Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - July 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(1/4)-(3/5/4) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
FE-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/6/4) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-3   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(3/6/4)-(7/5/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(7/5/4)-(4/6/5/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-5   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(4/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (4/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT OMELET Jun24 Jun10 May16 Apr26 Dec08 (robillard jos)KERR CHEYENNE 119 1.40    
2  MIMI'S HOLIDAY Jun24 Jun10 May27 Oct07 Sep24 (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.50    
3  BORN TO BE GOOD Jun24 Jun03 Oct22 Oct01 Sep24 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50 ★    
4  ALBERTA BE MINE Jul08 Jun20 Jun05 May04 Dec07 (williams noel )JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  DOODLE DANDY Jun30 Jun10 Jul22 Jul07 Jul01 (hoad l)ALDERSON IAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-2   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER CANDICE May27 Dec10 Nov27 Nov04 Sep30 (robi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  MOUNTAIN SOUND Jun30 Jun15 May27 Oct24 Oct08 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00    
3  SWEET SERENADE Jun03 Mar12 Feb06 Jan24 Dec01 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 8.00    
4  SOUPER COP Jun24 Jun10 May23 May10 Dec12 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 5.00 11% 7.70    
5  CRAFTY OAKS Jun15 May27 Dec01 Nov15 Oct17 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 1.80 ★    
 
FE-3   07/14/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAMBOO'S BABE Jun23 Jun03 Oct22 Oct08 Sep30 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50 ★    
2  WICKEN CENTS Jun23 Jun10 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 (benne)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 20.00    
3  NIGHTSABER (GB) Jun23 Jun10 Jun03 Dec01 Nov02 (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
4  NOW YOU SEE ME Jun23 Jun03 Nov01 Oct10 Sep19 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 12.00 8% 11.00    
5  TAPROOM Jun23 Jun10 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 (robillard julie)MORENO OMAR 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
6  ALWAY'S ROSIE Jun23 Jun03 Oct14 Sep30 Sep23 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00    
7  INITTOWINIT Jul07 Jun20 May23 Oct31 Oct14 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 122 2.00    
 
FE-4   07/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY ACCESS Oct21 Oct14 Sep30 Sep17 Aug06 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00    
2  CORE Jun30 Jun15 Jun03 Oct22 Oct13 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.50    
3  GRAND AMBITION Jul01 Oct21 Oct15 Sep30 Sep09 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 124 1.40 42% 1.40    
4  ABE HONESTLY Jun09 Feb05 Nov20 Oct08 Sep11 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPITE STORE Jun30 May29 May16 Nov23 Nov01 (bird alan)CHEYNE A 124 6.00    
6  SUNYANI Jun30 Jun15 Jun03 May27 Dec15 (cohen michael)SALLES LEO 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
FE-5   07/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTY POINT Jul01 Jun10 May27 Sep15 Aug23 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 4.50 ★    
2  LOADED SECRET Jul01 Nov01 Oct01 Sep09 Aug18 (newlan)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00    
3  GHOSTLY PERFECTION Jun19 May27 Dec12 Nov14 Oct22 (agostino roy )DAVID MICHAEL 122 5.00    
4  RUNNING ARGUMENT Jul01 Mar15 Jan31 Jan09 May31 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Jun30 Jun15 Oct22 Oct14 Oct07 (newland george)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  CONNECT IT Jul01 Jun23 Jun10 May20 Apr27 (robi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00    
7  SIGIRIYA Jul01 Jun23 Jun10 May23 Dec06 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
FE-6   07/14/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELONIOUS Jun30 Oct21 Oct15 Oct01 Aug26 (concessi arm)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Dec03 Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 20.00    
3  MISTER MESEEKS Jun24 Jun10 Dec02 Oct21 Oct15 (mitche)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 6.00    
4  DOT'S VISION Jun24 Jun15 Sep23 Sep02 Aug20 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  DRAGON'S BREW Jun24 Jun10 Dec01 Oct18 Oct05 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 10% 9.40    
6  CUPID'S CLAWS Jun15 May27 Feb22 Jan01 Dec15 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  TURF AND SURF Jun30 May27 Nov29 Nov14 Oct10 (keen howard)MARTIN ANDRE 119 10.00    
8  GUS'S GAMBLE Jun30 Jun23 May27 Sep09 Aug13 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 4.00    
SCR  STRONG ENDING Jun30 Jun10 Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.