Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - May 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(2/5/6)-(1/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(1/7/4)-(5/1/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(5/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(5/1/7/3)-(2/3/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/3)-(2/3/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/3)-(2/3/8/7)-(9/1/4/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/7)-(2/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/7)-(2/3/8/7)-(2/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/8/7)-(9/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/7)-(9/1/4/3)-(2/7/9/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-6   WIN (9/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/3)-(9/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/3)-(9/1/4/3)-(9/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/4/3)-(2/7/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/7/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/5)-(2/7/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/5)-(2/7/9/5)-(2/7/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISGUISED DEVIL Apr24 Apr03       (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 113 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of NORA IN THE SKY by SKY MESA)
2  BUTTONS AND LACE         (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 1.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MY MERTIE by MAGNA GRADUATE)
SCR  TRINITY'S PRIZE Apr24         (block chri)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of FORT PRADA by FORT PRADO)
4  KISSES FOR WEEJ Apr24 Oct14 Sep30     (vanden britt)FELIX E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MARY JEANS WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  SAVVY SMILA         (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 3.50    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of SMILA'SSENSEOFSNOW by TRAPPE SHOT)
 
HAW-2   05/15/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAGGLE PASS Jan03 Oct25       (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 124 4.00    
2  ARRIVEDERCCI Apr24 Apr03 Jul11     (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  WILD DREAMS May08         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.50    
4  SIOUX REVENGE         (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 5.00    
5  RACING THE LIGHT Oct24 Sep08       (campbell joel)FELIX E 118 6.00 10% 9.00    
6  RED REGRET         (berndt jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 6.00 10% 9.30    
7  POLSKA SUE May08 Mar21 Feb28 Feb14 Dec22 (simonovich da)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00    
 
HAW-3   05/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLAVA UKRAINI Apr17 Mar27 Jan06 Dec19 Dec04 (rosas rigo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 64% 0.60    
2  GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Apr20 Mar30 Mar06 Feb08 Jan04 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 3.50    
3  REGIMENTAL Apr17 Feb14 Jan24 Jan05 Oct17 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 2.00    
4  ANCIENT MAN Apr24 Apr17 Apr03 Mar27 Nov18 (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STORM'S REFLECTION Apr23 Mar05 Feb21 Jan01 Dec07 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
6  ELECTRIC CHARGE Apr17 Oct26 Sep19 Aug08 Jul20 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
7  ICE AXE Apr17 Apr06 Feb28 Jan02 Oct13 (villalobos heri)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-4   05/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNKEPT PROMISES Apr24 Apr06 Mar21     (candelas )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 4.50 5% 18.20    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CHEERS DARLING by CUVEE)
2  DRAMA SPEAKER Apr24 Dec11 Sep26     (miller da)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 6.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MS ELEGANCE by BIG DRAMA)
3  CATNIP HILL Apr27 Apr06 Nov06 Oct18 Sep13 (horvath fr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NOMORERICHBLONDES by HARD SPUN)
4  MARGARITA BLUEBIRD Sep08 Aug22       (perez manny)COLON H 118 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
5  ELIZA VANCE Apr27 Aug25 Jun23     (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 118 1.40 71% 0.40    
  (by MITOLE out of LE MOINE by CURLIN)
6  COCALINA Apr24 Dec18 Nov06 Sep25 Sep12 (miller da)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 20.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of COPPER BEAUTY by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
7  TRINITYTHREEINONE Apr27 Sep26 Sep08     (spagnola )ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of FOLLOW MY LUCK by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  CLASSYCOWTOWNLADY Apr16 Sep26 Aug09     (tracy tanner)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of SING LADY SING by SCAT DADDY)
 
HAW-5   05/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Apr17 Oct13 Oct03 Sep22 Aug15 (hughes earl )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
2  GABAGOOL Apr02 Mar12 Feb01 Jan12 Oct20 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 59% 0.70    
3  ALIBI IKE Apr26 Apr10 Feb08 Jan07 Dec10 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 12% 7.30    
4  RISKY BOY Apr10 Mar27 Jan03 Dec13 Sep22 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 4.00    
5  HATCHET CREEK Apr27 Apr10 Mar27 Aug22 Jul21 (dizeo din)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00    
6  JET FLIGHT May01 Apr20 Sep08 Jul28 Jul18 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 5.00    
7  MALIGATOR Dec05 Nov19 Nov04 Sep15 Aug25 (reid davi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  FIRST MASAMUNE May01 Aug29 Jul18 Jul06 Jun23 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-6   05/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOLIE RULER Apr13 Sep21 Sep05 Jul27 Jul06 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  LOST SUNSET May04 Sep29 Sep12 Aug18 Aug08 (kirby j)FELIX E 122 3.50    
3  GO STORMIN GIRL May04 Apr17 Mar27 Dec08 Nov05 (hughes earl )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  AWESOME SUNDAY Apr13 Mar27 Jan25 Dec08 May25 (zawitz jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00 13% 6.80    
5  ELLIE DELI Apr29 Jul28 Jun30 Jan26 Dec30 (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 124 4.50    
6  LADY ATLANTIC May04 Apr17 Sep22 Jul25 Jul06 (ryan chri)ULLOA JOAN 122 30.00    
7  KITTEN ROCKS Aug11 Aug01 May19 Aug10 Jul30 (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 15.00    
8  SMILE AT THE STORM Apr29 Apr13 Oct31 Oct17 Sep21 (quinon)ORTEGA JOSEPH 122 6.00    
9  WRITTEN CONSENT Apr17 Mar30 Feb28 Jan15 Nov07 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
HAW-7   05/15/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARTHAGE CAJUN Apr30 Mar07 Feb14 Jan17 Dec27 (leonard geor)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50    
2  TEMPER TANTRUM May08 Apr24 Mar12 Feb06 Jan02 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
3  CITY OF GOD Oct24 Oct12 Sep21 Sep03 Aug20 (quinonez max)FELIX E 122 15.00    
SCR  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Apr27 Apr13 Mar13 Jan05 Dec15 (candelas )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 8.00    
5  BREAKOUT STAR May01 Apr13 Mar27 Mar11 Jan25 (wilson sh)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00 12% 7.50    
6  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) May08 Mar12 Feb17 Jan09 Oct10 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
7  WICKED SUPRISE Oct13 Oct03 Sep15 Aug22 Aug01 (winebaugh chery)REYES FRANK 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
8  DAPPER DUDE May01 Apr17 Mar23 Feb22 Feb01 (rodriguez edua)COLON H 122 12.00    
9  BAKENEKO May08 Oct13 Sep29 Sep15 Aug28 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  LAND MARK DEAL Apr13 Mar30 Feb27 Feb08 Dec28 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.