Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Wednesday - December 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/4)-(1/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/4)-(1/3/7/6)-(2/7/3/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/6)-(2/7/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/6)-(2/7/3/8)-(6/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/8)-(6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/8)-(6/7/2)-(1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2/5/9)-(6/7/2/5/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(1/2/3)-(2/4/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(2/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(2/4/1/3)-(2/5/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/3)-(2/5/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/3)-(2/5/7/8)-(9/8/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/3/8)-(2/5/7/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/7/8)-(9/8/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (9/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/1)-(9/8/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/1)-(9/8/6/1/7)-(9/8/6/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZLAWRY Dec05 Nov21       (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of NO MORE MISERY by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  LORD KING         (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00    
  (by LORD CARSON out of LARRYS DEB by BIG SPRUCE)
3  TWENTY ONE RED Dec05 Nov14 Sep20 Aug31   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
  (by TONALIST out of CATALINA ISLAND by BELONG TO ME)
4  LEAVE ME Nov20 Nov08       (de horacio)CIVACI SAHIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TACITUS out of VINDICTIVE WAYS by BROKEN VOW)
5  LE CADEAU Nov09         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of PREMIERE DAME by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  COMBAT MISSION Dec06 Oct24 Sep28 Aug29   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by TOMORROWS CAT out of SCHIFARRI by GULCH)
7  WHERE'S YOUR BOOM Nov23 Nov01       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 1.60 54% 0.90    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of ARISTRA by AFLEET ALEX)
 
AQU-2   12/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QBITS         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by FLATTER out of TANMAWWY by CANDY RIDE)
2  MISSION CRITICAL Nov22 Aug29       (englehart jere)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of DOUBLE CAT by STORM CAT)
3  BOOTSY'S A RASCAL Dec07         (schettino dom)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by MINESHAFT out of NOT NOW HILLARY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  PRIDE OF THE UNION Nov22 Oct11 Aug15     (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60    
  (by UNION RAGS out of TANGLEWOOD TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  CALVARY HILL Dec12 Nov22       (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00    
  (by FREUD out of HOOPSKIRT by BIRDSTONE)
6  CLASSIC COMMANDER Nov23 Oct24       (sciacca gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00 6% 15.60    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of GIULIA AMMANNATI by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
7  LIFE'S TOO SHORT Dec12         (dougherty devo)CIVACI SAHIN 119 15.00 9% 10.40    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of MYSTIC ANGEL by MORE THAN READY)
8  MOSCONI (IRE) Nov08         (bond ha)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 8.00    
  (by LAST TYCOON (IRE) out of VOLNOST by LYPHARD)
 
AQU-3   12/31/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY COOKIE Nov29 Nov07 Sep25 Aug15 Jun29 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
2  WILL NOT BE SWAYED Nov12 Oct24 Aug15 Jul06 May08 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
3  MAXALUNA Nov28 Oct26 Oct03 Sep25 Jul31 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 10% 9.20    
4  TIZ PURPLE Nov28 Oct17 Aug24 Nov01 Oct04 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00    
5  IN AWE OF JUJU Nov28 Oct16 Sep24 Apr04 Mar16 (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00    
SCR  SASSY PRINCESS Dec26 Nov29 Nov21 Oct26 Sep28 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00    
7  SHEER WILL Nov20 Oct04 Sep21 Aug15 Jul25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 11% 8.00    
8  CAROLINA SMOKESHOW Nov15 Aug31 Jul31 Jul12 Jun11 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   12/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT SHEPHARD Mar22         (bond ke)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 20.00    
2  SABBY SUNSET Nov21 Oct04 Aug25 Jul13 Jun14 (terranova j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 11% 7.90    
3  DR. MERCILESS Dec10 Nov10 Nov02 Sep28 Jul23 (richards marvin)SIMPSON W 124 50.00    
4  BIG BROWN DELIVERS Oct20 Oct06 Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 (d'alessandr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 20.00    
5  FORGONE Mar07 May11       (summers ch)RIVERA R 124 4.00 ★    
6  GOOD COP Dec07 Nov16 Oct17 Sep19   (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
7  COUNTER MOVE Nov14 Sep19 May02 Mar14 Feb08 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  MONTE AVI Dec10 Mar22 Feb23 Jan18 Dec07 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00    
9  UNDERGRAD         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 ★    
10  ARMY PROUD Dec10 Nov02 Oct10 Aug31 Aug01 (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 122 6.00    
 
AQU-5   12/31/2025 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTTINHO Nov23         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of QUIET GIANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  HADRIAN'S WALL Nov02         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.80 22% 3.60    
  (by STORM CAT out of CATNIP by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  GREY BULL Nov24 Nov04 Oct15     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of THINKING by NYQUIST)
4  MR BALDY Nov12 Oct20       (breed ronal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SINGITA by HOLY BULL)
5  PRINT Nov15 Oct24       (ribaudo robert)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of PROMOTIONAL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
6  GULFY Nov23 Oct26 Sep13     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GULF COAST by UNION RAGS)
7  DOUBLE ACT Dec06 Nov02 Oct04     (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 119 4.50 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GOLDEN AWARD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  BALTIMORE Nov23         (summers ch)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WIN THE WAR by WAR FRONT)
9  GEOSTOBLAME Oct17 Sep13       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
  (by BLAME out of DON'TFORGETABOUTME by MALIBU MOON)
 
AQU-6   12/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEREK'S LAW Nov22 Nov01 Oct10 Jun13 May09 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 11% 8.20    
2  RE MARKABLY Dec13 Nov08 Sep20 Jul12 Jun07 (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
3  COMPLEX MUSIC Dec04 Nov14 Oct19 Sep12 Aug18 (chichakly amir)CIVACI SAHIN 120 12.00 10% 8.90    
4  KERNESS K Nov28 Oct18 Dec14 Oct12 Sep11 (russell britta)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  CAPT JAX PARROW Dec05 Nov14 Oct10 Sep20 Jul05 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
6  TYPHOON FURY Nov12 Oct09 Sep11 Aug17 Jun27 (charlerie g)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
SCR  LET IT RIDE Dec22 Nov12 Oct18 Oct09 Apr30 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50    
SCR  BIG Z OG Oct26 Aug23 Jul18 May26 Apr19 (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
9  TARPAULIN Nov14 Oct17 Oct02 Aug22 Jul26 (noda or)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
 
AQU-7   12/31/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOMMASGOTTAGUN Nov29 Jun26 May16 Apr18 Mar23 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
2  MUNNINGS EXPRESS Nov23 Jun06 May17 Apr27   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  ACCELERATING Jun04 Apr25 Mar22 Aug25 Jul26 (asmussen steven)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 ★    
4  BAM'S BLISS KISS Dec10 Nov13 Oct26 Oct03 Jul10 (dixon linda)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 15.00    
5  KAY CUP Dec10 Oct25 Aug21 Jun04 Apr27 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 22% 3.50    
6  CITY BLOCKS Dec10 Aug21 Jul31 Jul11 May26 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
7  HANGOVER HEAVEN Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 Aug13 Jul06 (dutrow richard)CIVACI SAHIN 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
8  INTENTIOUS Nov22 Oct26 Sep19 Aug21 Jun26 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  LIKA ROLLING STONE Dec10 Nov21 Oct18 Sep28 Sep14 (arriaga)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00    
10  STORM CHANGER Nov22 Oct25 Jul12 Jun14 Apr13 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 118 20.00    
 
AQU-8   12/31/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF TRUTH Nov25 Nov13 Oct14 Sep24 Sep02 (chatterp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  FOR SOME REASON Dec06 Nov15 Oct19 Sep20 Aug24 (shivm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 6.00    
3  RUN HAPPY PAPPY Nov29 Nov01 Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 (sanchez jose )PANAIJO JORGE 122 20.00    
4  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Dec10 Sep18 Aug23 Aug08 Jul23 (figueroa c)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
5  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Dec06 Nov07 Sep14 Aug16 Jul16 (shivmangal loli)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00    
6  MISTER J T Nov25 Oct15 Sep29 Sep09 Aug18 (grusmark ka)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  POT OF GOLD Nov25 Oct14 Sep22 Sep03 Aug12 (grusmark ka)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 ★    
8  EMERALD FOREST Dec13 Nov22 Oct15 Sep30 Sep03 (baker charl)RIVERA A 115 3.50 7% 13.60    
9  AMUNDSON Nov22 Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 Sep11 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.80 69% 0.40    
10  SIN NOMBRE Dec05 Nov14 Oct18 Sep20 Aug03 (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
11  GLINT Nov15 Oct18 Oct04 Sep11 Aug09 (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 122 30.00    
SCR  O P FIRECRACKER Dec06 Nov13 Oct18 Sep18 Aug22 (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.