Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Wednesday - July 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/4)-(6/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/2)-(1/8/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(1/8/7)-(5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/2/7)-(1/8/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/8/10/2/12) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/4)-(5/8/10/2/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/8/10/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/10/2/12)-(5/8/10/2/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/10/2/12)-(5/8/10/2/12)-(5/8/10/2/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HECTOR B Jul02 Jun19 Feb01 Dec04 Oct27 (melancon paul)JURADO EDDIE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
NERVANA Jun22 May18 Apr18 Mar12 Feb22 (helmbrecht william)MURGIA A 119 1.40 52% 0.90    
AMERICAN SILVER Jul02 Dec03 Nov19 Nov13 Oct02 (melancon paul)MOJICA JR 123 3.00    
SCR  WILDERZAR Jul02 Jun19 Jun07 May23 Oct02 (dailey ronald)COURT J 123 5.00    
ONE FAST MIDDIE Jun19 May30 May14 Apr12 Feb22 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.00    
 
BTP-2   07/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY ANA Jul02 Jun21 Jun04 May15 Apr18 (danner do)CORREA L 123 5.00    
SHAMU Jul03 Jun11 May23 May10 Apr12 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 3.00    
YAREE D TAT Jul02 Jun05 May15 Jan16 Dec26 (adams nancy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50    
LASERJET Jun18 May26 May10 Apr18 Mar19 (antonuik j)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00 51% 1.00    
FOR THE BISCUIT Jun11 May29 May15 May03 Apr19 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
CATTI LA BELLE Jun20 Jun04 May15 Apr27 Apr06 (ocasio osvaldo)JURADO EDDIE 123 3.50    
 
BTP-3   07/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT YET CHARLIE Jun25 Nov18 Oct21 Aug16 Jul10 (cline robert )SOSA LAUREANO 123 4.50    
TAKE CHARGE D'ORO Jun19 Jun05 May15 May03 Feb14 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50    
SCR  WILL E SUTTON Jun19 May30 Oct10 Aug23 Jul25 (moreno ti)CORREA L 123 2.50    
BREADMAN Jul02 Jun20 May29 May15 May03 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOBBY'S GIFT Jun25 May21 May08 Mar22 Mar06 (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 118 2.00 62% 0.60    
STARSHIP GOTHAM Jul02 Jun19 Jun05 Apr29 Mar05 (ortiz-ruiz car)JURADO EDDIE 125 5.00    
 
BTP-4   07/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROAD MINISTER Jun27 Jun04 May03 Apr13 Mar21 (chain pearl)FIGUEROA SERGIO 122 6.00    
BAYTOWN BEAR May16 Nov18 Oct06 Sep07 Aug18 (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 6% 15.80    
SWAYBACK JACK Jun11 May24 May10 Apr15 Mar27 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50    
POLSTER May19 May01 Apr08 Mar24 Mar05 (brown h)MEZA JJ 122 10.00    
LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Jun10 May16 Nov09 Oct12 Aug25 (navarrete)CORREA L 122 1.80    
TIMELESS BOUNTY Jun04 May16 Apr05 Mar15 Feb23 (ocasio )PILARES P 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
BTP-5   07/16/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHIER Feb01         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 121 2.50 52% 0.90    
ERIN Jul01 Jun05 May06 Aug13 Jul18 (dunn stephen )JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.50    
SUNTIKA Jun18 Nov18 Sep28     (hale jr)MURGIA A 125 6.00    
WILD ROVER LADY (IRE) Jul09 Jun19 May14 Apr22 Apr02 (childs g)MCKEE J 121 5.00    
EURCOOL Jun25 Jun12 Oct17 Oct10 Sep28 (vaughn terry)MOJICA JR 125 15.00    
SCR  DYNAMO'S CODE         (conto kevin)BUSH V 125 10.00    
STAR WATCH Jul05 Jun19 Nov13 Oct07 Sep11 (manning john )SOSA LAUREANO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
STORY CHANNEL Jun17 Jun05 Apr28 Oct28 Sep06 (monday kevin)JURADO EDDIE 125 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
BTP-6   07/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIPTHEGUILTTRIP Jun13 May31 May15 Sep26   (overholt g)MURGIA A 125 5.00    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of MY HOPE AMERICA by TALE OF THE CAT)
COUSIN JOE Jun13 May31 May22 May08 Jan31 (adams nancy)FIGUEROA SERGIO 125 4.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
NOT LIKE US May15 Apr19 Mar19 Mar12 Feb23 (engler jeff)OUZTS W 121 6.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of RUNAWAY CAT by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  NIGIRI Oct04         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 121 3.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of CHLOE KATE by AFLEET ALEX)
TAP THE WIND Jul02 Oct23 Oct05 Sep07   (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 125 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by RACE DAY out of SILKY BAY by STRAVINSKY)
SCR  CLINTSBUCKEYE         (manning joh)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 12.00    
  (by ASTERN out of ZARINE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
LORDBETWENTOTHORNS Jul02         (conto kevi)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 10.00 12% 7.10    
  (by LORD NELSON out of FAMOUS ROSE by FOREST DANGER)
 
BTP-7   07/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRERY TALE Jul01 Oct03 Sep06 Aug03 Jul25 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCIENCE (IRE) Jun13 May30 May03 Mar28 Mar19 (adams nancy)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 6.00    
SAY IT AIN'T SO Oct03 Aug29 Aug10 Sep30 Aug26 (cook k)MURGIA A 123 5.00    
HINK'S PALADIN Jun20 May24 May09 Apr21 Mar23 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
JARETH Jun25 Jun14 May16 Mar31 Mar17 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.50 67% 0.50    
CELTIC MISCHIEF Oct03 Aug29 Aug10 Feb10 Dec16 (cook k)ELLIOTT JANE 123 10.00    
MCVICKER May29 May16 Mar06 Oct13 Sep19 (livers charlie)DIAZ CESAR 118 4.50 8% 11.30    
READY PURSUIT Jun15 May29 May10 Apr26 Mar27 (gonzalez )CORREA L 123 2.50    
 
BTP-8   07/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOULSTONE Jul02 Jun19 Sep21 Sep04 Aug07 (hernandez debb)JURADO EDDIE 123 15.00    
ISA LEI Jul03 Jun18 Mar19 Feb23 Jan15 (estvanko ri)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
TWO LUCYS Jul03 Jun08 May27 Jan17 Dec06 (donjuan sergi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00    
CASTAGNA Jun26 Jun12 May08 Mar15 Jan26 (mendiet)PILARES P 125 6.00    
LADY HAMILTON Jul02 Jun04 May15 May03 Mar26 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  SING SCAT Jul02 Jun11 May21 May03 Apr23 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 118 8.00    
BETTER HALF Mar10 Jan23 Nov19 Nov04 Oct09 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 10.00    
SWEET ENCHANTMENT Jun11 Nov11 Oct14 Aug14 Jul31 (hernandez)CORREA L 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
BLOSSOMING Jul02 Mar21 Feb09 Dec28 Sep05 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 20.00    
10  KICK OUT THE JAMS Jul02 Jun04 Oct17 Sep19 Aug21 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 10.00 12% 7.10    
11  TOUGH AS NAILS Jul02 Jun19 May29 May15 May03 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 12.00    
12  LUCKY SHORE Jul02 Jun19 May03 Dec19 Dec05 (sturgeon rober)ELLIOTT JANE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.