Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/2)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/2)-(4/2/1)-(2/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(2/6/1)-(6/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(6/3/1)-(3/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/6/2)-(3/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(3/4/2)-(1/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(1/3/4)-(2/5/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALI CRUISER Jul07 Jun04 May13 Apr09 Mar18 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00    
2  MOBIL LADY Jul07 May08 Apr05 Mar17 Jan07 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BUCKEYE CRUISER Jul18 May22 Apr24 Oct05 Sep18 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.00    
4  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Jul07 Jun11 May19 Apr29 Sep09 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 4.50    
5  LADY LOTTIE Jun16 Apr23 Mar17 Feb10 Dec28 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  CROSSED UP Aug06 Jul01 Jun11 May27 May08 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
7  BIG FACTS Jul08 May27 Apr03 Mar10 Feb27 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 11% 8.40    
 
TDN-2   08/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T STOP Jul10 Jun18 May28 May06 Apr10 (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  AUGER Aug07 Jul10 Jun25 May20 May06 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 9% 10.10    
3  P H FACTOR Aug07 Jul10 Jun18 Jun02 May22 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50    
4  JOHN'S ROCK Aug07 Jul02 Jun11 May26 Apr30 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 61% 0.60    
5  MACHISMO Jun26 Jun12 Feb09 Jan03 Aug18 (poole jeffrey)BRACHO A 123 4.50    
6  AGNELLO'S DREAM Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 May21 Jan18 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 10.00    
 
TDN-3   08/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ MAGNIFICENT         (canegata james)FELICIANO R 118 8.00 6% 16.50    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of RICH IMAGE by IMAGINING)
2  BOTTLED TIME Jul03         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by PAYNTER out of DOWNHILL JOEY by HENNY HUGHES)
3  MIA'S GO         (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50    
  (by KNICKS GO out of LINADA by ANCHOR DOWN)
4  STAR ELLA         (rivera r)RIVERA R 118 5.00    
  (by UPSTART out of SWEET ELLA by SCAT DADDY)
5  TIZ MIA         (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 118 6.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of TIZ TWICE by TIZNOW)
6  OLIVE ON TOP         (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 118 2.50 13% 6.70    
  (by SHOTICHE out of KUMARA by COGENCY)
 
TDN-4   08/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF AKRON Aug06 Jun30 Jun12 May21 Apr21 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  INTO GOLD Aug06 Jul10 Jun25 May22 May03 (szczep)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
3  MEDIA DARLING Jul16 May22 Apr01 Mar19 Jan27 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 12.00 19% 4.30    
4  SUSIE'S KID Aug06 Jul03 Jun17 May21 Apr30 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50    
5  PROSECUTOR Aug06 Jul14 Jun26 Jun10 May28 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 121 2.00    
6  WETZEL Aug04 Jul08 Jun25 Dec02 Nov12 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
TDN-5   08/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLT'S TREASURE Aug04 Jun23 May29 May08 Apr25 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TREASURE BOX by LEMON DROP KID)
2  SOUPER JUSTIFIED Jul27 Mar23 Feb03 Oct08 Jul23 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BEYCHEVELLE by ANEES)
3  FEISTY MAMA         (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 114 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of HI HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  VESPERA Jul16 Jun09 May13 Apr23 Feb06 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 114 1.80    
  (by VOLATILE out of ANYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  IT'S LAST CALL Aug04 Jun23 May29 May08 Apr02 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of EILA by BENNY THE BULL)
6  SAVVY SWAGGER         (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 119 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of ONE SMART FARRAH by BADGE)
 
TDN-6   08/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS VALENTINA Jun21 Jun07 May21 May05 Apr02 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
2  ANGEL I'M NOT May26 May06 Apr09 Mar25 Mar06 (cline robert )BRACHO A 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  COLORYOUREGGS Jun27 Jun10 May12 Apr21 Jul01 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  NEAR PERFECT Jun25 Jun03 Dec19 Nov14 Jun22 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 22% 3.50    
5  WAVES OF LIBERTY Jul01 Jun10 May27 May09 Dec26 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.50    
6  EXPRESS FASHION Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 May19 Jan07 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.50    
 
TDN-7   08/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE LOVE Aug04 Jun12 Jan04 Nov13 Oct30 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  SO DIALED IN Aug04 Oct08 Sep11 Aug20 Jul24 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
3  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Jul09 Nov25 Oct26 Sep19 Aug17 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Jun12 May30 Oct08 Sep11 Aug20 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  PACE Aug11 Jun23 May27 Oct30 Oct03 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 12.00    
6  RAINBOW'S PRIDE Aug04 Nov13 Oct30 Oct02 Aug20 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50    
 
TDN-8   08/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER HUSTLER Aug07 Jun09 May09 Apr28 Mar06 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
2  QUEEN KITTY Aug06 Jul14 Jun24 Jun07 May22 (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 1.60 32% 2.10    
3  ZASHIXIARAYAN Aug14 Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb19 (ott l)PEREZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  COWGIRLS HUMOR Aug07 Jun30 Jun07 May14 May06 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
5  BOLD RUBY Aug07 Jun24 May29 May12 Dec05 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
6  PRINCESS EM Jun07 May14 Apr24 Apr09 Mar25 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
7  WILD MARIAH Aug07 Jun30 Jun09 Jan23 Jan06 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 9% 10.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.