Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(3/2/4)-(7/5/1/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-2   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(7/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(7/5/1/4)-(2/5/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-3   WIN (7/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/4)-(7/5/9/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/4)-(7/5/9/1/4)-(7/5/9/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/1/4)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/4)-(2/5/3)-(7/1/8/9/3) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
FE-4   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(7/1/8/9/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(7/1/8/9/3)-(7/4/5/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (7/1/8/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/9/3)-(7/1/8/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/9/3)-(7/1/8/9/3)-(7/1/8/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/8/9/3)-(7/4/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FE-6   WIN (7/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/8)-(7/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/8)-(7/4/5/8)-(7/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUNTAIN SOUND Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 May27 Oct24 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.50    
2  NICE BABY Jul22 Jun15 May22 Jul02 Jun04 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 5.00 12% 7.10    
3  TREVESS Jul03 Jun15 May27 Mar02 Feb08 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
4  CRAFTY OAKS Aug07 Jul14 Jun15 May27 Dec01 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00    
5  SILVER CANDICE Jul22 Jul14 May27 Dec10 Nov27 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
FE-2   08/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEAM TALABAAT Aug04 Jul06       (machesne)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00    
  (by BAHJATTY out of TALABAAT by MORE THAN READY)
2  JUSTIFY PERFECTION Jul22 Jun10 Apr20 Mar23 Feb01 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 117 2.00 24% 3.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILENT PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
3  MULMUR Jul21         (loescher paula)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by SMART STRIKE out of WILDERNESS STORM by STORM CAT)
4  COMETOTHEDARKSIDE Jul21 May30       (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OLIVIA'S UNCLE out of DARK AND INTENSE by MR. SCOTTY)
5  MYMATHES CORRECT Aug04 Jul07 Jun23     (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 3.50    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LADY SARAH by WHYWHYWHY)
6  ILIKEITWHENITSNOWS Aug04         (carter)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of LUCKY MELISSA by MOBIL)
 
FE-3   08/18/2025 4620ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGGIE BOY Aug04 Jul04 Jun13 May22 Dec15 (davis m)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  NINO DE MAMA Aug04 Jul08 Jun03 Oct07 Sep24 (rob)DENNIS JEREMIAH 120 12.00    
3  FEELS LIKE A KYLLA Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun13   (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 4.50    
4  MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CALLING HOME Jul25 Jun20 May25 Dec13 Nov15 (desruisseaux dal)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
6  THIS CAT IS BY JAX Aug07 Jul25 Jun18     (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
7  BRITISH SEA Aug04 Jul07 Jun26 May27 Oct10 (agostino g)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 3.50 57% 0.70    
8  MAGNETIZE Aug04 Jul13 Dec06 Nov22 Oct24 (loes)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 117 8.00    
9  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May27 (mcmaho)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 ★    
 
FE-4   08/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY ACCESS Aug05 Jul14 Oct21 Oct14 Sep30 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 122 8.00    
2  SOUPER COP Jul22 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May23 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 54% 0.80    
3  NICOLE'S SONG Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 Jun24 Jun10 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 18.30    
4  MORE SAVVY Nov06 Oct22 Oct01 Aug27 Aug06 (smith r)MAILHOT P 122 5.00    
5  ASHCAR NELLIE Aug05 Jul08 Jul01 May27 May16 (butti)GASKIN ZAVIER 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
6  SIGNATURE RING Jul07 Jun10 Oct31 Oct14 Oct01 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80    
 
FE-5   08/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANNY M Aug04 Jul13 Jun27 Jun07 May10 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 115 3.00 25% 3.10    
2  ITS JUST MONEY Jul27 Jul18 Jun26 Jun13 May23 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00    
3  SCAT FACTOR Aug05 Jul19 Jun03 Sep24 Sep10 (jen)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 12.00 6% 14.70    
4  BACK RIVER Aug05 Jul19 Jun27 Jun13 May18 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00    
5  LE GRAND GARCON Aug05 Jul27 Jul07 Oct22 Sep24 (steer tom)SALLES LEO 122 8.00    
6  GLINTINDADDYSEYE Jul27 Jul07 Jun26 May30 May11 (willia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 12.00    
7  SO CALLED VACATION Jul25 Jul07 Jun20 May25 May17 (count)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
8  PEOPLE ARE PEOPLE Aug04 Jul03 May27 May17 Apr26 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 9% 10.60    
9  GRAN SPIRITED Jul27 Jun03 Aug17 Jul21 Jun21 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
 
FE-6   08/18/2025 4620ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MENAGERIE Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 Oct15 Sep23 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
2  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN Jul22 Jun10 Jun03 Oct03 Sep17 (husban)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50    
3  HOT OMELET Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May16 Apr26 (robillard jos)KERR CHEYENNE 115 12.00    
4  EMERALD LAKE Jul22 Jun20 Dec07 Nov16 Oct17 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 6% 16.90    
5  JULIE'S MIST Aug04 Jul07 Jun24 May27 Dec12 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TURF AND SURF Jul22 Jul14 Jun30 May27 Nov29 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.50    
7  CHROME'S BIG BREAK Aug05 Jul01 Jun10 May27 Oct14 (crete pierr)RIVERA A 115 4.00 68% 0.50    
8  GAMBLER'S POSE Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 Sep17 Aug27 (albu ken)NEWELL F 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FOOLISH GAMES Jul03 Jun15 Jun03 May16 Dec13 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.