Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - May 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/4/2)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(4/1/5)-(1/5/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/5/3)-(4/3/2) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/5/3)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(4/3/2)-(6/2/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/3/2)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(6/2/5)-(6/1/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-5   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/2/5)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(6/1/4)-(5/4/2/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-6   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/1/4)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   05/21/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOR OF TADAA Sep18 Sep04 Aug28 Aug06 Jul10 (pruitt lise)PRUITT CIERA 112 1.60 31% 2.20    
GET UP EARLY Jun10 May28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 (husbands tif)PAYNE DIBAGGIO 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
PICKIN' RIFFS Sep16 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 (anderson ca)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 2.00    
SILVER JAGUAR Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 Jul04 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
DEVILS TIME Aug19 Jul29 Jul09 Aug14 Jun05 (thompson stev)PARRIS SACHIN 112 15.00    
 
ASD-2   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($22.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAZING BO Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
EXACTING Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Sep24 Sep17 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 1.50    
CHICAGO'S GRAY Oct19 Sep24 Aug20 Jul16 Jun26 (duncan murray)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.50    
JEFF FA FA Sep24 Sep14 Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 2.00 32% 2.20    
EXPLOSIVE Jul29 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 May20 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-3   05/21/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3 C/G PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE KNOWS WE KNOW Aug12 Jul29       (brown jared)ALI RONALD 119 1.20 50% 1.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of NOSE THE POSE by GOING COMMANDO)
SCR  SGT. FILKOW Sep09 Aug27       (husbands ti)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 4.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of THUNDER GIRL by CRAFTY)
JUST SPECULATING         (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPECULATING out of JUSTONEOFAKIND by MORE THAN READY)
SPIKE IT RICH         (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 119 10.00    
  (by NONIOS out of THEIRBANKINGONME by CENTRAL BANKER)
HUEYSSUCCESS         (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of INSPEIGHTOFSUCCESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
PRAIRIE THUNDER         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 5.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of NAUGHTY DOTTY by REBMEC)
 
ASD-4   05/21/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETHAN'S ANIMAL Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Jul22 Jul09 (desjarlais rya)BALROOP SVEN 122 12.00    
ELUSIVE LOVE Mar19 Feb05 Jan08 Dec19 Nov20 (laing sherry)PARRIS SACHIN 112 8.00 5% 18.80    
YOU ENJOY MYSELF Apr01 Mar19 Dec26 Dec09 Nov20 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.60 24% 3.10    
MAGNOLIA SPEED Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 Jul03 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
AUDACE Apr19 Apr06 Mar21 Oct13 Jul13 (homer jason)HEWITT ROGER 122 10.00    
WICKEDBLACKBULLET Sep24 Sep17 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 (dickey elto)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 3.00    
 
ASD-5   05/21/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTER COMMAND Sep18 Sep09       (dickey elton)HEWITT ROGER 119 25.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of GIGI by THE FACTOR)
MOONMAN RULES Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 (stanford mar)BENNETT MATHEW 124 12.00 20% 4.00    
  (by PENITENT MAN out of TIDY RULES by TENPINS)
SILVERCREEK KID Sep18 Sep03 Aug21     (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 3.50    
  (by STANFORD out of LADY LEMON DROP by LEMON DROP KID)
MARVELOUS MARK Apr24 Apr03 Feb03 Jan23 Jan02 (laing sherry)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 5.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of CASHMERE MUFFIN by PURE PRIZE)
MIDNIGHT CHEER Aug28 Jul23 Jun26 Jun12 Apr05 (gardipy to)SIMPSON M 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of STEP ASIDE BOYS by QUIET AMERICAN)
BEE LA SOUL Oct08 Sep05       (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 0.60 46% 1.20    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SOUL OF COMETE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
 
ASD-6   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Sep18 Aug26 Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 (nault mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
WON SASSY RIDE Apr26 Mar29 Jan27 Oct13 Sep22 (homer jason)ALI RONALD 121 8.00    
SHERLYN GO GO Sep18 Aug28 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 5.00    
DYNAMIC STRIKE Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 (anderson wendy)PRUITT CIERA 111 12.00 9% 10.80    
SOPHIA'S STORM Apr12 Mar23 Mar08 Feb07 Jan11 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 123 1.40    
KATE'S PRINCESS Oct14 Sep29 Sep18 Sep02 Aug13 (stanford mari)CUMBERBATCH R 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
ASD-7   05/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNINFORCOVER Nov03 Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 (hunter judy)CUMBERBATCH R 124 20.00    
FAR BEYOND Nov03 Oct19 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 3.50 10% 8.60    
DRAGON DREW May14 Apr17 Apr03 Mar19 Mar06 (gardipy jr)PRUITT CIERA 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIG TICKET Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul10 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00 30% 2.30    
BEST OF GREELEY May13 Apr06 Mar21 Mar14 Feb28 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
WRONG DIRECTION Apr25 Apr05 Mar28 Mar14 Mar01 (gardipy tom )PAYNE DIBAGGIO 114 12.00    
WILL THE THRILL May13 Mar07 Feb23 Feb02 Jan03 (gourneau jaso)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.