Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Friday - April 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-2   04/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($10.36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRINNI VALANTINE Feb01         (fearo)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 15.00    
DEPUTY'S DANCER         (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.00 9% 10.80    
MYBESTISYETTOCOME Feb24 Feb01 Jan17     (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 7% 12.40    
SON OF SMALLS Mar23 Mar14 Feb01 Jan17   (asprino alf)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
SUPER INTENSE Mar23 Feb24 Feb07     (o'brie)FLETCHER D 124 12.00    
HOT SOUP Mar30         (christian b)SCRIVER L 124 4.50 31% 2.30    
CHICKEN N BISCUIT Mar07         (sepich edward)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00    
 
TUP-3   04/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROLINA'S DESTINY Mar15         (o'brien deb)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 10.00    
PAYNT THE KITTY Mar09 Feb04       (belvoir vann)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 2.50 31% 2.30    
STORM DREAM (IRE)         (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 3.50    
ASEAAWINNER Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan10   (homer jason)MAWING A 124 15.00    
INDIAN AFFAIR Mar09 Jan26 Jan10     (hudson je)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 13% 6.60    
ALLIE R Mar08 Feb04       (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
SCR  PORTUGUESEPRINCESS Mar17 Mar05 Feb15 Jan28   (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
SEVEN POINTS Mar25 Mar04 Feb02 Jan14   (chambers mike)ZUNINO L 124 4.50    
 
TUP-4   04/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.612K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CAPRICHOSA Mar28 Mar16 Feb16 Feb08 Jan20 (silva jose )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 118 10.00    
MEXICAN DREAM Mar19 Mar08       (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 12.00    
ES IS I LIKE IT Mar06 Feb22 Jan04     (green greg)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.50    
NO KITTEN Jan14         (denny travi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00    
BOTTOMSUPBELLE Mar06 Feb18 Jan30 Jan04   (green greg)CORBETT W 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
OLD WEST Mar09 Feb21 Jan27 Jan14   (tr)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
WAR MAIDEN Mar31 Mar09 Feb21 Feb04 Jan14 (nelson am)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 2.50 13% 6.90    
BARBARIUS Mar28 Feb11 Jan27 Jan07   (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
KIKI MY STAR Mar21 Mar08 Feb09 Jan07   (brown jim )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
TUP-5   04/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.998K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALENTINE DIVINE Feb26 Feb04 Jan18     (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50    
KING LEBRON Mar22 Mar01 Feb02     (crotts ji)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
GOT EVEN SMARTER Mar22 Feb25 Feb08 Jan26 Jan05 (fulmer drew)CORBETT W 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
MOJAVE (GB) Mar03 Jan05       (garci)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL null      
LIMITED OFFER Mar18 Feb02 Jan14     (garcia ge)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 12.00    
SCR  FREIBURG Mar18 Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (bullene micha)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 4.50 57% 0.80    
THIRSTY JUNIOR Mar07 Feb17 Feb01 Jan18   (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 122 2.50    
REELFOOT Feb04 Jan14 Jan03     (wheeler tra)SCRIVER L 122 12.00    
SCR  SIX NINETY ONE Mar07 Feb17 Feb01 Jan12   (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 8.00    
 
TUP-6   04/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THRILL'S LEGACY Mar22 Feb09 Jan27 Jan03   (ross courtney)MAWING A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
THECHAMPISFLORING Mar22 Feb28 Jan24 Jan14   (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
JOE'S PASSION Mar13         (rivera sally)VERGARA P 124 10.00    
BEAUTY BLACK Mar23 Feb18 Jan14     (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
LOVELY LINDA Mar22 Feb28 Feb08 Jan14   (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
MADIGAN SQUEEZE Apr01 Mar16 Feb22 Feb03 Jan12 (guerrero orl)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
RAIDERETTE Mar17 Mar08 Feb02 Jan19   (moore joh)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 12.00    
MADISON'S QUARTERS         (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00    
SCR  FLYING BLUE Mar22 Jan30       (green greg)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00    
10  SINGING MARY Jan23         (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   04/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.998K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUARDING ELK CAMP Mar23 Mar02 Feb08 Jan20 Jan12 (valerio raymond)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
TIZ DONNA BELLA         (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
BOUNTY OF GOLD Mar02         (saldana reed)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00 6% 16.10    
OUT OF THE SKY Mar16 Feb15 Feb02 Jan17   (es)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 10% 8.80    
TOP HAT HIGH JINKS Mar27 Mar17 Mar02 Feb18 Jan20 (johnston kim)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
NINA EN FUEGO Jan02         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
STREET FLYER Mar17 Mar01 Feb03 Jan14   (baze )CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 12.00    
SWEET HONOR Mar23 Mar14 Mar02 Feb14 Feb02 (hernandez l)GARCIA F 122 8.00    
TWITTERATI Jan20         (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00    
 
TUP-8   04/08/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET SHADOW Mar17 Feb28 Jan27     (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 4.00    
OPAL CREEK Mar11 Feb18 Jan03     (essex charles)CRUZ M 116 8.00    
CURIOUS INJI Mar31 Mar03 Jan27 Jan05   (silva jos)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  INGLENOOK Mar22 Feb08       (urias soto )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
RED VENUS Mar17 Feb11 Jan27 Jan11   (vitali j)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00    
INDY'S STAR Mar11 Feb04 Jan07     (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
EARLYNTHEMORN Mar31 Mar07 Feb11 Jan19   (o'brien debbi)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00    
DATQUICKCAT Mar12 Mar04       (lavanway da)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 20.00    
JEWEL AZUL Mar17 Mar02 Jan27 Jan05   (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 38% 1.60    
10  OUR LITTLE TIGER Mar24 Feb28 Feb09 Jan21 Jan03 (pe)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.