Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (7/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/8)-(7/3/1/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/8)-(7/3/1/5/8)-(7/3/1/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/1/8)-(3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/8)-(3/4/8)-(1/6/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-2   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/8/10)-(3/4/8/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/8)-(1/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8)-(1/6/8/4)-(6/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-3   WIN (1/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/8/4)-(6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/4)-(6/7/8)-(6/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-4   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/8)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8)-(6/3/1)-(3/1/10/8/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CNL-5   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/1/10/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/1/10/8/6)-(8/2/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-6   WIN (3/1/10/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/10/8/6)-(3/1/10/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/10/8/6)-(3/1/10/8/6)-(3/1/10/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/10/8/6)-(8/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/10/8/6)-(8/2/6/7)-(6/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (8/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/7)-(8/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/7)-(8/2/6/7)-(8/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/7)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/7)-(6/3/1)-(3/6/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-8   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/6/2/7)-(11/3/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-9   WIN (3/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/7)-(11/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-10   WIN (11/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/3/7/4)-(11/3/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/3/7/4)-(11/3/7/5/4)-(11/3/7/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REPAYNT Jun19 May30 May02 Mar28 Mar12 (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 123 15.00 9% 9.80    
2  CELESTIAL EXPRESS Jul17 Jun22 May24 May08 Oct25 (hester leanne)BOYCE FOREST 123 3.00    
3  MISS SERAFINA Aug02 Jul23 Jul04 May24 May02 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
4  TIA MAYIN Jul10 Jun13 May24 May08 Apr23 (salazar marco)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 20.00    
5  SILLY LILY Aug02 Jul18 Jun07 Nov05 Sep08 (boucher lil)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.50 ★    
6  SHE'S GONE ROGUE Aug02 May31 May04 Mar21 Mar05 (yanez moises)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 6.00    
7  TANKA TOUGH Aug02 Jul04 Jun08 Sep15 Aug26 (mcdermott sean)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
8  STYLE AND PROFILE Jun13 Jan25 Dec19 Oct25 Sep22 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  TOURIST STYLE Aug07 Jul23 May29 May04 Apr27 (vazque)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 30.00    
 
CNL-2   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEMAIN Aug08 Jul24       (munoz carlos)ROSADO JOHAN 119 30.00    
2  SHINING AWAY Jul26 Jul12       (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 119 30.00    
3  ROYALTIES RICHES Jul26         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 1.40 74% 0.40    
4  SEDENYA Jul19         (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GLANCING MY WAY Jul18         (girten tim)CENTENO E 119 4.50    
6  MIDNIGHT SPIN Jul26         (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  KNICKOLETTA Jul18         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.00    
8  EVER YOURS Aug08 Jul18 Jun28     (alonso cas)ALONSO LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BITTER BATTLE Jul19         (rofe jean)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 50.00    
10  BETO'S GATA Aug08 Jul19       (vazque)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 30.00 ★    
 
CNL-3   08/16/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOVEKOMA Jul31         (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 1.20 42% 1.40    
  (by VEKOMA out of RACHEL'S SMOKIN by SKY MESA)
2  ZIRCONIA         (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 119 6.00    
  (by AL SABIN out of CRYSTAL BLACK by UNKNOWN)
3  ANITA GLASSOFWINE Jul26 Jul02       (ashby lynn)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
  (by CAPO KANE out of GRACEFUL GINGER by TWO PUNCH)
4  KIMMY GOT GLASSES         (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of LOAN GUARANTEE by MALIBU MOON)
5  TAI TAI RUSH         (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of EYE ON BERLIN by TRAPPE SHOT)
6  LIZ'S IMAGE Jul31         (kelley a)CURTIS BEN 119 6.00 18% 4.40    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of LIZ C by AIR FORCE BLUE)
7  SMILEAWAY         (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SMILE BIG by BIG DRAMA)
8  QUEEN OF WANDS Jul12         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
  (by WEKIVA SPRINGS out of WALTZING BEAUTY by DEPUTY MINISTER)
 
CNL-4   08/16/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($43.125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTHARIO Aug01 Jul12 Jun06 May27 Apr26 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  DONATE LIFE Jul23 Jun22 May02 Mar20 Feb07 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 117 30.00    
SCR  TOJO'S MOJO Jul09 Jun14 Apr25 Mar30 Aug03 (salzman john)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00    
4  MOON FACTOR Jul30 Jul18 Mar22 Feb06 Jan05 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 118 8.00    
5  JOLLY BOSS Jul31 Jun27 May31 Mar22 Feb22 (dilodovico dam)ROSADO JOHAN 122 6.00    
6  WILD WEST JUSTICE Jul25 Jun15 Apr27 Mar07 Feb02 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
7  ENAHM Jul16 Jun12 May03 Aug15 Jul21 (schoenthal ph)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 12.00 27% 2.70    
8  GREEN BEANS Jul25 Apr15 Dec07 Nov10 Sep05 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  BELTANE Aug01 Jul23 Jun27 May16 Oct12 (aguirre anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 122 10.00    
SCR  BUOYANT Jun14 May23 Apr18 Mar09 Jan31 (allen a )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00    
 
CNL-5   08/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Find Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTER JOE Jun21 Jun01 Oct12 Aug18 Jul19 (smith hamilton )CENTENO E 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of CELTIC KATIE by POSSE)
2  FULMINEO Jun21 May24 Apr19 Sep07 Aug11 (delacour )CARRASCO R 123 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STARR OF QUALITY by FIRST DUDE)
3  MISSION NORTH Jul11 May25 Oct18 Jul06 Jun02 (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of DREAM EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  HARDSPUN REASON Jul12 Jun21 Jul14 Jun15 Oct26 (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVE'S REASON by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  CRABS N BEER Aug07 Jul04 Jun21 May17 Apr19 (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 123 12.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of GET'M UP PRONTO by KITALPHA)
6  GIGANTE Jun28 May31 May03 Mar22 Feb15 (asmussen ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 1.20 40% 1.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SUMMERTIME GREEN by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
CNL-6   08/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHT CLUB (GER) Jul31         (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  ALIGN Jul19 Jun28 Apr18 Mar22 Mar01 (mccutchen )HUSBANDS J 118 10.00    
3  SHANE FALCO Jul12 Jun27 May11 Jan15 Dec13 (shuman mark)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00 37% 1.70    
4  LEGEND'S THUNDER Aug01 Jun27 Feb01 Nov30 Oct30 (nuesch)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 30.00    
5  MY VACATION May22         (gardea abraham)ROSADO JOHAN 118 5.00    
6  BLACKTHORNE BRUSCA Jul30 Jul11 Jun28 Jun07 Sep22 (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  YANCEY Aug07 Jul16 Jun13     (aguirre anthony)CENTENO E 124 10.00    
8  JIBILIAN Jul26         (thomas jona)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 3.50 9% 10.70    
9  MOONLIT FROST Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 Jun07 Feb28 (dilodovico )HAMILTON WESTON 118 30.00    
10  CADDIEMASTER Jul26 Nov03 Sep21 Jul07   (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.50 15% 5.90    
11  CITY PANDA Jul18 Jun06 Apr26 Apr04 Mar14 (maldonado j)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 20.00    
12  MISCHIEF MYSTERY Aug06         (williams gary)KARAMANOS A 118 30.00    
13  MAXIMUS THUNDER Aug06         (williams gar)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 20.00    
 
CNL-7   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN FLAME Jul04 Mar01 Jan25 Jul06 Jun09 (tessor)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50    
2  AUGUSTA MELODY Jul16 Jun06 May17 Apr16 Mar04 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  SHOWSTOPPER COPPER Jul18 Jan28 Jan03 Nov27 Oct30 (payne beale)CURTIS BEN 124 12.00    
4  RADICAL RIGHT Jul16 Jun29 Jun06 May17 May04 (allen ferr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 5.00    
SCR  TENEBRIS Mar29 Mar09 Feb15 Jan31 Nov30 (tessor)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00    
6  S S SINATRA Jul30 Jun21 Jun01 May17 Mar29 (hohlbein )SCAMPTON BRITTANY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Jun29 Nov02 Oct12 Sep07 Jul19 (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  SPIKEZONE Aug07 Jul11 May21 May05 Mar23 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 124 1.40 52% 0.90    
 
CNL-8   08/16/2025 6270ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LE TOUCHE Jul23 Jun29 Jun13 May23 Mar27 (gallegos a)CURTIS BEN 118 5.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  STELLA MARS Jun21 Jun07 Oct16 Sep04 Aug16 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 5.00    
3  SLEEPWALKER Jul09 Apr24 Mar21 Nov30 Nov01 (delacour )CARRASCO R 123 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  CAINUDOTHETWIST Oct10 Sep05 Aug12 Jul25 Mar30 (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 123 20.00    
5  BOTTLE ROCKET (FR) Jul23 Jun22 Jun05 May01 Mar21 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 2.00    
6  AYRA STARK (ARG) Jul11 May18       (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  BALLROOM EYES Jun18 May15 Mar21 Feb14 Jan09 (kelly blake)KARAMANOS A 123 30.00    
8  BALLADO'S BEACH (ARG) Mar14 Jan25 Dec26     (correas ignacio )RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
 
CNL-9   08/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM All Brandy Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUT FROM CLASS Aug08 Jul11 Jun21 Apr19 Nov23 (keil caitlin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
  (by BLAME out of DEBBIE'S DIAMOND by SILVER CHARM)
2  WINFINITY Jul12 May31 May02 Mar14 Sep08 (ortiz alexa)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00 8% 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WINTER by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER Jun21 Jun06 Jan24 Dec20 Nov09 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 123 1.60 54% 0.90    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of TOO FOOFOO FOR YOU by FREUD)
4  KRONE Jul23 Jun13 Nov10 Oct27 Sep21 (shuman mark)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 8.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MISSTREATED by DEHERE)
5  THURSDAY GIRL Jul19 Jun13 Nov01 Oct10 Sep05 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 125 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SOUPER MISS by ALPHABET SOUP)
6  ATLAS STRONG Jul26 Jul17 Jun27 Dec21 Nov30 (woolley ti)SANCHEZ J 123 5.00 13% 6.60    
  (by EDITORIAL out of BE MY LOVE by WITH DISTINCTION)
7  JUNIPER JUICE Aug02 Jun22 May24 May03 Nov02 (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of OUR GIN MILL by GO FOR GIN)
SCR  SHE IS WISKY Jul16 Jun21 May26 May02 Nov09 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 15.00    
  (by LEA out of LADY ARIELLE'S KEY by INDYGO SHINER)
 
CNL-10   08/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KY THIRTY WON Jul11 Jun10 Apr23 Apr12 Nov19 (dini mike)SANCHEZ J 123 8.00    
2  DEVIL ANSE Aug01 Jul11 Jun06 Apr29 Mar07 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 8.00    
3  KEEN SURGE Jul18 Jun14 May11 Apr11 Mar21 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
4  DIVEMASTER Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 Dec21 Nov27 (lightner m)HUSBANDS J 123 50.00 5% 19.00    
5  PUBLICITY Jul18 Jul03 May30 May01 Apr10 (londono genev)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 ★    
6  COBBLESTONE BRIDGE Jun18 May24 Jul26 Jun30 May17 (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 6.00    
7  BOURBON OUTLAW Jun26 Jun08 Apr20 Mar26 Mar06 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MEISTERSINGER Jul18 May09 Apr18 Mar12 Oct20 (casse mark)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
9  BETTER WATCH IT Jun14 Apr25 Nov29 Oct18 Sep29 (meyers madison)ROSADO JOHAN 123 12.00    
10  HYTECK PRINCE Jul26 Jun14 Apr26 Nov09 Oct18 (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 123 15.00    
11  SOUPER ATTENTIVE Jul30 Jul10 May04 Nov22 Oct27 (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 123 3.50 54% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.