Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - August 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (5/7/9/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/2/8)-(5/7/9/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/2/8)-(5/7/9/2/8)-(5/7/9/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/9/2/8)-(10/6/3/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9/2/8)-(10/6/3/2/8)-(4/1/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TDN-2   WIN (10/6/3/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/3/2/8)-(10/6/3/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/3/2/8)-(10/6/3/2/8)-(10/6/3/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/3/2/8)-(4/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/6/3/2/8)-(4/1/6)-(2/6/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(2/6/1/7)-(6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/7)-(6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/7)-(6/1)-(8/1/4/10) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(8/1/4/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(8/1/4/10)-(6/3/1/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TDN-6   WIN (8/1/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/10)-(8/1/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/10)-(8/1/4/10)-(8/1/4/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/4/10)-(6/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4/10)-(6/3/1/4)-(2/4/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/4)-(2/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHY KENNY WHY Aug06 May29 May19 Apr30 Mar27 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
REDDEN Aug12 Jul09 Jun17 May28 May06 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
DANES HEART Aug11 Jun17 Sep12 Aug26 Jul31 (vazquez i)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 30.00    
MERGER Aug07 Jul07 Jun25 Jun04 May20 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50    
NATIONAL STORY Aug08 Jun25 May29 May06 Apr05 (wolochuk d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
JOHN FITZGERALD Aug12 Jul09 Jun17 May07 Mar13 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 4.50    
D J'S FIRST STEP Aug12 Jun26 May29 May13 Apr22 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
DRILL'S BOY Aug06 Jun17 May28 May07 Apr23 (romero jo)MARTINEZ L 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
VECCHI Aug12 Jul09 Jun21 May28 May07 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 5.00 11% 8.40    
 
TDN-2   08/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER FLOWING         (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
LOCO COCO         (casalinova t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of CAFFEINE RUSH by HANDSOME MIKE)
STRIKING LADY Aug14 Aug06 Jul17 Jun17   (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 118 4.00 6% 15.00    
  (by LORD CARLOS out of MUTTAK BAY by MUTAKDDIM)
JAC'S COCOABELLA         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 20.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of SPIT'S IMAGE by MOBIL)
ROSES N LACE         (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 118 20.00    
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SPUN IN DOMINUS         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 118 4.50 9% 10.10    
  (by DOMINUS out of SPUN IN ARTEMUS by HARD SPUN)
HIDDEN DETAILS         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 12.00    
  (by CORFU out of HIDDEN NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
STACY ELLEN Aug06         (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
GRAYLISH         (vazquez iv)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 15.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of MOM GENES by KENTUCKY DANE)
10  PERFECT ANGEL Aug06 Jul17 Jul03     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50 63% 0.60    
  (by CISCO ROAD out of ABSOLUTE DELIGHT by BABY SLEWY)
 
TDN-3   08/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S SO SEXY Jul10 Jun21 Jun02 May12 Jan02 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
NOT TODAY Aug13 Jun21 Sep12 Aug15 Jul29 (ray kevi)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50    
BLUE DAZZLER Jul10 Jun21 Jun09 May13 Apr26 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.00    
BAH HUMBUG Jun24 Jun02 Jan10 Dec18 Nov21 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.60 49% 1.10    
HONDURAS PASSION Jul10 Jun21 Jun02 May13 Apr25 (puhl kim)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
ABSOLUTE MIRACLE Jun16 May04 Feb02 Sep19 Aug15 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   08/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMMY'S HALO Aug06         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 5.00 13% 6.50    
  (by DRILL out of REFLECTING RIVA by LION HEARTED)
SOUND CITY Aug06 Jul03 Jun17     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.60 41% 1.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
SCR  CLEATUS         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00    
  (by DRILL out of VAQUERITA by VAQUERO)
RIVERS OF WEALTH Aug06         (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 118 20.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of CALLMEBELLA by PALACE MALICE)
KHYBER Aug06         (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 118 15.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of RESILIENT COLORS by BIRDRUN)
BOSABROTHER         (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CORFU out of BAY JA VU by KETTLE CORN)
MY PAISAN         (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of DOUBLE STUFF by DOUBLE HONOR)
GLORY REIGNS         (higham ni)MARTINEZ L 118 15.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of GLORIOUS VENEZUELA by BIG BROWN)
MOTOWN DREAM Aug06         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
  (by MOBIL out of DREAM ON JILLY by OVERANALYZE)
 
TDN-5   08/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLSTER Jul16 May19 May01 Apr08 Mar24 (brown h)BRACHO A 119 15.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  VODKA N GINGERALE Jun21 Jun03 May13 Feb26 Jan31 (cannon john)NUNEZ Y 115 3.00    
KONTEEKEE Jul10 Jun23 May13 Apr25 Mar28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 4.00    
SCR  DRURY LANE Jun21 Jun02 May13 Apr24 Jul24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
WE NEED A FAVOR Jul08 Jun09 May08 Apr19 Apr06 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 117 4.50    
PENSACOLA Jun23 May13 Oct11 Aug04 Jun21 (cowans d)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
TDN-6   08/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RYKA Aug06         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 6.00 11% 7.80    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EBBY by RUNNING STAG)
POWER VISION         (cline c)AVILES YAN 118 8.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
ECHO VALLEY         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
MO THUNDER         (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 118 5.00 10% 9.40    
  (by THUNDER RUMBLE out of MARIONA (CHI) by MOCITO GUAPO (ARG))
SCR  JUST RUNNIN         (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 15.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of NEW YORK GEM by BLUEGRASS CAT)
ELECTRIC EDEN         (mendieta alej)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 10.00    
  (by CUPID out of EDEN by CURLIN)
BOKEH Aug06         (kintz matthew)BOWEN ROCCO 118 10.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of LAHONA by TAMARKUZ)
CALLING TILLIE Aug06         (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by DIALED IN out of TILLIE THE HUNN by MATCHLITE)
SCR  KIDDIE COCKTAIL Aug06         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)
10  RABBI ROSETTE Aug06         (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of PROPER DISCRETION by DISCREETLY MINE)
 
TDN-7   08/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY WELLINGTON Jul08 Jun18 Apr30 Mar11 Feb10 (madrigal rodr)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 10% 9.50    
LUCKY COUGAR Jul08 Jun21 Jun11 May20 Apr30 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
MIDNIGHT WONDER Jul14 Jun26 Jun06 Oct11 Oct03 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 13% 6.80    
DANCE MY WAY Aug04 Jul01 Jun09 May20 Apr11 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ZIP CODE ENVY Jun11 May28 Apr30 Mar15 Feb28 (londono omar)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
KEY TO SUCCESS Aug04 Jul08 Apr06 Mar14 Jan31 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 41% 1.40    
WHEELINGNDEALING Aug14 Jul25 Jul08 Jun15 May22 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 114 8.00    
 
TDN-8   08/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PREDECESSOR Aug04 Jul12 Jun19 May26 Mar28 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
  (by TAPIT out of TOBAGO by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
DON CORLEONE Aug04 Jul16 May08 Apr09 Mar01 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BROAD SPECTRUM by BROAD BRUSH)
DAYTONA GOLD Aug04 Jun30 Jun10 Oct26 Sep22 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of WAVE OF GLORY by MIDSHIPMAN)
FLYING PHOENIX         (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 114 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of KITTY KAT by KITTEN'S JOY)
NYDINI Aug04 Jan08       (wolochuk d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ASPEN HILLTOP by BERNARDINI)
INTERVAL Jun16 May29 May20 May08 Apr09 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 5% 18.10    
  (by FLATTER out of LENGTH by WAR FRONT)
KNICKS GATE Jul10 May03 Apr09     (colebrook ben)BRACHO A 123 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by ARROGATE out of GIBBET by WAR FRONT)
GHOSTAGAIN Jun30 Jun10 May20     (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of STREET NONSENSE by STREET SENSE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.