Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - December 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/2)-(3/7/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(7/4/2)-(4/7/5/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(4/7/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(4/7/5/10)-(7/2/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/7/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/10)-(4/7/5/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/10)-(4/7/5/10/8)-(4/7/5/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/5/10)-(7/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/10)-(7/2/4/5)-(7/10/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/5)-(7/10/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/5)-(7/10/5/2)-(5/4/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/10/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/5/2)-(7/10/5/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/10/5/2)-(7/10/5/9/2)-(7/10/5/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/10/5/2)-(5/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/10/5/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(2/5/9/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/2)-(2/5/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/2)-(2/5/9/3/8)-(1/6/4/10/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (2/5/9/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/9/3/8)-(2/5/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/9/3/8)-(2/5/9/3/8)-(2/5/9/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/9/3/8)-(1/6/4/10/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/5/9/3/8)-(1/6/4/10/5)-(4/6/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (1/6/4/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/10/5)-(1/6/4/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/10/5)-(1/6/4/10/5)-(1/6/4/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/4/10/5)-(4/6/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/5/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/5/11)-(4/6/2/5/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEXANDER K Dec06 Oct03       (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 8.00    
2  NOAHS PRIDE Nov22 Sep27 Sep13 Jul18   (munoz cindy)HO WESLEY 119 6.00 ★    
3  WIN WINNIE WIN Nov01 Sep28       (avila carl)CENTENO E 119 2.50 25% 2.90    
4  HARD TALK Nov26 Nov09 Oct05 Sep07 Aug03 (miller rory )MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
5  UNCLEBRUCERULES         (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00 12% 7.30    
6  GIGGITY Oct01 Sep17 Aug14     (cahill steven )MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
7  PERIPOLI         (hamm timothy)LEON SONNY 119 10.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  ONE LAST BULLET Nov02 Sep28 Jul13     (orseno j)GALLARDO A 119 2.00    
9  HALLOW'S ICE Nov29 Oct16 Sep20     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00    
 
TAM-2   12/13/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 2 F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMERSET MIA Nov28 Aug17       (vanwinkle davi)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00    
2  INSTAPURCHASE Nov28 Nov01 Oct18 Sep06 Aug22 (crooks jeff)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  KNOWLEDGE IS GOOD Nov28 Nov09 Sep25 Aug22 Jun29 (simone micha)BATISTA A 119 5.00    
4  MELODY FACTOR         (narvaez )MARTINEZ A 119 10.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  BABY GUN         (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 119 15.00    
6  D ORBIE'S GIRL Nov29         (jones douglas)LEON SONNY 119 10.00    
7  CASH THE CHECK Sep27 Aug29       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
TAM-3   12/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHER HAN Nov22         (parra her)MALDONADO GABRIEL 121 15.00    
2  KENSINGTON AVENUE Sep27         (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 10.00    
3  MATTY B GOOD Sep14 Aug10 Jul19 Jun22   (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 124 8.00    
4  FORTUNATE RYDER Oct19 Sep07       (braddy david)MARIN SAMUEL 121 1.40 40% 1.50    
5  AND THATS MY STORY Sep29 Aug18 Jul30 Jul14 Jun24 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 121 10.00 15% 5.70    
6  XIAO LONG Aug13         (ramos ben)MORALES ANGEL 121 30.00    
7  GRAND LIAM Sep06 Aug13 Jul30 Apr26 Apr12 (ochoa gerard)FERRER C 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
8  RED SKY MORNING Apr23 Mar29 Mar09     (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 6.00 ★    
9  KID KAOS Dec03 Oct11       (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 124 30.00    
10  EFFICACY Nov27 Nov07 Oct19 Sep03 Aug14 (guciardo john)CENTENO E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   12/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPASS FIRE Aug28 Aug15 Jul30 Jul11 Jun26 (seale chr)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 6.00    
2  DREAMINONTHENILE Sep27 Sep15 Sep05 Aug01 Jul12 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
3  BONITA DIAMOND Sep13 Jul12 Jun21 May25 Apr30 (villanueva sergi)LEON SONNY 120 10.00    
4  RITABOOK Nov26 Oct08 Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 120 4.00 15% 5.70    
5  MISS INTERPATATION Jun22 Apr19 Mar16 Feb28 Jan03 (hardesty lesli)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  THELASTBULLETSMINE Oct05 Jul27 Jul04 Jun12 Apr30 (tsirigotis ja)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
7  MORETASTIC Oct22 Sep29 Sep17 Aug20 Aug12 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
TAM-5   12/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET TONE Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 Sep06 Aug22 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 121 6.00    
2  DABOOM Oct23 Oct03 Sep13 Feb19 Feb08 (dimmett james)HESS SARA 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SU DREAM Nov02 Oct03 Sep13 Oct08 Sep10 (rizo juan)BATISTA A 121 10.00    
4  AMERICAN WIND Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jul12 Jun07 (gonzalez fe)LEON SONNY 121 15.00    
5  BOY O' BOY Sep27 May03 Mar26 Nov10 Aug31 (deaton willia)MORALES ANGEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  REDBIRD NATION May24 Apr12 Mar16 Feb07 Jan26 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00    
7  TIGRE Nov09 Oct24 Oct12 Oct04 Sep05 (laurin r)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 57% 0.80    
8  AEGON TARGARYEN Nov26 Oct26 Sep05 Aug03 Nov23 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
9  MUNGO Oct10 Sep14 Aug31 Jun21 May03 (richards rena)MORALES PABLO 121 5.00 ★    
10  SIX FORTYFIVE Nov09 Oct11 Aug30 Aug16 Aug30 (baxter georg)MENESES MARCOS 121 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  STEAM POWERED Sep20 Jul18 Jul06 Jun06 Apr16 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.00    
SCR  RAGMAN Nov28 Oct05 Sep07 Aug16 May11 (collins john)FERRER C 121 20.00    
SCR  REMINDER Nov28 Oct19 Sep19 May23 May04 (sano antonio)CASIQUE UBARDO 121 15.00    
SCR  KY THIRTY WON Nov28 Oct04 Sep11 Aug16 Jul11 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00    
 
TAM-6   12/13/2025 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORIA'S DANCER Nov19 Sep28 Aug30 Aug21 Jun05 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 121 20.00    
2  BIRDIE ROSE Oct15 Sep10 Aug30 Aug17 Jul20 (richards rena)MORALES PABLO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CASTAGNA Nov26 Nov19 Oct08 Sep25 Sep13 (mendieta alej)ROJAS MARTINA 121 30.00    
4  SWEET NOLA Nov26 Oct02 Sep23 Aug19 Aug04 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 121 4.00 15% 5.80    
5  EUNOMIA Oct18 Oct03 Jul19 Jun19 May17 (joseph a)CENTENO E 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
SCR  PURE BEAUTY Oct19 Aug01 Jun28 Jun05 Apr05 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
7  COMMISSIONER GULCH Sep28 Aug26 Aug14 Jun26 May27 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  U LITE UP MY LIFE Dec03 Oct25 Jun12 Apr06 Mar02 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 121 3.50    
 
TAM-7   12/13/2025 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LALOBA FEROZ Aug27 Aug15 Jul31 Jun26 Mar01 (drake robert)COTTO L 118 30.00    
2  GROUNDED Nov15 Sep19 Aug11 Jun23 May28 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  EDDIE THE GREAT Nov19 Jul05 Apr19 Mar29 Mar14 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BIG LOUIE Nov26 Jul11 Jun22 May22 Apr30 (dye steven)GONZALEZ CESAR 114 20.00    
5  RIGEL Oct03 Sep04 Aug15 Jul12 Mar07 (gallegos a)LEON SONNY 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  BREAK OUT Nov28 Aug21 Jul12 Apr24 Feb27 (campbell mi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00    
7  HEATHGUARD Nov28 Sep12 Feb08 Jan18 Nov29 (lerman s)CENTENO E 123 8.00    
8  LATE CALL Nov28 Sep01 Aug03 Jul06 Jun29 (ryan s)CASTANON L 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  TWILIGHT DANCER Oct20 Sep19 Aug11 Jul21 Jun16 (arriagada jua)MORALES PABLO 121 5.00 9% 10.40    
 
TAM-8   12/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSPREY Nov22 Jun25 Jun10 May19 Apr06 (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 3.50 36% 1.80    
2  LEE ANN'S WARRIOR Nov08 Sep20 Sep07 Aug09 May30 (garcia jr)FERRER C 122 30.00    
3  IKIGAI Nov22 Oct16 Oct07 Aug15 Jul12 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 112 20.00    
4  REBEL EMPIRE Nov17 Oct27 Oct15 Sep30 Sep08 (englehar)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 7% 12.40    
5  GOOSE HUNTER Nov29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep19 Sep01 (vargas anto)LEON SONNY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Jun09 May27 Mar05 Jan27 Jan08 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
7  NO ANGEL Nov22 Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 May19 (lusk r)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
8  BELTS 'N BROOKS Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep10 Aug21 (bagwandeen p)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 30.00    
9  COPAZO May03 Apr26 Jan31 Aug17 Jul07 (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 122 4.00    
10  STAR KANOO Nov19 Dec28 Aug29 Jul28 Jun22 (dominguez hu)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AWESOME MOVE Sep05 Aug24 Aug09 Jul20 Jun28 (birdwell te)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 5.00    
12  ENSIGN PARKER Nov22 Nov09 Sep07 Aug17 Jun28 (richards rena)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
13  LITIGANT Nov22 Aug29 May22 May02 Apr11 (ochoa gerard)FERRER C 122 12.00    
 
TAM-9   12/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPLE CITY TABOO Nov28 Nov06 Oct18 Oct10 Jul16 (gardea abraha)ROJAS MARTINA 118 5.00    
2  ITS SATISFACTUAL Nov19 Aug29 Jul17 Jun29 Jun04 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 15.00 5% 18.50    
3  APPLE SHAKE SHAKE Nov23 Oct25 Sep20 Aug30 Aug14 (lopez ma)RODRIGUEZ O 121 12.00    
4  LIFE ADVICE Aug28 Aug01 Jul06 May29 Apr26 (lerman s)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 55% 0.80    
5  TWO TURNTABLES Nov22 Nov04 Oct06 Sep15 Aug21 (birdwell te)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY GAL Nov19 Oct16 Oct01 May01 Apr07 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
7  I HEARD SOMETHINGS Nov07 Oct17 Sep26 Sep11 Aug23 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 12.00    
8  SUNDAY TIFF Nov28 Aug30 Aug15 Jul13 Jun04 (delgado h)HESS SARA 121 10.00    
SCR  AMERICANDREAMMAKER Nov19 Dec21 Nov30 Sep14 Aug31 (heming)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 4.00    
10  TERRIE T Nov19 Sep10 Aug20 Jul31 Jul16 (lusk r)BATISTA A 121 20.00    
11  MIDWAY VOW Nov11 Oct17 Sep23 Sep07 Aug09 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  SUPER ENGREIDA Nov18 Oct15 Sep14 Aug31 Aug11 (alanis fr)HERRERA R 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.