)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00    
 
CNL-7   07/11/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE FLAYME Jun25 May28 Apr29 Mar20 Feb27 (duffy sean)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 20.00    
2  STOPIT Feb09 Jan25       (vigil jaim)URDANETA J 122 20.00    
3  WESTWARD LOOK May04 Apr09 Mar19 Feb25 Jan21 (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00    
4  SPUNTACULAR Mar25 Mar06 Jan08     (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 10.00    
5  SCOTTY BROWN May29 May06 Mar25 Feb16   (cibelli jan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 6% 16.50    
6  ETCHED IN STONE Jun17 Feb04       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
7  BOSS IS A PAL Jun24 Jun11 May06     (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 122 5.00 ★    
8  HUSHED HIJINKS Jan05         (cibelli jane)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 8.00 ★    
9  RULING FRONT May06 Mar09 Feb20 Jan30   (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 10.00    
10  LUCA DREW THE ACE May08 Apr16 Apr06 Mar18 Feb27 (dion andrew)MARIN A 122 15.00    
11  COMMODORE BARRY         (cooper thoma)MORRISON AILSA 115 4.50 32% 2.10    
 
CNL-8   07/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASSION PLAY         (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 124 3.00 ★    
2  PAUPING Jun20 May24       (cooney s)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 20.00    
3  LARGENT Apr22 Feb19 Jan08     (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 1.00 63% 0.60    
4  POINT OF GRACE Jun17 May29 Apr21     (cooney susa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 20.00    
5  KENDAMA Jun09         (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  GOODLUCKCHUCK Jun15 May18 Mar19 Mar06 Jan23 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00 ★    
7  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Jun18 Jun04 May24     (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 6% 16.90    
8  ALEX JOON Mar24 Jan29       (schultz linds)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00    
 
CNL-9   07/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAFORM Jun20 Jun05 May29 May15 Apr18 (norris steph)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 15.00    
2  THANK YOU RICKETTS May07 Mar09 Feb18 Jan23 Jan01 (munoz carl)URDANETA J 123 15.00    
3  CITY PLAN Jun24 May30 May16     (zook w)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 15.00    
4  GO TIME Jun10 May03 Mar16 Feb20 Jan16 (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 20.00    
5  SILVER N LAI May05 Mar11 Feb05 Jan13   (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  THOMOND PARK Jun19 Jun04 Apr09 Mar25 Feb12 (ryan s)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50    
7  BACKWOODS BOOGIE Jun25 May19 Apr24 Mar19 Feb20 (eppler mary )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 6.00    
8  DEWY'S HIT Jun25 Jun04       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
9  HIGHER AUTHORITY Jun30 Jun08 May27 May05 Apr21 (vance thomas)BRIDGMOHAN X 123 12.00    
10  WESTERLAND (GB)         (neilson kathy)BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00 20% 3.90    
11  FARLEY (ARG) Jun18 May27 Apr30 Apr15 Apr02 (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 123 10.00 29% 2.50    
12  SMILE BRYAN Jun25 Apr30 Mar26     (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 123 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
CNL-10   07/11/2022 10560ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY CHOICE         (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 149   74% 0.40    
2  PULL RANK         (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 148   ★    
3  ANCIENT TIMES Apr30         (kingsley archiba)WATTS MARK 154      
4  DEPOSIT         (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 154      
5  QUID         (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 154      
6  AWAKENED May14         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154      
7  BRIGHT EYED EAGLE (IRE)         (neilson ka)BESWICK HARRISON 154      
8  STOLEN SHOES (GB)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 154   ★    
9  MONTMARTRE D'ANGE (FR) May14         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148      
10  ZARKALLANI (FR)         (fisher john )MCDERMOTT SEAN 154      
SCR  MACHENBANK (GER) May14         (brion keri)HARVEY ALEX 138   ★    
SCR  HONOR UP         (young leslie)BRENNAN NATHAN 154   ★    
 
CNL-11   07/11/2022 10560ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR BAB (IRE)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 147   10% 9.10    
2  CAINUDOTHETWIST Apr30         (kingsley archiba)WATTS MARK 153      
3  WILDCAT         (fout dougl)DALTON BERNARD 153      
4  MAGICAL CHARM Jun15 May25       (brion keri)FOLEY BARRY 147   10% 9.10    
5  EPONINE (IRE)         (young leslie)BRENNAN NATHAN 147      
6  FUSEE DE POCHE (IRE)         (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 147      
7  NEW APPOINTMENT (IRE)         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 147      
SCR  SAIGON Jun29         (elliott e)NO RIDER 153   10% 9.10    
9  PEACE NICKER         (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 147   10% 9.10    
10  LETS GO BABY (IRE)         (young lesl)BESWICK HARRISON 153   10% 9.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.