Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - May 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/1)-(3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LAD-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(3/1)-(2/4/7/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LAD-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/4/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/4/7/6)-(5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-4   WIN (2/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/6)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/6)-(5/4/3)-(5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-5   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(5/4)-(6/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-6   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/5/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LAD-7   WIN (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE GEM Mar15 Mar07 Feb12 Jan24 Dec12 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  LULU'S MAGIC Apr24 Apr05 Mar14 Feb06 Jan12 (wilson sha)BATISTA X 123 4.50    
RUN AWAY SAMARI Apr24 Mar23 Mar14 Mar04 Jan31 (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
TARKINGTON GIRL Apr04 Feb21 Feb12 Jan16 Dec13 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 118 6.00    
CALL ME SUSAN Apr19 Mar19 Feb17 Jan18 Dec14 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 1.20 53% 0.90    
DADDY'S CINDERELLA Nov22 Oct12 Sep18 Aug21 Jul09 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
 
LAD-2   05/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LADY BULLS EYE Oct23 Sep24 Aug21 Jul30 Jun08 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MOPAC TRAFFIC Apr17 Mar12 Feb22 Feb05 Jan09 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.50    
SCR  MO VISTA Feb12 Jan24 Jan01 Dec07   (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 113 8.00    
CLEARLY BELLA Mar12 Feb22 Jan16 Dec06 Nov16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.00 52% 0.90    
INEZ Apr10 Sep24 Sep10 Aug06 Jul03 (jarvis robert)PENA JONUELLE 119 10.00    
SCR  INSTASPEED Mar12 Feb22 Jan18 Jan01 Oct30 (schmidt deni)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 1.00    
 
LAD-3   05/13/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN ACES Apr12 Oct18 Sep26 Aug26 Aug14 (wilson melto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
OUR AMEN Feb07 Jan24 Jan04 Dec14 Nov21 (morris rowdy)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
LIL ASHLEY B. Sep11 Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Jul17 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  CALAJA Nov21 Sep24 Sep09 Jun04 May21 (foster joseph)PENA JONUELLE 115 3.00    
SCR  STARSNMOTION Feb27 Jan25 Sep26 Aug19 Jul01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
WICKLOW GAL Apr05 Nov30 Oct18 Sep28 Sep07 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 123 0.80    
 
LAD-4   05/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIKONTHETRIGGER May03 Apr17 Mar19 Feb19   (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 6.00    
REXINATOR May05 Mar21 Mar09 Feb16 Jan25 (hatcher d)BOREL H 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
STAR ROUGE Feb16 Dec06 Sep16     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00    
TRIPS TO WIN May03 Feb14 Jan24 Dec18 Nov05 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 1.60 19% 4.30    
ZONG'S FAVOR Dec18 Nov05 Sep23 Sep09 Aug07 (shamsie mike)PENA JONUELLE 119 12.00    
LOUISIANA BARGAIN Jan18 Jan04 Dec12 Nov26 Oct29 (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
FLINT ROCK May03 Nov05 Sep16 Jul22   (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00 11% 8.40    
 
LAD-5   05/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND ENCORE Aug27 Aug05 Jul09 Jun05 Apr27 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 15.00    
SAUCER EYES Jan25 Sep24 Aug27 Aug07 Jun26 (gomez rafael )PENA JONUELLE 119 3.50    
GIBSON Apr19 Mar23 Feb08 Jan16 Nov14 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 21% 3.90    
BIG TAP BABY Aug21 Aug06 May14 Apr06 Mar21 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
CONTRABAND EARLY Mar09 Feb16 Jan25 Jan03 Jun22 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  COLT'S BRIM May03 Mar20 Feb21 Jan25 Jan10 (hargrave k)RAMIREZ JR 119 10.00    
SCR  BLUME Feb12 Dec18 Nov29 Sep23 Aug26 (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.00    
 
LAD-6   05/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCE JAMES Apr17 Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 Dec29 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 2.50    
SCR  ALLIED COMMANDER Mar08 Feb07 Jan09 Dec22   (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 111 30.00    
SPEIGHTFUL ONE May05 Apr10 Mar23 Mar07 Feb21 (ramirez ju)BATISTA X 119 20.00    
FIT TO FLY Mar07 Jan19 Dec06 Sep26 Aug29 (claire alexis)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
NINE PART Feb01 Jan03 Nov28 Jun06   (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 0.80 53% 0.90    
SCR  DREWMANIA Mar14 Feb19 Feb02 Jan04 Dec14 (briley l)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
 
LAD-7   05/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEELITESANDIMSUM Apr11 Mar04 Jan24 Jan02 Dec13 (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 16% 5.40    
  (by CATALINA RED out of DEELITES D'OR by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
CHIEF NOW NOW         (fogarty de)BATISTA X 118 30.00    
  (by NOWNOWNOW out of SOD GODDESS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
MUSICAL BAND Apr11         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of LUZZIANN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SIR MACK         (schmidt denise)SINGH R 118 10.00    
  (by STEALCASE out of AWESOME DAY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
CUSTOM'S CLEARED Mar22 Feb27 Feb08 Jan18 Aug31 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of SKY ENTRY by POINT OF ENTRY)
HIGH ADVENTURE Mar04 Feb20 Jan29     (lara jorge)LOZADA CARLOS 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SILENT RULER Apr11         (gomez rafael )PENA JONUELLE 113 10.00    
  (by RULER'S COURT out of SILENT LUST by DA STOOPS)
ROYAL HOPE Apr05         (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 12.00    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of SHELLY'S HOPE by STRONG HOPE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.