Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINTER POOL Apr13 Mar04 Jan09     (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  PROVERB Apr03 Jan28       (baltas ri)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 ★    
3  BIG LAKE May13 Mar09 Feb10     (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 ★    
4  CHOCOLATE BAR Apr16 Mar05 Jan07     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  CRAFTY DADDY         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
6  TRUCULENT May08 Apr22 Mar26 Mar04 Feb19 (cox e)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 ★    
 
CD-2   06/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING'S MISCHIEF May10 Apr20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan07 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 4.00    
2  SIR GIANNIS Feb17 Jan17       (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 123 12.00    
3  WILD FOR WYCLIFF May11 Apr15 Mar06 Feb11   (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 116 4.50 49% 1.00    
4  SUGGESTED Apr24 Mar10 Feb17     (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 123 10.00 ★    
5  CHARTER OAK Feb11 Jan14       (vance davi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
6  HOPE AND DIGNITY May20 Apr28 Jan14     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
7  MAHOMEY Apr23 Apr09 Apr02 Feb25   (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.50 9% 10.50    
8  MAJESTIC WEST May20 May04 Apr09 Mar19 Feb18 (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 12.00    
9  SAG HARBOR Apr28 Mar20 Jan16     (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 123 6.00 ★    
 
CD-3   06/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKINGLY         (tomlinson mic)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
2  JAG WARRIOR May06 Jan14       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
3  OVERCOOKED Apr24         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  SUMMER MATE Apr30 Feb21 Jan27     (pessin neil )GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00    
SCR  MISREAD May06 Mar26       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 49% 1.00    
6  COLORFUL MISCHIEF May06         (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  GUNNING         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 10.00    
8  CLASSIC COYNE May06 Apr08       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 ★    
9  SACRED KITTEN May15 Apr22       (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50    
10  MADELYN'S MAGIC May15 Apr15 Mar05 Feb11 Jan23 (jones lar)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00    
11  PLEASE BE KIND Apr23 Mar23       (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
12  SMUGNESS Apr28         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  BEDTIME FOR BUFFY         (garner pet)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00    
14  LIL TOWN SIS         (d'amato phil)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUPER CHRISTIE May06 Apr15 Mar09     (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
 
CD-4   06/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEMBLE JUSTE (IRE) May06 Apr09       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 ★    
2  MICROCAP May06 Apr09 Mar16     (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 ★    
3  BEES AND HONEY Apr15         (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
4  MISS TULSA May06 Mar26 Mar01 Feb03 Jan07 (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00    
5  LADY FROSTED Apr26 Mar03 Jan13     (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 115 3.50 57% 0.70    
6  LONGPANTS REQUIRED May19 Apr09       (walsh br)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
7  GOOD PENNY Apr09 Jan29       (shirer a)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
8  POWDER RIVER May06         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 ★    
9  FAMILY TIME May06 Apr09 Mar09 Jan29 Jan07 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00    
 
CD-5   06/04/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALKATHON May14 Apr22 Feb13 Jan09   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 12% 7.30    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  BESIDE HERSELF Apr28 Mar05 Jan30     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 16% 5.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of EXCITED by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
3  MCKULICK (GB) May06         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 49% 1.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ASTRELLE by MAKFI (GB))
4  KNEESNHIPS May06 Apr09 Mar12     (amoss thomas )VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of MISS HOLIDAY INN by TACTICAL CAT)
5  LOLA FLO May22 May01 Apr14 Apr02 Mar25 (cash l)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of LIZZY VAN LEW by WAR CHANT)
6  CANDY RAID May06 Apr02 Feb19 Jan22   (desormeaux kei)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 ★    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of LADY SAMURI by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
CD-6   06/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAVA Apr16 Feb19 Jan15     (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  MCLAREN VALE May07 Apr16 Jan29     (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
2  DURANTE Apr29 Apr02       (o'n)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 5.00    
3  SACRED SAMURAI Apr29         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
4  MENDENHALL May07 Apr03 Mar05     (mott william)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
5  MY BUDDY B Apr02         (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
6  AWESOME AARON Mar20 Feb24 Jan08     (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
7  RIDER'S SPECIAL Apr30 Apr02 Feb26     (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
8  EMIRATES ROAD May07 Apr09 Mar12     (walsh br)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  WE ALL SEE IT Apr16 Mar19 Feb11     (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 ★    
10  VOLCANIC Apr09 Feb12 Jan08     (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  GLACIAL Mar12         (casse nor)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
12  STELLAR TAP Apr23 Apr01 Feb26 Jan22   (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
SCR  UNPREDICTABLE BAY May07 Apr13 Feb12     (ali alnaz)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
SCR  IGNITIS May07 Apr08 Mar25 Feb26 Jan29 (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   06/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPER TIME May06 Apr09 Mar12 Jan29   (romans d)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 6% 16.90    
2  SHE'S ALL WOLFE May06 Mar12 Feb12     (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
3  AVA'S GRACE May06 Apr08 Mar12 Feb12   (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 3.50 ★    
4  ARMY WIFE         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 ★    
5  PAULINE'S PEARL May06 Mar12 Jan30     (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 123 0.60 56% 0.80    
SCR  CRAZY BEAUTIFUL Apr22 Apr02 Feb26     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 9% 10.70    
 
CD-8   06/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADMISSION OFFICE         (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 25% 2.90    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of MISS CHAPIN by ROYAL ACADEMY)
2  FLORIFORM Apr27 Feb05       (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JULY JASMINE by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  LIKE THE KING Apr20         (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LIKE A QUEEN by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
4  GET SMOKIN Feb05         (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by GET STORMY out of HOOKAH LADY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
5  FIELD PASS Apr23 Jan29       (maker mi)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 ★    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of ONLY ME by RUNAWAY GROOM)
6  GRAY'S FABLE May05 Apr02       (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 ★    
  (by GIO PONTI out of MYRTLE'S GRAY by ORATORY)
 
CD-9   06/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANGO May04         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
2  MILES AHEAD Apr30 Feb19 Jan16     (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
3  PYRON May06 Feb19       (stall albert )VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
4  NECKER ISLAND May07 Apr02 Feb21 Jan15   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 15% 5.90    
5  BOB'S EDGE Apr16 Mar19 Jan29     (jones larr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
6  TOP GUNNER May04 Apr15 Mar25 Feb19 Jan30 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
7  JALEN JOURNEY May08 Mar25       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 ★    
8  LONG RANGE TODDY May07 Apr09 Jan15     (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
CD-10   06/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROXY Apr23 Mar26 Feb25     (stidham michael)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 ★    
2  SUPER STOCK Apr23 Mar26 Feb12     (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
SCR  TITLE READY May06 Apr02 Jan29     (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 ★    
4  MILITARIST May07 Apr13       (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
5  DYNAMIC ONE Apr23 Mar12       (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 ★    
6  SCALDING Apr23 Mar12 Feb11 Jan05   (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  SANTOS DUMONT May01 Apr02 Feb26     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
8  AMERICANREVOLUTION         (pletcher tod)GEROUX FLORENT 123 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
CD-11   06/04/2022 5940ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIN WHEEL Apr29 Mar12 Feb05     (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
2  GRAND SONATA Apr08 Feb05 Jan01     (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
3  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Apr29 Mar13 Jan15     (joseph saffi)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 6% 16.20    
4  PLAY ACTION PASS May15 Apr16       (medina robert)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
5  KITODAN May15 Apr02 Mar06 Feb06   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
6  RED RUN May07 Apr02 Jan30     (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
7  SMOKIN' T May07 Apr02 Feb20 Jan01   (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
8  SUMMER ANTHEM Apr29 Feb26       (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 6% 15.70    
9  JAMES JONES May05 Feb25       (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 4.50    
10  SPEAKING SCOUT Apr29 Feb05       (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 24% 3.10    
11  MAJOR GENERAL May07 Apr16 Mar12     (pletcher t)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.