Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Friday - August 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(1/6/2)-(6/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(6/2/1)-(6/7/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(6/7/2/4)-(1/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/4)-(1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/4)-(1/6/2)-(2/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(2/5/6)-(2/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(2/6/4)-(4/1/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY PATTY Aug11 Jul08 Jun16 May27 Apr21 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  BOOGIE BOOGEE Jul08 Jun16 May19 Apr23 Mar30 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
SCR  SUSHI Q Aug11 Jul08 Jun16 May27 May13 (morales sau)PAGAN Y 116 3.00    
QUICK RENDEZVOUS Jul14 Jun02 May05 Apr09 Mar30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.00    
MISS SPRINGSTEEN Aug07 Jul01 Jun11 May21 Apr29 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
THE DEVIL'S DREAM Aug11 Jun26 Jun04 May21 Apr05 (johnson l)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
MIZZEN THE POINT Aug11 Jul08 May27 Apr29 Mar18 (overholt paul)BRACHO A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
BIG FACTS Aug19 Jul08 May27 Apr03 Mar10 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   08/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADIE'S GHOST May14 Apr29 Oct28     (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of SILVER SADIE by MEADOW PRAYER)
COUPLE BEERS DEEP Jun03 May14 Apr29 Nov13   (morales m)HOUGHTON D 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
MY FOR O ONE KAY Aug12 Jul09 Jun21 May14   (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 118 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RED DREAD by FIVE STAR DAY)
SCR  GUESS IM JUST GOOD         (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 4.50    
  (by CORFU out of LAVA FALLS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
LUCY'S FIRST SONG Jul09 Jun21 May13     (langley joshu)TOLEDO S 123 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of EVERYBODYLUVSLUCY by DOMINUS)
SHADOW STRIKE         (puhl kim)RIVERA R 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of BOB'S DYLAN by DAVID)
CORBEL         (wolochuk d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 3.50    
  (by CAMBRE out of SPINNING TOP by DATA LINK)
 
TDN-3   08/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERENDIPITOUS Aug11 Apr10 Mar19 Feb26 Feb11 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 6% 17.10    
MUCHO PRIMO Jan08 Dec19 Dec05 Nov19 Oct29 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
OVERLOAD Aug11 Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 Oct03 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
SCR  SPIN DOCTOR Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 May21 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00    
GIV'EM THE BIZ Aug06 Jul01 Jun04 May07 Apr10 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 10.00    
POWERFUL PHIL May07 Apr21 Mar22 Feb11 Jan25 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
TDN-4   08/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW SHIP Sep09 Jul30 Jul03 Jun11 Apr30 (genoves)PILARES P 119 10.00    
SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Aug05 Jul08 Jun10 Oct17 Oct01 (kintz matthew)RIVERA R 119 2.50 7% 14.20    
ANGEL WINGS Jul09 Jun18 May21 Apr28 Mar24 (calderon i)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50    
FABULOUS CLOWN Aug12 Jul09 Jun23 Jun02 May12 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
TRULY INCLUSIVE Aug12 Jul01 Jun18 Jun02 May12 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
MISSION GIRL Aug12 Jul01 Jun18 Dec04 Nov18 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
HELLO SWEETS Aug20 Jul01 Jun07 May21 Mar17 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00 27% 2.60    
 
TDN-5   08/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAPPER Aug12 Jul01 Jun12 May22 Mar25 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 2.00 41% 1.40    
EL MARRO Aug13 Jun25 Jun04 May07 Apr21 (romero jo)MARTINEZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
LUNCHATTHELIZARD Aug11 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 May07 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00    
ATTACK ANGLE Aug11 Jul17 Jul01 Jun11 Jun04 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00    
SHOW SLIDING HOME Aug11 Jul17 Apr21 Mar22 Mar10 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 6.00    
QUIET AMIGO Aug12 Jul03 Jun12 May21 Apr30 (zielinski rich)DIAZ I 119 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
TDN-6   08/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T MONEY Jun18 May03 Mar10 Feb06 Jan24 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 3.50    
FAT DADDY Jul15 Jun30 Jun10 May26 May06 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
MSHINDI Aug13 Jul17 Jun26 Jun12 May26 (faulkner rodney )RIVERA R 123 2.50    
FIRST CITIZEN Aug13 Jul09 May26 May05 Apr21 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 123 12.00    
PRACTICAL MAN Aug13 Jun30 Jun10 Oct02 Sep16 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 3.00 35% 1.90    
K P SILVER BULLET Aug13 Jun30 Jan27 Dec12 Nov20 (castillo jabdi)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   08/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Aug20 Jul21 Jun23 May28 Jan17 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
TATANKA Aug20 Aug03 Jul02 Jun04 May21 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00 29% 2.50    
THRU THE VINE Jul02 Jun12 May26 May05 Mar26 (johnson l)AVILES YAN 119 2.50    
CARILLO Jul02 May26 Nov25 Oct28 Oct11 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 6% 15.10    
STAR ENTERTAINER Jul20 Jul03 Jun12 May28 May05 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 6.00    
JOHN'S ROCK Aug19 Aug07 Jul02 Jun11 May26 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
 
TDN-8   08/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Jul15 Oct22 Oct01 Sep12 Aug20 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
COLOR BEARER Aug11 Jul17 Jun26 Jun17 May28 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00    
TAHLEQUAH JOE Aug11 Jul09 Jun17 May27 Oct03 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 121 10.00    
NAMBITI Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun07 May17 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 4.00 32% 2.20    
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Aug11 Jul17 Jan29 Dec30 Dec19 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
MARQUITOS M Aug12 Jul09 Jun21 May28 May20 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 3.00    
ZAKARIA Jul17 Jun26 Jun07 May07 Mar31 (yoder d)PAUCAR E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AINT NO BANDLEADER Aug11 Jul17 Jun12 May29 May21 (zielinski rich)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.