Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE'S SECRET May29 Jan02       (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 2.50 16% 5.30    
2  LAYLA'S SONG May14 Apr29 Mar19     (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
3  SURE WASN'T ME Apr24 Feb18       (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 15% 5.50    
4  COCO PUFF May21 Apr27 Mar26 Mar01 Feb05 (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 111 3.00 19% 4.10    
5  THINK TWICE Apr29         (beckman w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 ★    
6  WILDCAT DREAM May14 Apr09 Mar22 Mar08 Feb14 (salcedo ramon)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
7  STUPENDOUS Mar18 Feb06       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
CD-2   06/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3 F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY BLUE EYES May16 Apr23 Mar12 Feb26   (sims a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 ★    
2  WICKED HALO May06 Mar26 Feb19     (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 14% 6.30    
3  RUNNIN HAPPY May21 Apr13 Feb06     (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 9% 10.60    
4  SWEET AS PIE Apr10 Jan22       (pletcher)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 ★    
5  PRETTY BIRDIE May06 Mar26 Feb19     (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 120 0.80 48% 1.10    
 
CD-3   06/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY MIKE May04 Apr13 Mar27 Feb17 Jan16 (cash l)COURT K 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  SOROS May29 Apr16       (cash l)COURT K 124 3.50    
2  CARNIVORE May15 Mar19 Mar06 Feb12 Jan21 (van berg )LEPAROUX R 120 5.00 ★    
3  BLAME GEORGE May19 Apr07 Mar24 Mar04 Feb18 (lauer mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 ★    
4  ROCKET HOTSHOT May14 Apr23       (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 117 8.00    
5  EVEN MONEY May25 May04 Apr20     (candia jose)HISBY RONALD 126 20.00    
6  ENDLESS SUNSET May27 May12 Feb11 Jan14   (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 117 2.50 19% 4.30    
7  NOTABLE EXCEPTION May21 Apr20 Jan07     (pincins j)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
CD-4   06/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE CLUB Apr21         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 5.00    
SCR  ROSY DAWN         (casse mark)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
3  MINER'S QUEEN May21 Feb24       (hernandez r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00    
4  MARGIE'S KITCHEN May14 Apr10 Feb26     (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00    
5  DOWNTOWN ABBY May05 Mar19       (calhoun william )PARKER L 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
6  DESIGNED BY KITTEN Apr02 Mar19 Feb24 Feb11 Jan14 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 5.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  BOXING DAY May14 Mar24 Mar04     (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50    
SCR  MUN LUV Apr02 Feb27 Jan30     (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 8.00    
9  LITTLE MOMBO May26 Apr07 Feb26 Jan23   (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 11% 8.10    
10  J L'S ROCKETTE Apr30         (reed r)MCKEE J 118 15.00    
11  HONOR THAT May10 Mar13 Jan19     (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 123 6.00    
SCR  TAKE THE BACKROADS May14 Mar04       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
SCR  NOTA BENE May15 Apr22 Mar18 Jan01   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 12.00 6% 15.60    
14  LADY DANAE May15         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
15  ALTERED SHOT May21 Apr30 Mar19     (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
CD-5   06/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  W W FITZY May06 Apr01 Feb27 Jan23 Jan08 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
2  MISTY VEIL May06 Feb27 Jan29 Jan07   (amoss tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
3  THE MARY ROSE May06 Apr02 Feb27 Jan30   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
SCR  LIL KINGS PRINCESS Apr01 Mar06 Jan14     (ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 115 6.00 ★    
5  WILL'S SECRET         (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 ★    
6  MY BETS May21         (sims a)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
 
CD-6   06/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRINK THE WIND         (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  STIRDATPOT         (londono genev)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
3  SEAL BEACH         (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 28% 2.50    
4  SEA FORCE May20         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 7% 14.40    
5  SPANKSTER Apr29 Apr02       (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 ★    
6  PLAUSIBLE DENILE May20 Apr23 Apr02 Mar19 Feb26 (divito j)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  THACH         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★    
8  CALIFORNIA EXPRESS         (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00    
9  DOUBLE SPUN Apr29         (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
10  GUARANTEED SPECK         (vance d)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
11  TEBOW         (vaccarezza car)LEZCANO ABEL 124 10.00    
 
CD-7   06/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESCAPE ROUTE Apr16 Mar12 Jan30     (diodoro )SANTANA JR 121 3.50 14% 5.90    
2  VIOLENT CITY May15 Apr16 Feb05 Jan07   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  TEQUILAS RANGER Apr29 Apr10       (jones l)MOJICA JR 121 50.00    
4  EDGEMONT ROAD May17         (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 121 30.00    
5  VERB May20 May03 Mar27     (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
6  BAGBOSS May04 Apr10 Feb06 Jan02   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
7  FLAMINGO HAWK Apr16         (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00    
8  FORE LEFT May15 Apr17 Feb27 Jan21   (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00    
9  THERIDEOFALIFETIME May15 Apr16       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00    
10  MUCH BETTER Apr24 Mar05 Jan01     (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 13% 6.60    
11  COLTONATOR May15 May03 Jan14     (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
12  WITH VERVE         (maker j)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
SCR  BEVERLY PARK Jun02 May22 May12 May07 Apr21 (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-8   06/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($225K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAFALGAR May07 Feb19 Jan22     (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SOUTHERN DRIFTER by DIXIE UNION)
2  TOUGH TO TAME May13 Mar13       (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 118 12.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SHE'SA TOUGH TIGER by TIGER RIDGE)
3  CAMP DAVID May17         (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 ★    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MORROW COVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  HOWLING TIME May21 Apr16 Mar05     (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WEREWOLF by ARCH)
5  DROPPIN G'S May21 Apr29 Apr02 Mar17 Mar05 (antonuik jerry)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 ★    
  (by KLIMT out of ZOOEY by ZAFARRANCHO (ARG))
6  CYBERKNIFE May07 Apr02 Feb19 Jan22   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 1.60 66% 0.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of AWESOME FLOWER by FLOWER ALLEY)
7  RATTLE N ROLL May21 Apr09 Mar26 Mar05   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of JAZZ TUNE by JOHANNESBURG)
 
CD-9   06/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST ANDREWS May15 Apr16 Jan22     (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
1A  BAROSSA May18 Apr08 Mar12 Feb11   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
SCR  PORTFOLIO COMPANY May07         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 15% 5.70    
3  ROYAL SPIRIT Apr02 Feb05 Jan02     (pletcher)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 6% 14.50    
SCR  LESLIE CHOW May07 Apr02 Mar05 Feb10   (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00    
5  BRITAIN'S KITTEN May15 Apr23       (williamso)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
6  ZIPPIN GIGI Apr14 Mar19 Feb06 Jan17   (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5% 18.00    
7  IBERVILLE May07 Mar23 Mar05 Jan13   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
SCR  GOLD HERITAGE May15         (mckeever a)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
9  IGNITIS May07 Apr08 Mar25 Feb26 Jan29 (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00    
10  FORT DEFIANCE Jan14         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00    
SCR  DOUBLE CLUTCH Apr16 Feb26       (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
12  LUCKY BOSS May19 Apr29 Apr09     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
13  HAPPY BOY ROCKET Apr23 Apr16 Mar12 Jan29   (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
14  JR'S GIFT May27 Apr02 Mar12 Feb23   (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
15  BEST ACTOR Apr16         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.