Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - July 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/4)-(1/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4)-(1/6/8/5)-(2/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-2   WIN (1/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/5)-(1/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/5)-(1/6/8/5)-(1/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/8/5)-(2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/5)-(2/5/8)-(8/6/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-3   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/8/7)-(2/5/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/8)-(8/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8)-(8/6/3/4)-(3/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-4   WIN (8/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/4)-(3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/4)-(3/7/2)-(3/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-5   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(3/5/1)-(6/8/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-6   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(6/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(6/8/5/4)-(2/3/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-7   WIN (6/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/4)-(6/8/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/4)-(6/8/5/4/2)-(6/8/5/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/5/4)-(2/3/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-8   WIN (2/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/9/5)-(2/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/9/5)-(2/3/9/5)-(2/3/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMETIME         (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of DISCATSONTHESQUARE by SQUARE EDDIE)
2  SGT. GARCIA         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 5.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of I WONDER by ARCH)
SCR  COUNTRY BUMPKIN         (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 119 8.00    
  (by GEIGER COUNTER out of BLISSTIKUS by LUFTIKUS)
4  BIRDY WHISPER         (munoz carlos)ROSADO JOHAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MURMUR by ARCH)
5  AVIGLIANO         (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 119 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WINY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
6  SMOLS Jul11 Jun13       (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 4.50 ★    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of JACKKNIFE by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  MAGIC WALLET         (gonzalez )CARRASCO R 119 6.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of IN DAD'S WALLET by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  SECRETO UNO         (simms ma)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by MITOLE out of SECRET CONGRATS by CONGRATS)
 
CNL-2   07/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADAME MARKIEVICZ Oct07 Sep21       (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
2  STRUMMIN MARY Apr09 Mar13 Feb28 Jan17 Jan01 (yanez moise)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 20.00    
3  CAMEO Apr30 Apr12 Feb26 Jan16 Dec26 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 5.00    
4  CATARINA Apr23 Apr05 Feb14 Jan23 Jan08 (azpurua )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 4.00    
5  KISSES FOR KATE Jun15 May24 Aug02     (aguirre ant)HAMILTON WESTON 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SLANDEROUS Sep07 Aug30 Aug13 Jul13 May19 (mccutchen ja)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 4.50 15% 5.50    
7  VALERIE STREET Jul10 Jun22 Jun15 May03 Apr18 (maldonado j)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 4.50    
8  ORQUIDEA REAL Jun26 May30 May02 Mar28 Feb28 (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 119 4.00 10% 9.10    
 
CNL-3   07/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIGDADDYSBOY May31 May10 Apr18 Mar09 Feb07 (perri gi)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00    
2  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Jun19 May10 Apr23 Feb09 Jan16 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.20 51% 1.00    
3  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Jul01 Feb07 Jan24 Jan08 Dec22 (dimmett james)JUDE JOHN 123 10.00    
4  SUMO (ARG) Jun15 May26 May09 Apr18 Mar29 (gaudet lacey)ARNOLD BRINTON 113 15.00    
5  SAN COSTANTINO Jul02 Jun18 Jun02 Apr25 Mar29 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 123 3.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  PRESSURE Jun12 Mar08 Jan19 Nov22 May25 (ward dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.00    
7  NO ANGEL May19 May02 Mar19 Mar02 Jan31 (lusk r)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 30.00 ★    
8  BANDITS HEART Sep29 Aug24 Aug02 Jul18 Jun26 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 12.00 6% 17.10    
 
CNL-4   07/25/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOUSEBUSTER DUDE Jun19 Apr18       (salinas gi)SANCHEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of ALL NIGHT LABOR by DOUBLE HONOR)
SCR  MIDAS FACTOR         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SILVER SIDES by BANDBOX)
3  BEHOLD THE KING         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BEHOLD THE QUEEN by HOLD ME BACK)
4  TISUM         (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BEEHIVE HAIRDO by FLAT OUT)
5  C. P. A. JIM         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of BITTY KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  SHARONS BEACH         (thomas jonathan)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of COSMIC CODE by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  CULOIR         (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 119 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MEANS WELL by SMART STRIKE)
8  CASA CIELO Jul03         (desormeau)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 35% 1.80    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of CURLIN'S JOURNEY by CURLIN)
9  BAYTOWN ANUBIS Jun20 May23 May01 Apr18   (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 119 30.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PARTISAN POLITICS by MORE THAN READY)
 
CNL-5   07/25/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENDIPITYMONDAY Jun20 Feb23 Jan25 Dec21   (mcclure diana )BOYCE FOREST 119 5.00    
  (by FIRST MONDAYS out of BOHEME DE LAVI by GRAEME HALL)
2  SE THAR BARR         (cooney su)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00 10% 9.20    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EMBARR by ROYAL ACADEMY)
3  MACLEAN'S ROOK         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BOHEMIAN QUEEN by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
4  CHIMNEY SWEEP Jun20 May23 Dec01     (aguirre ant)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00    
  (by OUTFLANKER out of SAUCY COUNTESS by TABASCO CAT)
5  RAR         (aguirre antho)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 20.00 ★    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLECLICKDAMOUSE by POINT OF ENTRY)
SCR  HOLIDAY EXPRESS Jun28 Oct02       (perkins j)IORIO MELISSA 119 1.60    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of DUMTADUMTADUM by MINESHAFT)
7  WHENEVERUREMEMBER Jul11 May23 Aug31 Aug13 Jun23 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of A GREAT TIME by STREET MAGICIAN)
8  APOLAUSTIC         (payne c )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 12.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of LADY VICKI by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA)
 
CNL-6   07/25/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONG TIME Jun14 May16 Nov16     (merryman eliz)KARAMANOS A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of RICHETTA by POLISH NUMBERS)
2  SO SOPHIA (GB) Apr23         (gardea abra)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
  (by SHOWCASING out of SO BRAVE by KYLLACHY)
3  YO ADRIAN Jun27 May23 Apr25     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by SKY MESA out of BEACON OF TRUTH by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
4  SONG AND A BREEZE Jul06 May08 Mar13     (yates michael)RUIZ JORGE 119 15.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of HUMOROUS SONG by JIMMY CREED)
5  SOMNIUM Jun11 May25 Dec12 Oct26   (merryman elizabe)CURTIS BEN 119 5.00 30% 2.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
6  SEGER SONGS Jun13 Feb23 Jan19 Dec08 Oct11 (brion keri)CENTENO E 119 4.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of IMAGINARY SAINT by SAINT LIAM)
7  EPIC STYLE Jun27         (stidham m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 ★    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of FINAL MESA by SKY MESA)
SCR  KEEPTHEDREAMALIVE Jun20 Apr10 Feb13 Dec27 Nov21 (beattie )GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of IT TIZ WELL by ARCH)
 
CNL-7   07/25/2025 3630ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIZAR'S TEMPER Jul10 Jun27 May31 Mar08 Jan03 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 15.00    
2  WATCH OUT WORLD Jun08 May16 Apr26 Mar23 Dec11 (hohlbein)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 6.00 ★    
3  STREET ROCKIN Jul09 Jun19 May30 Apr27 Aug16 (ashby lynn)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00    
4  GREEN BEANS Apr15 Dec07 Nov10 Sep05 Aug23 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNCLE DAR Jun11 May19 Jul10 Jun05 Apr19 (servis t)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
6  KNOCKANARA Jun06 May24 Mar14 Feb23 Nov29 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 124 3.50 41% 1.50    
7  SINETIC Jun21 May10 Feb09 Jan15 Nov08 (machado antonio)CENTENO E 118 5.00    
8  WILD WEST JUSTICE Jun15 Apr27 Mar07 Feb02 Jan03 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
9  SILVER FRONT Jun21 Oct03 Sep07 Aug23 Aug13 (meyers s)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
 
CNL-8   07/25/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT BOSS Jun28 Jun08 May04 Jan18 Dec21 (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 118 8.00    
2  ARIEL MOON Jun28 May10 Feb26 Feb19 Nov08 (trombetta mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
3  MIDNIGHT MARY Jun26 May08 Mar03 Feb08 Jan10 (catalano wa)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  SWEET SUMMER LOVE Jul03 Jun06 Apr27 Apr19 Nov02 (nambo cesar)SALAZAR TERESA 117 20.00    
5  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY Jun21 Jun01 May02 Apr12 Mar29 (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOONSHINING Jul16 May03 Mar13 Feb28 Feb04 (rodriguez an)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 20.00    
SCR  SWAN Jun07 May17 Apr26 Apr05 Mar27 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
SCR  BESS' CANDY Jun28 Jun06 Dec04 Nov07 Sep07 (wagner karin)CURTIS BEN 122 15.00    
9  DERBYTIME D Jun27 May30 May03     (yates michael)RUIZ JORGE 118 6.00 11% 8.00    
10  ANY FOOLS GOLD Jul03 Jun15 May25 May15 Apr19 (haughton)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 20.00    
11  FLUFFY Jul12 Jun29 Jun01 May03 Apr17 (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.