Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - May 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(1/5/4)-(2/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(2/1/3)-(7/6/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(7/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/4)-(3/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (3/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/4)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/4)-(5/1/2)-(2/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET DESANTIS Nov26 Oct30 Oct02 Sep11 Aug27 (ferraro anthony)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00    
2  VIOLENT VIXEN Oct15 Aug14 Jun22 May09 Apr14 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 1.60 27% 2.70    
3  ISLE STORM Nov06 Sep17 Aug14 Jul31 Jul02 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  SALOON GIRL May05 Oct21 Oct14 Sep24 Sep09 (huertas nirka)PEREZ E 118 3.50    
5  FLATTERY'S MUSIC Nov25 Nov18 Oct30 Sep25 Aug21 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 5.00 7% 12.60    
 
FL-2   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLY IN MY DREAMS         (englehart )DE EMANUEL 119 4.50 31% 2.30    
2  DIGITAL CURRENCY Dec01 Aug14 Jul14 Jun28 May26 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 3.00    
3  DUCHESSOFNORMANDY Aug17         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00    
4  MY ANGEL Apr28 Feb27 Feb07 Jan24 Dec13 (barrow paul)HARKIE K 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
5  I AM EV Feb28 Feb09 Jan17     (acquilan)DAVIS A 119 6.00    
6  BANKER MURRAY Apr28 Oct28 Oct07 Sep24 Sep14 (davis edmund )DAVILA A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-3   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYOU MELODY Nov18 Oct22 Sep24 Aug28 Aug07 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 1.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  LOVE THYSELF May05 Nov25 Oct30 Oct09 Sep18 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 1.50    
2  INOUAINTALKINTOME Apr19 Mar26 Feb07 Jan26 Jan15 (morales sam)CAMILO D 122 4.50    
3  KAZ MUSIC May01 Jan17 Jan08 Dec20 Nov23 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 3.50    
4  DIVA BANKER Nov18 Nov04 Oct23 Sep10 Aug28 (oyola david)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 6% 16.70    
5  BUSTINROXY Apr28 Nov18 Oct14 Jul22 Jul02 (beech e)COA J 122 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
FL-4   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA PAULIE P Apr04 Feb28 Jan26 Nov29 Nov14 (breed r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00 22% 3.50    
2  THE MIGHTY DON May06 Sep25 Sep04 Aug13 Jul31 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  BONNE CHANCE Apr28 Nov26 Sep20 Sep02 Jul20 (d'aless)NAVARRO J 124 10.00 13% 7.00    
4  GRAND AGAIN Apr28 Jan24 Dec01 Nov17 Aug09 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 8.00    
5  FIVE DESTINATIONS Apr28 Nov26 Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 124 2.50    
6  NOT TODAY GOVERNOR Apr29 Oct02 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00    
 
FL-5   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Apr29 Feb19 Jan30 Jan09 Nov20 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 4.00    
2  GONNA BE DANCING Apr29 Mar15 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
3  SMOKIN' ALONE Nov20 Nov04 Oct22 Oct01 Sep24 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MORTGAGE RATE Apr29 Nov27 Nov20 Oct23 Oct01 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  JOHN'S PROTEGE Nov19 Oct21 Oct07 Dec08 Nov16 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 5.00    
6  OLAZABAL Apr29 Apr09 Mar20 Sep24 Aug29 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  SIGALERT Apr04 Mar15 Oct29 Sep30 Sep16 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
FL-6   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIMMEDAMONEY Apr29 Nov19 Nov05 Oct22 Oct08 (lecesse michae)COA J 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  BOTTOMLESS REFILL May06 Nov13 Oct29 Oct14 Oct01 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
3  C J'S GRAND SLAM May06 Nov20 Nov05 Oct07 Sep03 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  COLLECTED SPECIAL Apr29 Mar21 Feb14 Jan11 Dec15 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANYTHING PAZIBLE May06 Oct28 Oct16 Sep30 Sep16 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
6  BENCH WALK May06 Nov27 Nov19 Nov05 Aug14 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  CENTRAL LOVE Apr29 Nov26 Nov18 Oct30 Oct09 (lopez arcadio)PENA LUIS 124 4.00    
 
FL-7   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEADS OR TAILS Dec12 Nov27 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 (englehart jeffre)ROHENA M 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
2  CAPTAINOFMYHEART Nov20 Nov05 Oct23 Oct01 Sep11 (dixon li)DAVIS A 124 6.00 6% 16.50    
3  PERUVIAN BOY Apr29 Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep10 (gutterson katlynn)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
4  ESCAPE MISSION Apr28 Nov04 Oct10 Sep04 Jul17 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 10.00    
5  PRODUCTION CREDIT Apr29 Nov26 Nov05 Oct14 Sep03 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  EMERALD FOREST Nov19 Nov04 Oct18 Sep21 Aug29 (bak)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00    
7  SMOOTH TALES Apr29 Nov26 Nov11 Oct14 Aug21 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 124 15.00    
 
FL-8   05/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS PLACE Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 Feb10 Jan30 (williams omani)COA J 124 12.00 8% 11.60    
2  WARRIORS REVENGE Oct22 Oct07 Sep23 Aug27 Aug12 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  HOT ROD LINCOLN May06 Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 (areche thalia)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.00    
4  MAX FOSTER Apr29 Nov20 Nov05 Oct23 Oct01 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
5  INTERSTATE Nov05 Oct01 Sep18 Sep10 Aug21 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 10.00    
6  POT OF GOLD Apr29 Nov27 Nov11 Oct29 Oct21 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 124 6.00    
7  INVALUABLE WILL Nov13 Nov05 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.