Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - September 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (7/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/8)-(7/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/8)-(7/6/5/8)-(7/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/8)-(4/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/8)-(4/6/3/7)-(3/2/7/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/7)-(3/2/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/7)-(3/2/7/5)-(2/1/5/9/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/5)-(2/1/5/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/5)-(2/1/5/9/7)-(2/8/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/1/5/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/9/7)-(2/1/5/6/9/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/9/7)-(2/1/5/6/9/7)-(2/1/5/6/9/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (2/1/5/9/7)-(2/8/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/9/7)-(2/8/1/6)-(4/2/5/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6)-(2/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/1/6)-(4/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/6)-(4/2/5/1)-(6/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/1)-(4/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/1)-(4/2/5/1)-(4/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/1)-(6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/1)-(6/5/3)-(2/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(2/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   09/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOCTAW ZIP Aug28 Aug14 Jun30 May27 Apr26 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
AL'S ROMEO Aug29 Aug08 Jul19 May01 Apr19 (puhl kim)AVILES YAN 119 2.00    
POWERFUL MOON Jun07 Sep19 Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 (ray kevin)MARTINEZ L 119 12.00    
GUNNER GABRIEL Aug28 Aug14 Jun30 Jun03 Jun22 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
TIME THE AVENGER Sep03 Aug18 Jul28 Jul10 Jun25 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 10.00 13% 7.00    
EXCITEMENT Aug14 Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 May07 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
PANTHOR Sep01 Aug12 Apr16 Mar29 Mar19 (winters mich)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
REINVEST Sep03 Aug21 Jul16 Jun02 May08 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 8.00 6% 15.60    
 
TDN-2   09/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTWORTHASHOT May12 Mar24 Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 123 20.00    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
SCR  SLIPPERY STORM Aug31         (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 15.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of SLIPPERY by LIAISON)
DIANNA'S LADY         (bernardini)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 11% 8.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of IMPATIENT LADY by PLEASANT TAP)
DEVOUTLY Sep03 Aug14 Jul07     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of LOVEYOU EVERYBODY by FIVE STAR DAY)
TAMPA TEACHER Sep03 Jul19 Jun29     (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCHOOL BOARD PREZ by COURAGEOUS CAT)
COUNTRY PROMISES         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 12% 7.20    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of MOONSHINE PROMISE by WILL HE SHINE)
COLLECT GOLD Jul07 May29 May12 Apr23 Mar24 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MEADOWLEE by MEADOWLAKE)
RENEWED Sep03 Aug14 Jul15 Jun21 May29 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
  (by SHANCELOT out of RENEWAL by OLD TRIESTE)
MAMMA IN THE CLOUD Aug14 Jul07       (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 4.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MAMMA WHITE SOCKS by COURAGEOUS CAT)
 
TDN-3   09/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULY INCLUSIVE Aug29 Aug12 Jul01 Jun18 Jun02 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
CROSSED UP Sep08 Aug19 Aug06 Jul01 Jun11 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
MISSION GIRL Aug29 Aug12 Jul01 Jun18 Dec04 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 53% 0.90    
ANGEL WINGS Aug29 Jul09 Jun18 May21 Apr28 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Aug20 Aug07 Jun07 May21 Apr28 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SARAH JANE Jul24 Jun28 Jun12 Apr09 Mar24 (bates l)AVILES YAN 121 3.00    
MISS SPRINGSTEEN Aug29 Aug07 Jul01 Jun11 May21 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   09/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET KYLIE Sep04         (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 5.00 30% 2.40    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of KYLES MARIGOLD by PURE PRIZE)
ECHO VALLEY Aug25         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
CATPUCCINO         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 12.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of THEDOCTORSCAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
FAYYUM         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 15.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LIL EGYPT by WAR CHANT)
STRIKING LADY Aug25 Aug14 Aug06 Jul17 Jun17 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 118 3.50 12% 7.30    
  (by LORD CARLOS out of MUTTAK BAY by MUTAKDDIM)
POWER VISION Aug25         (cline c)AVILES YAN 118 6.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
ALL PEPPED UP         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CROSS TOWN RIVAL by CITY WEEKEND)
COMPOSITION Aug06 Jul03       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
MO THUNDER Aug25         (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THUNDER RUMBLE out of MARIONA (CHI) by MOCITO GUAPO (ARG))
10  INDIA BRAVA         (genoves)PILARES P 118 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of ORBITAL FLAG by FLAGSHIP)
11  THEBEESENVYME Sep04         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of OHIO GOLD by WILBURN)
12  SEYVAL BLANC Aug06         (rone m)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PINOTAGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
TDN-5   09/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUST FOR LIFE Sep01 Aug04 Jun21 Jun03 May03 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 12% 7.40    
PATRIARCHAL Jul09 Jun10 May29 May06 Apr09 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 41% 1.40    
BOOTS MALONE Aug14 Jun21 Jun06 May09 Apr03 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 6.00    
SCR  MR. PENNY PINCHER Sep11 Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 Jul02 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
SUSIE'S KID Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul03 Jun17 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 12.00    
DON'T STOP Sep01 Aug19 Jul10 Jun18 May28 (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 6% 16.80    
RECKLESS L J Sep04 Aug18 Jul09 Jun25 Jan29 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
BIG BUCKSALOT Sep03 Jul16 Jun10 May29 Apr11 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 12% 7.10    
 
TDN-6   09/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAHLEQUAH JOE Aug29 Aug11 Jul09 Jun17 May27 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
RED CHIPS Aug28 Aug06 Jul14 Jun21 Jun04 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 3.00 20% 3.90    
COLONEL COOPER Aug06 Jul18 Jul11 Jun12 May28 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00    
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Aug29 Jul15 Oct22 Oct01 Sep12 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
THEDAYOFTHEGREY Aug11 Aug17 May23 May04 Apr11 (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 20% 4.10    
JOHN FITZGERALD Aug25 Aug12 Jul09 Jun17 May07 (sweeting c)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
AINT NO BANDLEADER Aug11 Jul17 Jun12 May29 May21 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.00    
 
TDN-7   09/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE NOMORE Sep03 Aug14 Jul14 Jun23 Dec17 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
TEMPERED DREAM Aug28 Aug13 Jul14 Jun21 May28 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 121 5.00    
CARSON N SPENCE Aug07 Jul03 Jun20 May14 Apr02 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAN'S CHOICE Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 Jul17 Jul01 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 15.00    
FULL SPECTRUM Sep03 Aug14 Jul03 Jun16 May12 (jackson r)PARKER L 115 3.50 27% 2.60    
ROMANIAN PRINCE Sep03 Jun07 May12 Apr23 Mar18 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 1.60 35% 1.80    
 
TDN-8   09/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOD FOODIE Sep02 Aug18 Jul08 Jun12 May29 (sondej am)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 3.00    
RAMSEY Sep09 Aug07 Jun18 Jun04 May22 (castillo jabd)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
SUDDEN SHIFT Sep02 Aug07 Jun09 Oct26 Sep02 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50    
SCR  OILER Sep02 Aug20 Aug07 Jun30 May20 (faulkner rod)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
RULE IT Sep09 Aug21 Jul02 Jun18 May22 (lopez jr)PEREZ A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
AULD LANGE SYNE Sep02 Aug18 Aug07 Jul09 Jun18 (sondej)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
SCR  TORREFACTOR Sep01 Aug10 Jul14 Jun30 Jun09 (musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 12.00    
MASTER OF THE NITE Sep04 Aug18 Aug07 Jun30 Jun09 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.