Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - May 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (3/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/2)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/2)-(6/3/1)-(1/4/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(1/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(1/4/5/3)-(7/3/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (1/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/3)-(1/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/3)-(1/4/5/3)-(1/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/3)-(7/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/3)-(7/3/5/1)-(3/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-4   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/1)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/1)-(3/4)-(5/8/6/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/8/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/8/6/3)-(5/4/2/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/3)-(5/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/3)-(5/8/6/3)-(5/8/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/6/3)-(5/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/3)-(5/4/2/1)-(6/4/8/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/1)-(6/4/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (6/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/2)-(6/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/2)-(6/4/8/2)-(6/4/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   05/18/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSED OPTION Apr06 Feb21 Jan16     (young r)COLON H 118 4.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of THE BEST OPTION by PLEASANT TAP)
JAKES CHANNEL Sep05 Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 May25 (rednour jo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SETTLING IN by GREEN DESERT)
GUNNY SACK         (kirby fra)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by KING'S EMPIRE out of MARIA'S MOMENT by INDY SNOW (GB))
GOOD YEGG Apr17 Oct10 Sep19 Aug18 Jul28 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 124 4.50 9% 10.30    
  (by BIG BAD MIKE out of CUPID'S BEST by POSSE)
LONE RETURN May11 May04 Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 (dizeo dino)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SLIGO ROSE by SHORE BREEZE)
DRIPPING SPRINGS         (kirby j)REYES FRANK 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by EL MEDWAR out of LOVINHERWASEASY by INDY SNOW (GB))
HOLDEN MICHAEL Apr27 Apr13 Feb14 Dec19 Sep26 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MY HEAVENLY SIGN by FOREST CAMP)
 
HAW-2   05/18/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOBAL EMPIRE May04 Apr20 Sep01 Aug04 Jul07 (spagnola ida)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00 8% 11.20    
EUCLID AVENUE May04 Apr06 Mar15 Feb28 Feb03 (haran joh)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 8.00    
DOUBLE THUNDER May04 Apr06 Feb07 Dec13 Oct03 (young r)REYES FRANK 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
CHAOS REIGNS May04 Apr20 Mar30 Feb14 Jan05 (divito p)FELIX E 124 1.60    
LAVENDER EARL Apr20 Apr03 Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 (ramirez ca)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
CATEGORY TEN Apr20 Mar15 Feb21 Dec13 Nov20 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
HAW-3   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW May01 Apr06 Mar08 Feb16 Dec27 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00 43% 1.30    
DIXIE PENNY May04 Apr13 Mar30 Feb16 Jan24 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
DELIZIOSA Apr12 Apr02 Mar01 Feb02 Jan12 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMONDS JOY Apr24 Apr06 Feb20 Jan26 Dec28 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
ECHO DREAMER Apr22 Mar30 Oct31 Oct13 Sep30 (quinonez max)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 9% 10.30    
LADY HELENA May01 Apr10 Mar30 Feb27 Jan01 (rosas rigo)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
RAINY MOUNTAIN May04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun01 May19 (kirby fran)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00    
 
HAW-4   05/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Apr24 Apr10 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
REMEMBER THE FEAR May03 Apr25 Apr06 Mar16 Mar08 (haran john)FELIX E 122 6.00    
BRIT BLITZ Oct06 Sep19 Aug15 Jul13 Jun20 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 2.50 12% 7.20    
TIE BREAKER LENNIE May01 Apr17 Mar30 Mar05 Feb21 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
COMMISSIONER OSCAR Apr13 Sep29 Sep12 Sep01 Aug10 (berndt jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.00 10% 8.70    
RAMESSES May01 Apr06 Mar27 Feb13 Jan23 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
PROFESSOR HIGGINS May04 Apr10 Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 (poulos dee)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 54% 0.90    
SHTARKER Oct06 Sep05 Jul21 Jun08   (divito p)COLON H 122 6.00    
 
HAW-5   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Third Chance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANAGING MISCHIEF Apr19 Mar03 Feb01 Dec27 Oct12 (hernandez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ENCHANTING ESSENCE by MIDSHIPMAN)
PURR SEA Apr22 Feb12 Dec21 Oct29 Sep08 (boyce michele)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 3.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KITTY'S CASTLE by CASHEL CASTLE)
OEUVRE Mar04 Feb01 Dec26 Nov23 Oct24 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
GRAY LIGHTNING May01 Apr14 Jun06 Apr29 Mar18 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of FAIRY GRAY by CAT THIEF)
BEEHIVE Apr24 Oct03 Sep08 Aug18 Aug01 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
SHARP HERO Apr22 Nov13 Oct19 Sep12 Jun07 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 121 4.50    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of HELLI by MIZZEN MAST)
YAMILE'S Apr24 Dec19 Nov14 Sep25 Sep07 (mi)DA FAUSTO 119 12.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of AWESOME OMI by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
HAW-6   05/18/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LADY SLEW Apr13 Mar27 Feb01 Jan05 Oct13 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
LOTTA ROSES Mar27 Dec05 Oct26 Oct13 Oct06 (quinonez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 15.00    
WHAT'S TO DO Apr25 Mar07 Aug08 Jun08 May05 (haran john)FELIX E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
APRIL'S GEM Apr17 Mar27 Mar13 Jan31 Jan05 (rosas rigo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
JOURNEYIST Feb14 Oct10 Sep22 Aug18 Jul14 (boyce michele)COLON H 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
ATMIDNIGHT Mar22 Feb16 Jan11 Dec19 Nov23 (campbell mich)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.00 11% 8.40    
MULSANNE (IRE) Oct10 Sep08 Aug29 Aug11 Jul21 (horvath fr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
EXCELERINA (IRE) Apr13 Feb08 Jan05 Mar17 Feb25 (rosin coty)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  LEGALLY LUCKY Apr27 Apr12 Mar16 Feb28 Feb01 (haran john)FELIX E 122 8.00    
 
HAW-7   05/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBER THE MAINE Apr27 Sep22 Sep15 Aug29 Aug15 (castro is)TROXTELL BRITTANY 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKET HOTSHOT Apr24 Apr06 Mar06 Feb02 Jan10 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 4.00 8% 11.00    
U S HONOUR NAP Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 Dec02 Nov17 (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00    
LAND MARK DEAL Apr13 Mar30 Feb27 Feb08 Dec28 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
GITA'S LAD Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 May12 Apr14 (young r)COLON H 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
IZEONDEC Nov20 Oct24 Oct13 Oct03 Sep08 (schlenk jada )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00    
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Apr27 Apr06 Sep29 Sep08 Aug04 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 8.00    
ALYANAABI May01 Mar27 Sep22 Aug29 Aug08 (dizeo din)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
 
HAW-8   05/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUZIN N CURSIN Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Jul28 Jul07 (lindsay ri)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
RAYFIELD Apr27 Apr06 Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BEARS' D May01 Dec04 Oct30 Sep28 Sep07 (miller da)TROXTELL BRITTANY 114 20.00    
RAGNOW May01 Apr13 Mar27 Feb21 Feb01 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  CASH APP MIKE May11 Apr26 Mar02 Feb15 Dec29 (simonovich daniel)MOJICA O 118 20.00    
NOT FALLING BACK Jun08 May18       (block chris)COLON H 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
CRECENCIO May11         (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00    
UPTOWN TOM Mar30 Mar05 Feb22 Jan23 Jan03 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 5.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  AIRMAIL FLYER         (berndt joel)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00    
SCR  SAND CAST Apr19 Nov28 Oct27 Oct12 Sep05 (leonard ii)FELIX E 118 6.00    
SCR  LUCKY SEVEN May07 Dec21 Nov24 Oct30 Oct03 (spraggins kenneth )MOJICA O 124 8.00    
SCR  OLIVERIO Apr17 Apr06 Mar20 Feb15   (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.