Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Great Falls
Saturday - July 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GF-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/2/4) 4 $3.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
GF-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $3.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
GF-3   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/4) 1 $3.00 $3.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
GF-4   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/3) 1 $3.00 $3.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
GF-5   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/1) 1 $3.00 $3.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
GF-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/3/2) 4 $3.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
GF-7   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/1) 9 $3.00 $27.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/1)-(4/5/3/1) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
GF-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/3/4) 4 $3.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    DD (5/4)-(4/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-9   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GF-1   07/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP C/G PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALEB CAT Jul12 Jun20 Jun01 Jul28 Jul14 (oliver d)ANDROS CORRINE 126 3.50    
CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Jul13 Jun21 Jun14 Apr16 Mar13 (fitzpatrick )JOURNET JARRED 126 3.00    
THE WINNING EDGE Jun07 May30 May16 May03 Apr22 (cross ken)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
EDDY BEAR Jun28 Jun08 Oct13 Sep29 Sep01 (depew j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
LIFESBEENGOODTOME Jul13 Mar27 Jun15 May27 Apr23 (dennis g)GAMEZ M 126 4.00    
SCR  PAISLEES PROMISE Jun27 Jun07 Apr29 Apr03 Mar19 (birdrattler)MEINEKE SHELDON 121 6.00    
 
GF-2   07/19/2025 3465ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBO WARRIOR Jun20 Jun13 May25 May10 Apr01 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 4.00    
REGAL REDWOOD Jul13 May16 Apr16 Mar27 Mar13 (birdrattler shanc)GAMEZ M 126 7.00 49% 1.10    
DRAW THE FOUL Jul13 Jun08 Apr18 Mar30 Mar21 (smith jack)BAD JOSSIAH 126 2.50    
SOUTH SEA Jul13 Jun21 May31 May18 May11 (nelson bu)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00    
DELTA DELTA Jul13 Jun07 May31 May18 May04 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
GF-3   07/19/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARTY POLICE May05 Sep02 Aug04 Jul15 Jul02 (birdrattler )BANDA F 126 3.50    
FOREST SONG Jul12 Sep22 Sep01 Jul20 Jul13 (schmitt bill)ANDROS CORRINE 126 3.00    
MISCHIEVIOUSLANIE Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 Apr27 Sep02 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
LASSIE CAT Jun08 May18 May04 Oct06 Sep29 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 1.60    
 
GF-4   07/19/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS EMMA Jun15 Jun08 May11 May04 Feb19 (nelson bu)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 2.00    
MEAN SHARON Jul12 Jun08 May30 May04 Apr03 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 121 1.60 39% 1.60    
SHOCKAZULU Oct14 Sep21 Jul28 Jul20 Jun29 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 3.50    
TOOL BOX Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 May11 Feb16 (carlson er)BAD JOSSIAH 126 3.00    
 
GF-5   07/19/2025 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINDSHARE Oct14 Aug18 Jul01 Jun09 Apr02 (carlson er)BAD JOSSIAH 126 3.00    
GOOD OLD FAITHFUL Mar25 Sep09 Aug27     (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 1.60 43% 1.30    
ARLEN'S PROSPECT Jul28 Jul31 Jul30 Jul16   (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 2.00    
WAITINGATTHEBAR Jun01 May17 Mar25 Mar05 Jan28 (birdrattler natha)GAMEZ M 126 3.50    
 
GF-6   07/19/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR OF STARS Jul12 Jun15 Aug31 Aug18 Jul20 (gibbs tyler)GAMEZ M 126 2.00    
ELCONDOR Feb01 Dec15 Dec01 Nov08 Oct20 (deroche heid)BANDA F 126 7.00 5% 19.00    
EPIC DRAMA Jul13 May18 May04 Apr06 Mar21 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 2.50    
SCR  KNIGHT SOLAIRE         (dennis clif)MEINEKE SHELDON 121 5.00    
LET'S REJOYCE Jan23 Dec30 Oct25 Sep26 Aug03 (fitzpatric)BAD JOSSIAH 126 4.00 64% 0.60    
 
GF-7   07/19/2025 3465ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDETHELOOT Sep07 Sep01 Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 (birdrattler natha)GAMEZ M 126 3.50    
NIPAWIN Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 Jul30 Jul15 (schmitt b)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 9.00    
FUN CITY Jul27 Jul19 Jun21 Jul01 Apr12 (birdrattler)MEINEKE SHELDON 121 10.00 6% 14.80    
SHARP WARNING Jul12 Jun20 May18 May04 Mar31 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 1.40 50% 1.00    
BEYOND COMPARE Jul13 Jun08 Jun01 Apr19 Mar23 (nordlund pat)ANDROS CORRINE 126 3.00 20% 3.90    
QUICK INTRO May31 Mar23 Mar08 Feb23 Feb01 (carlson er)BAD JOSSIAH 126 12.00    
MALADJUSTED MISFIT Jul13 Jun27 Jun07 Jun01 May25 (cross k)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00    
 
GF-8   07/19/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZHIVAGO Dec09 Nov25 Nov10 Oct15 Oct06 (carlson er)BAD JOSSIAH 126 5.00    
DONTTESTYOURLUCK Jul12 Jun13 May31 May10 Apr20 (birdrattler )JOURNET JARRED 126 4.00    
EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Sep06 Sep01 Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 (birdrattler natha)GAMEZ M 126 2.00    
EYE CANDY RANDY Jul27 Jul21 Jul13 Sep23 Jul30 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 7.00 5% 19.00    
NEW EVERY MORNING Jul12 Jun20 May31 May16 Apr10 (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
GF-9   07/19/2025 3465ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S MY PRIORITY Jun29 May31 Sep23 Sep11 Aug28 (schmitt b)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.00    
BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Jul20 Jul29 Jul22 Jul16 Jun25 (alejandre fi)BANDA F 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
HAYNESPUN Jun15 May31 May17 May11 May04 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 1.40    
IMA TROUBLE MAKER Jul12 May31 May18 May11 May04 (nelson bucks)ANDROS CORRINE 126 3.00 70% 0.40    
MINNIE'S READY Jul12 Jun15 Jun08 Jul28 Jul13 (oliver d)GAMEZ M 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
SOFIA STRONG Jun07 Oct14 Sep30 Sep22 Aug08 (smith j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.