Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Friday - September 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(5/1/4)-(1/4/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/8/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-3   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(1/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(1/4/8/2)-(6/8/1/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-4   WIN (1/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/2)-(1/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/2)-(1/4/8/2)-(1/4/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/8/2)-(6/8/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/2)-(6/8/1/10)-(8/3/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-5   WIN (6/8/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/10)-(6/8/1/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/10)-(6/8/1/4/10)-(6/8/1/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/1/10)-(8/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/10)-(8/3/4/7)-(4/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-6   WIN (8/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/7)-(8/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/7)-(8/3/4/7)-(8/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/7)-(4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/7)-(4/5/8)-(7/8/9/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/8)-(7/8/9/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CNL-8   WIN (7/8/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/2/6)-(7/8/9/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/2/6)-(7/8/9/2/6)-(7/8/9/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   09/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ENOUGH May30 Apr27 Oct01 Sep12 Aug15 (ramos ben)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 20.00    
SILLY LILY Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Jun07 Nov05 (boucher lil)HAMILTON WESTON 124 3.00    
AIN'T NONCENTS Aug22 Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 May03 (gardea abraham)MORENO ANGEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
FONTABELLE Aug09 Jul23 Jun22 May17 Oct27 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.50 21% 3.80    
MY SUGAR BOO Aug22 Jul23 Jun13 May24 May02 (aguirre anthony)CENTENO E 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
BELLY DANCE Aug06 Jul16 Jun12 Apr23 Sep14 (ochoa gerard)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 6.00    
 
CNL-2   09/05/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOSHUGFORPOP Aug01 Oct14 Sep18 Jul04 Jun10 (colebrook)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  SHE'S GONE ROGUE Aug16 Aug02 May31 May04 Mar21 (yanez moises)CASIQUE UBARDO 124 10.00    
MARIANO Jun22 Dec29 Nov10 Oct10 Sep06 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00    
MAGIC TOKEN Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 May29 May11 (carlisle john )BOYCE FOREST 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
BATTLING TIME Aug02 Jun29 Mar22 Feb25 Dec15 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
GOOD ACCELEBRATE Sep01 Aug02 Aug15 Jul13 Oct18 (williams g)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
MORNING MIRACLE Aug15 Jul23 Jun27 May29 Feb06 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.50    
 
CNL-3   09/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND OPENING (IRE) Aug09 Jul24 Aug23 Jul20 Jun16 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 123 1.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  TINY LAKE Aug21 Jul09 Jun07 May17 Apr25 (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 118 30.00    
ZERO BLITZ Aug21 Aug09 Jul10 Jun28 May26 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 4.00    
INNOVA Aug06 Jun07 Mar14 Feb17 Jan12 (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
TENEBRIS Mar29 Mar09 Feb15 Jan31 Nov30 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50    
FREE SOUL Aug27 Aug09 Jul16 Jun13 Sep06 (munoz car)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
MANOR HOUSE Jun08 Dec15 Nov28 Oct13 Sep21 (tessor)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-4   09/05/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODERN MISS Aug22         (ryan s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
SIERRA         (mccutchen ja)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
NIECEY Aug13         (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 3.50    
DREAM OVERTURE Aug07         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  FANTASTIC FOREST         (lane s)RIOS-CONDE JR 119 30.00    
BETO'S GATA Aug16 Aug08 Jul19     (vazquez jua)RIQUELME J 119 30.00    
SCR  GAME IT Aug10         (lightner m)HUSBANDS J 119 20.00    
WINROOSKI Aug06 Jul03 Jun06     (abreu fern)SANCHEZ J 119 3.00 14% 6.10    
SPOTLIGHT GIRL Aug27 Aug08 Jul17 Jun13 May29 (rodriguez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
 
CNL-5   09/05/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 2 F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANCE TO PARTY Aug09 Jul09 Apr18     (lightner mary)RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by CHANCE IT out of MORE THAN A PARTY by MORE THAN READY)
MORE THAN A NOTION         (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 12.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of PERFECT COCKTAIL by BROKEN VOW)
SUBTLE TWIST         (allen ferris)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUBTLETY by CHIMES BAND)
SECRET MEET         (cooney sus)SANCHEZ J 119 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of GARTER BELT by ANASHEED)
FINAL MOMENT         (payne b)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MIRACLE MOMENT by CHESTER HOUSE)
THE MAGIC OFMOVIES Aug06         (trombetta micha)CENTENO E 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by RAGING BULL out of MAGICIAN'SQUESTION by STREET MAGICIAN)
MUNNI GAL         (payne bea)HAMILTON WESTON 119 30.00    
  (by GALILEAN out of MUNNINGS MUSE by MUNNINGS)
GINGER SNAP Aug06 Jul19 Jun13     (bailes rob)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by DISCREET CAT out of GINGERESK by ESKENDEREYA)
FINCH         (nagle sara)HUSBANDS J 119 12.00    
  (by NORTHERN SUPREMO out of LOVER'S KEY by FROST GIANT)
10  TOOT Aug06         (godsey d)BOYCE FOREST 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of WHAT THE BEEP by GREAT NOTION)
 
CNL-6   09/05/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARED AUTHORITY Aug08 Jul24 Jun20 May15 Apr27 (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 121 6.00    
BUSTIN BULLET Aug15 Jul18 Mar02 Jan12 Oct27 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 121 2.50    
Z FIRST Aug08 Jul19 May18 Apr18 Mar20 (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 121 4.00 32% 2.20    
MISS STONES Jul31 May30 Jun12 Mar08 Feb22 (figgins oll)HAMILTON WESTON 121 30.00 9% 9.80    
INSTPARTY Aug08 Jul05 Jun13 Apr27 Nov15 (allen ferris)CENTENO E 121 20.00    
NEXT EPISODE Aug08 Jul23 Jul11 Jun07 Mar28 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 121 4.50    
MOOR STRENGTH Aug08 Jul19 May21 Apr27 Mar05 (lusk bria)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
JOKES UP Jul19 Jun15 May18 Apr18 Mar20 (gallegos jos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 32% 2.20    
 
CNL-7   09/05/2025 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPYING Jul21 May28 Apr24 Mar19 Feb15 (walsh brendan )SHEEHY DANNY 118 10.00    
SCR  AUTHENTICATE NOW Aug10 Jul27 Jul05 May24 Apr30 (dini mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
MOLLY'S ROSE Aug01 Jun22 Feb05 Jan16 Nov16 (riefenberg erin)CENTENO E 124 20.00    
BREAD TO RUN Jul31 Jun13 Apr26 Apr07 Jan31 (brisset ro)HUSBANDS J 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
SOUPER AMUSING Aug10 Jul13 Mar27 Feb26 Jan29 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
STARRY NIGHT (ARG) Jul30 Oct13 Aug29 Jul20   (thomas jona)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 5.00    
SCR  BIG AIR Aug13 Jul14 Jun18 May10 Apr24 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 2.00    
WHAPPEN Jul03 Apr23 Mar28 Jan31 Dec19 (walsh p)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
CNL-8   09/05/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSHINING Aug22 Jul25 Jul16 May03 Mar13 (rodriguez ange)MORENO ANGEL 121 10.00    
QUIRKY RIDE Jul25 Jun03       (danner kels)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET HONEY BEE Jan17 Dec28 Nov17 Oct27 Oct13 (stees )RIOS-CONDE JR 121 30.00    
CHICA MUSIC Aug15 Jul23 Jun12 May15 Jan12 (ochoa gerard)RUIZ JORGE 121 30.00    
CAMELIA ROD May29 Apr25 Mar30 Mar08 Apr15 (barton amanda )ASHTON GAVIN 121 30.00    
TINKATWO Aug22 Jul13 Aug27 Aug05 Jul09 (yates michael)ROSADO JOHAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLUFFY Aug15 Jul25 Jul12 Jun29 Jun01 (rodriguez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 1.40 33% 2.00    
PAYRULA Aug15 Jul23 Mar04 Feb03 Oct23 (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
COUNTRY ECONOMICS Aug15 Aug07 Jul23 Jun21 May31 (vazquez jose )TREJOS JOSEPH 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.