Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - May 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (1/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/7/3/4)-(1/5/7/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/3/4)-(4/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/4)-(4/6/2/3)-(8/6/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-2   WIN (4/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/3)-(8/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/3)-(8/6/7/2)-(8/3/5/2/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-3   WIN (8/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/7/2)-(8/3/5/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/2)-(8/3/5/2/6)-(1/6/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (8/3/5/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/2/6)-(8/3/5/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/2/6)-(8/3/5/2/6)-(8/3/5/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/5/2/6)-(1/6/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/2/6)-(1/6/5/7)-(7/8/2/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-5   WIN (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/7)-(7/8/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/7)-(7/8/2/6)-(2/5/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-6   WIN (7/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/6)-(2/5/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/6)-(2/5/8/4)-(8/7/12/3/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-7   WIN (2/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/4)-(8/7/12/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-8   WIN (8/7/12/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/12/3/9)-(8/7/12/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/12/3/9)-(8/7/12/3/9)-(8/7/12/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   05/15/2025 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGISTRATE Apr24 Mar12 Feb17 Apr26 Mar20 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 124 1.60 62% 0.60    
PROBLEM SOLVED Apr04 Mar14 Feb20 Feb01 Dec29 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00    
CHARLES BODIE Apr11 Mar23 Feb19 Jan16   (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
TEMPLE OF PEACE Apr25 Mar09 Feb20 Feb08 Jan25 (ducoing sturges )FUSILIER C 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
HIGHSTAKES HUSTLER Apr19         (breaux samuel)FLORIAN JOSE 116 3.00 16% 5.20    
MO CAN DO Apr25 Dec08 Nov06 Aug23 Jul27 (zenon shelto)EDISON JOCELYN 116 12.00    
HUDSON'S DAY Apr18 Mar23 Feb12 Jul06 Jun13 (woodley j)ROSIER R 121 4.50    
MAX COLLECTOR Apr24 Apr04 Mar21 Mar01   (leonard george)PEREZ CARLOS 119 10.00    
OLYMPIA HARBOR Apr10 Feb22 Jan10 Dec13 Nov16 (ward ronni)RAMIREZ JR 119 20.00    
SCR  EQUAL FORCE Apr19 Mar12       (ducoing s)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
SCR  SANTIAGO PROVINCE Jan29 Dec19 Oct25     (silva )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
SCR  GEM OF A STORM Feb14 Jan19 Jan02     (west patricia )SUAREZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
SCR  KAH NIGH May03 Apr19 Apr10 Feb21 Jan29 (dussette alvin)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 20.00    
SCR  AOIDE Dec13 Nov29 Oct26 Aug21 Jul04 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 20.00    
 
EVD-2   05/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE COMES TRUMP         (grimaldo jose)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.00    
  (by COUNT ALEXANDER out of HERE COMES LINDA by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS)
VARINISI         (pomier chase)MAGNON H 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of PEARL BAY by RUSH BAY)
EL AVION         (west henry)RAMIREZ JR 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COIN FLIP out of COIN COLLECTOR by UNION RAGS)
CRAZY RED         (tillis e)GALVAN JHAIR 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by MITOLE out of HALF HEAVEN by REGAL CLASSIC)
NATE'S FOCUS         (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 117 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of FUGITIVE LADY by GUILT TRIP)
MORE THAN CUTE         (simon lester)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BATTLING BROOK by BROKEN VOW)
EL GANSITO         (west henry)ALBERT S 120 12.00    
  (by POPULARITY out of SHEZ ALL POWER by POWER BROKER)
SCR  VELOCITY STORM         (cribeiro laza)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 15.00    
  (by EAGLE out of ANGEL EYES by STOP THE MUSIC)
BENNIE BEE         (robbins hance )THORNTON G 117 5.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LITTLE BITA GRACIE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
 
EVD-3   05/15/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J L PAC MAN Oct30 Oct16 Jun27 Jun14 May25 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 121 4.00    
VOYANT Feb20 Jan29 Jan08 Nov23 Aug27 (tillis jerry )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD CAPO May01 Apr10 Feb20 Jan30 Jan08 (giangrosso)RAMIREZ JR 119 20.00    
MAYBE EYE'LL CALL Apr17 Aug03 Jul15 Jun20   (bourgeois keit)THORNTON G 118 6.00    
B D PRIMARY OURS May01 Apr12 Mar14 Feb12 Jan29 (govea cesar)PEREZ CARLOS 112 10.00    
OCEAN JACKPOT Apr25 Mar16 Mar06 Feb14 Jan11 (averett r)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 16% 5.40    
SUNNY SASSICAIA Apr23 Jan25 Sep16 Sep04 Jun13 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
COURAGEOUS CUPID Apr23 Mar16 Feb14 Jan04 Dec08 (sanche)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
 
EVD-4   05/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LIAM Apr24 Feb20 Jan29 Nov16 Sep18 (ramirez l)PEREZ CARLOS 116 10.00    
NO MORE BUSINESS Sep17         (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00 5% 17.60    
CUSTOM CADILLAC Apr23 Mar16 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 (cuccia j)VARGAS P 121 4.50 29% 2.40    
JOSAN Apr26 Mar23 Mar07 Feb21 Jan25 (morrell cy)RAMIREZ JR 116 20.00    
C F CANTGOFORTHAT Apr04 Mar14 Feb21 Apr06   (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 3.50 6% 17.00    
DONEGAL DREAMER Apr30 Feb08 Jan04 Nov27 Aug14 (noel dane)BARRERA J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAXI BOOTS Apr10 Feb20 Dec07     (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 121 12.00    
MIDNIGHT AVENGER Feb28 Feb08 Jan25 Jan10 Dec13 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 5.00 34% 2.00    
PATEK Apr23 Apr12 Mar16 Jan08 Dec13 (ladner herman)FUSILIER C 121 2.50    
10  BEGFORFORGIVENESS Apr30 Apr17 Oct31 Sep29 Sep11 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 15.00    
 
EVD-5   05/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YEAGER May01 Apr12 Jan29 Sep15 Aug03 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 124 1.60 69% 0.50    
LACEY'S KAT Apr23 Apr05 Jan30 Jan15 Dec20 (toups brent)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 12.00    
JOSEPH H Apr24 Apr05 Feb20 Jan30 Nov07 (giangrosso )LEDET THEODRICK 121 2.50    
BATTLE FACE Apr24 Apr10 Mar09 Feb27 Feb08 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 118 10.00    
ROCKING TOBE Oct19 Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 (romero lynn)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
ONE MORE SLEEP Apr24 Mar14 Feb20 Dec28 Nov07 (robbins ray)POMPELL L 121 4.00 8% 12.00    
NOVA'S RETURN Apr05 Mar09 Jan09 Nov02 Aug15 (schwandt emile)PEREZ CARLOS 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
QUICK ZONG May01 Feb22 Jan30 Dec28 Dec13 (dison ma)FUSILIER C 124 15.00    
 
EVD-6   05/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PLATINUM MINIT Apr16 Mar08 Jan30 Jan04 Dec15 (ducoing sturges )FUSILIER C 120 3.00    
GRABIQ Mar08 Jul13 Jun20 Mar21 Feb10 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 5% 17.30    
R T'S GEM Feb20 Jan17 Jan04 Nov26 Nov01 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00    
SCR  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN Apr16 Feb20 Feb06 Jan17 Dec27 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Mar16 Feb01 Jan11 Dec27 Dec06 (munoz yovani)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.00    
FOR HARPER Aug31 Aug10 Jul06 Jun01 May16 (ducoing s)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TOMMIE G Apr11 Mar23 Mar01 Feb01 Jan04 (west patricia )THORNTON G 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
WONDERRAND Apr11 Mar23 Feb20 Feb01 Jan17 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
SWEET ALEXIS Apr16 Mar08 Feb17 Jan30 Dec15 (devereux pat)BARRERA J 120 6.00    
 
EVD-7   05/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BOO Apr12 Mar22 Feb22 Feb01 Dec28 (singh s)SINGH R 122 6.00    
CHAD'S FLASHY WAYS Apr18 Feb22 Jan11 Dec12 Nov07 (ward ronnie)THORNTON G 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  DOCTORED DEAL May03 Feb19 Jan25 Jan08 Dec14 (nelson eric )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
SCOOTERIA Mar22 Feb22 Jan01 Dec09 Nov18 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN AMI Apr18 Feb19 Jan25 Dec20 Dec07 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
SUNDAY BREEZE Apr12 Mar18 Mar01 Feb01 Dec27 (duhon paul)BARRERA J 122 10.00    
TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR Apr12 Apr05 Mar23 Feb19 Feb01 (eschete nason)POMPELL L 122 4.00    
CRAKEN JAX Apr18 Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 Dec05 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00 10% 8.80    
LIKE THIS Apr18 Mar23 Feb23 Feb01 Dec28 (mouton chadwic)PEREZ CARLOS 117 15.00    
 
EVD-8   05/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUISIANA LUCA Apr19 Feb12 Jan11 Dec12 Nov14 (cormier cardel)PEREZ CARLOS 119 12.00    
HE'S SUPER WICKED Apr19 Mar23       (ducoing s)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
MR PAYROLL Feb14 Nov27 Nov07     (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY BOURBON Apr10 Feb27 Jan29 Dec28 Dec06 (zeno benjami)EDISON JOCELYN 116 20.00    
QUIK PUNCH Apr10 Feb20 Jan18     (bourgeois )RAMIREZ JR 116 4.00    
STAR APRIORITY Apr04 Feb20 Jan28 Jan01 Dec12 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00    
LUNAR TYME         (toups brent)POMPELL L 124 15.00 8% 11.00    
LOST DA VINCI Apr18 Mar23       (david b)THORNTON G 121 2.00 60% 0.70    
HALF GUILTY Jan11 Nov27 Oct29 Aug22 Jul26 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUEEN'S KNIGHT Apr26 Mar23 Mar03     (ladner shane)ROSIER R 121 20.00    
11  KNIGHT'S VALOR Apr26         (averett ronnie)FLORIAN JOSE 116 20.00    
12  MY CHULUPA         (perron gerard)FUSILIER C 121 15.00 8% 11.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.