Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Thursday - July 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(6/1/2)-(9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(9/6)-(4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-3   WIN (9/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/6)-(9/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (9/6)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/6)-(4/1/5)-(12/8/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(12/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(12/8/7/5)-(4/6/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (12/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/8/7/5)-(12/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/8/7/5)-(12/8/7/5)-(12/8/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/8/7/5)-(4/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (12/8/7/5)-(4/6/1/2)-(1/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/2)-(1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/2)-(1/7/2)-(4/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(4/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(4/2/8)-(9/8/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-8   WIN (4/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/8)-(4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/8)-(9/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HAW-9   WIN (9/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/5)-(9/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/8/5)-(9/8/5)-(9/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   07/31/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAVENDER EARL Jul06 Jun19 May18 Apr20 Apr03 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00    
SLAVA UKRAINI Jun08 May29 May15 Apr17 Mar27 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
HANDSOFFTHEGOODS Jul06 Jun19 May25 May01 Oct19 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
POLTERER Feb24 Feb08 Jan19 Dec22 Nov22 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
RICKY BOBBY Jul13 Jun22 Feb14 Sep21 Jul06 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50    
ROTARY DIAL Jul10 Jun19 Jun08 May25 May08 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  BETWITHBOTHHANDS May25 Dec01 Jul11 Jun25 May28 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 2.50    
 
HAW-2   07/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO STORMIN GIRL Jul13 Jun08 May15 May04 Apr17 (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA O 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
MAMBA OUT Jul13 Jul03 Jun08 May13 Apr29 (candelas )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00 8% 12.00    
HEAVENLY HASH Jul17 Jul03 Jun15 May25 May04 (spagnola )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
LOST SUNSET Jul13 Jul03 Jun05 May04 Sep29 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00    
RUNNERS HEAT Jun26 May29 May04 Apr17 Oct13 (wilson sh)ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00    
HONOR HIS HALF Jul17 Jul03 Jun01 May11 Mar30 (villalobos heri)REYES FRANK 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
HAW-3   07/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KENNEL CLUB Jul03 Jun07 May11 Dec28 Oct04 (caramori caio)FELIX E 122 12.00    
SCR  ALL CHOKED UP Jul03 Oct13 Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
SCR  ANOTHER MYSTERY Jul03 May11 Mar06 Jan25 Dec21 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 1.80    
SCR  TOWERING STORM Jul03 May11 Mar08 Feb22 Dec26 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50    
EYE WITNESS Jun28 May16 Apr30 Apr12 Jul05 (caramori ca)FIGUEROA SERGIO 122 5.00    
PROTONIC POWER Jul03 Jun09 May19 Apr27 Apr06 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  LAMPLIGHTER JACK Jul03 May11 Apr16 Apr06 Mar12 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50    
PATS PROPERTY May03 Apr24 Mar23 Mar08 Feb08 (haran john)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.00    
EMPIRE BUILDER Jun05 Mar09 Feb14 Jan05 Dec06 (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
HAW-4   07/31/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMP DADDY Jul03 Jul14 Jun07 Apr28 Apr06 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  CORTESE Jul20 May31 Apr06 Jan30 Jan05 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
ELI'S PROMISE Jul10 Jun19 May01 Mar22 Jan31 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00    
INDYVILLE Jun19 May17 Oct29 Oct06 Aug11 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
BILL'S HONOR Jun10 May09 Oct17 Jul06 Jun02 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 5% 18.00    
CLYDE'S GREEN GO Jul01 Jun10 May17 Apr26 Apr10 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.50    
 
HAW-5   07/31/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NIGHT BLUE (IRE) Jul10 Jun18 May08 Apr13 Sep02 (rosin w)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
TWO TIMER Jul13 Jun26 Jun01 May01 Apr10 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00    
SCR  WILDWOOD ADIOS Jul13 May27 Apr10 Dec04 Oct31 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
SCR  HARPER BRIANA Jul17 Jun29 Jun07 May20 May10 (alonso fe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00    
BABE IN THE WOODS Jul10 Jun26 Jun01 Mar21 Mar02 (haran john)COLON H 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISTY SUNDAY Jul06 Jun19 Dec01 Oct15 Sep18 (alonso fernan)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 30.00    
CALLAS Jun26 Jun01 May01 Mar27 Feb21 (slager mike)LOPEZ A 122 12.00 18% 4.50    
GEORGIA ON E'SMIND Jul24 Jul10 Jun15 Apr27 Apr12 (haran john)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  SAFECRACKER SUE Jul13 May22 May01 Mar07 Feb15 (simonovich d)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
SCR  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Jul13 Jul06 Jun12 May18 Apr24 (perez manny)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 12.00    
SCR  SHARP ATTACK Jul13 Jun29 Jun23 May26 May18 (divito ja)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 10.00    
12  ROSE'S WISH Jul13 Jun26 Jun12 May08 Apr24 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 118 6.00 29% 2.40    
13  BALLYBAY BEAUTY Jul20 Jul10 Jun29 Jun12 May22 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.00    
 
HAW-6   07/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN TO WIN Jun29 May17 Apr06 Mar08 Jan19 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 4.50 14% 6.00    
GOOD SCOUT Jun14 Jun16 May19 Apr04 Mar07 (bahena fernan)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
PLUNDER Jul19 Jul08 Jun19 Jun05 May22 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
WE MISS ARLINGTON Jul19 Jun29 Jun01 May11 Apr27 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
DOUBLE THUNDER Jul17 Jun01 May18 May04 Apr06 (young r)REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
SUPREMELY Jul12 Jun24 May22 Apr24 Apr03 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
LUCKY SHOT Jun29 Jun01 May22 Apr11 Mar02 (banks chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50    
 
HAW-7   07/31/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE DEE KAY Jul03 May22 Apr27 Apr06 Mar21 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
C F V BULLET Jul06 Dec22 Dec06 Nov02 Oct23 (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA O 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHAOS REIGNS Jul03 May18 May04 Apr20 Mar30 (divito p)FELIX E 122 4.50    
WHAT A COUNTRY Jun21 Sep12 Aug25 Aug06 Jun09 (bahena fe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
SCR  SOUL COAXING Jul17 Jun05 May11 Apr20 Dec05 (villa fra)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 5.00    
STRONGER TOGETHER Jul05 Jun19 Jun08 Apr20 Apr06 (hernandez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
CALIBRATE Jul03 Jun05 Mar09 Dec22 Nov23 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
HAW-8   07/31/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINE TO GAIN Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May22 May04 (villalobos heri)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Jul10 Jun15 May18 Apr27 Apr06 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHAMPAGNE MIKE Jul20 Jul03 Jun12 May22 Apr24 (rosas rig)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 20.00    
SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Jul20 Jul10 May15 May08 Mar12 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.60 68% 0.50    
GLOBAL EMPIRE Jul17 Jul06 Jun21 Jun05 May18 (spagnola ida)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00    
SCR  TRY TRY AGAIN Jun29 Jun08 May08 Apr27 Jul28 (alonso fernan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 15.00    
SCR  CONI'S COUP Jul17 Jun05 Sep15 Aug11 Jul21 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
DIAMOND DAVE Jul20 Jun29 Aug20 Jul06 Nov04 (childers sha)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-9   07/31/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAWYER FOX Jul13 Jun12 Sep04 Aug06 Dec10 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80    
SCR  ALADANTE Jul17 Jul03 May11 Apr17 Apr06 (hughes ear)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
SCR  STASHU Jun04 May16 Mar27 Nov08 Oct17 (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
RED RIZZLER Jul06 Jun05 May11 May04 Apr10 (rosas rig)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 15.00    
BALADINE Jun26 Jun08 May22 Apr27 Apr10 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
RODAVLAS Jul10 Jun08 Apr20     (lopez elias)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00    
SCR  HOBBS Jul13 Jun26 May24 Sep23 Aug31 (wainwright john)FELIX E 122 20.00    
MAHONEY ROAD Jul13 Jun15 May11 Apr27 Feb28 (reid r)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
VINEGAR HILL Jul08 Jun17 May19 Apr05   (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 120 4.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  PONCHO ATTACK Jun12 Jun05 Mar07 Dec07 Oct10 (childers sha)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.